Inflation Thresholds and the Finance-Growth Nexus
Inflation Thresholds and the Finance-Growth Nexus

Author: Peter L. Rousseau

Publisher:

Published: 2013

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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The robustness of the cross-sectional relationship between the size of a country's financial sector and its rate of economic growth is by now well established. In this article, we examine whether the strength of this relationship varies with the inflation rate. Using five-year averages of standard measures of financial development, inflation, and growth for 84 countries from 1960 to 1995, a series of rolling panel regressions show that there is an inflation threshold for the finance-growth relationship that lies between 13 and 25 percent. When inflation exceeds the threshold, finance ceases to increase economic growth. We also find that the level of financial depth varies inversely with inflation in low-inflation environments and that disinflation is associated with a positive effect of financial depth on growth.

Inflation Thresholds and the Finance-Growth Nexus
Inflation Thresholds and the Finance-Growth Nexus

Author: Peter L. Rousseau

Publisher:

Published: 2008

Total Pages: 23

ISBN-13:

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The robustness of the cross-sectional relationship between the size of a country's financial sector and its rate of economic growth is by now well established. In this article, we examine whether the strength of this relationship varies with the inflation rate. Using five-year averages of standard measures of financial development, inflation, and growth for 84 countries from 1960 to 1995, a series of rolling panel regressions show that there is an inflation threshold for the finance-growth relationship that lies between 13 and 25 percent. When inflation exceeds the threshold, finance ceases to increase economic growth. We also find that the level of financial depth varies inversely with inflation in low-inflation environments and that disinflation is associated with a positive effect of financial depth on growth.

Threshold Effects in the Relationship Between Inflation and Growth
Threshold Effects in the Relationship Between Inflation and Growth

Author: Mohsin S. Khan

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2000-06

Total Pages: 38

ISBN-13:

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This paper reexamines the issue of the existence of threshold effects in the relationship between inflation and growth, using new econometric techniques that provide appropriate procedures for estimation and inference. The threshold level of inflation above which inflation significantly slows growth is estimated at 1–3 percent for industrial countries and 7–11 percent for developing countries. The negative and significant relationship between inflation and growth, for inflation rates above the threshold level, is quite robust with respect to the estimation method, perturbations in the location of the threshold level, the exclusion of high-inflation observations, data frequency, and alternative specifications.

Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth?
Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth?

Author: Mr.Alexander Chudik

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2015-09-08

Total Pages: 59

ISBN-13: 1513555901

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This paper studies the long-run impact of public debt expansion on economic growth and investigates whether the debt-growth relation varies with the level of indebtedness. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop tests for threshold effects in the context of dynamic heterogeneous panel data models with cross-sectionally dependent errors and illustrate, by means of Monte Carlo experiments, that they perform well in small samples. On the empirical side, using data on a sample of 40 countries (grouped into advanced and developing) over the 1965- 2010 period, we find no evidence for a universally applicable threshold effect in the relationship between public debt and economic growth, once we account for the impact of global factors and their spillover effects. Regardless of the threshold, however, we find significant negative long-run effects of public debt build-up on output growth. Provided that public debt is on a downward trajectory, a country with a high level of debt can grow just as fast as its peers in the long run.

Too Much Finance?
Too Much Finance?

Author: Mr.Jean-Louis Arcand

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2012-06-01

Total Pages: 50

ISBN-13: 1475526105

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This paper examines whether there is a threshold above which financial development no longer has a positive effect on economic growth. We use different empirical approaches to show that there can indeed be "too much" finance. In particular, our results suggest that finance starts having a negative effect on output growth when credit to the private sector reaches 100% of GDP. We show that our results are consistent with the "vanishing effect" of financial development and that they are not driven by output volatility, banking crises, low institutional quality, or by differences in bank regulation and supervision.

Finance and Growth
Finance and Growth

Author: Ross Levine

Publisher:

Published: 2004

Total Pages: 130

ISBN-13:

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"This paper reviews, appraises, and critiques theoretical and empirical research on the connections between the operation of the financial system and economic growth. While subject to ample qualifications and countervailing views, the preponderance of evidence suggests that both financial intermediaries and markets matter for growth and that reverse causality alone is not driving this relationship. Furthermore, theory and evidence imply that better developed financial systems ease external financing constraints facing firms, which illuminates one mechanism through which financial development influences economic growth. The paper highlights many areas needing additional research"--NBER website

Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Economic Management and Green Development
Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Economic Management and Green Development

Author: Chunhui Yuan

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2021-08-13

Total Pages: 527

ISBN-13: 9811653593

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The proceedings shed light on selected topics including economic management, public administration, and green development. Featuring scholarly works from the 4th International Conference on Economic Management and Green Development (ICEMGD 2021), this volume of proceedings showcases the papers composed with regard to a diverse range of topics situated at the intersecting field of Economic Management, Public Administration and Green Development. Arising as the top concern of the global community, issues of green development impose challenges for the academia to bridge the interdisciplinary prowess in tackling the gap of knowledge within concerned fields. ICEMGD 2021 is an annual conference initiated by the year of 2017 under the goal of bringing together intellectuals from economics, business management, public administration, and otherwise related spheres for the share of research methods and theoretical breakthroughs. The aim of the proceeding volume is for the integration of social scientific research methods with research into alarming development issues. The ICEMGD 2021 seeks to promote joint initiatives among well-established fields like macro- and microeconomics, international economics, finance, agricultural economics, health economics, business management and marketing strategies, regional development studies, social governance, and sustainable development. Featuring interdisciplinary contributions, this book will be of interest to researchers, academics, professionals and policy makers in the field of economic management, public administration, and development studies.

Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks in Low-Income and Other Developing Countries
Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks in Low-Income and Other Developing Countries

Author: International Monetary Fund

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2015-10-23

Total Pages: 74

ISBN-13: 1498344062

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Over the past two decades, many low- and lower-middle income countries (LLMICs) have improved control over fiscal policy, liberalized and deepened financial markets, and stabilized inflation at moderate levels. Monetary policy frameworks that have helped achieve these ends are being challenged by continued financial development and increased exposure to global capital markets. Many policymakers aspire to move beyond the basics of stability to implement monetary policy frameworks that better anchor inflation and promote macroeconomic stability and growth. Many of these LLMICs are thus considering and implementing improvements to their monetary policy frameworks. The recent successes of some LLMICs and the experiences of emerging and advanced economies, both early in their policy modernization process and following the global financial crisis, are valuable in identifying desirable features of such frameworks. This paper draws on those lessons to provide guidance on key elements of effective monetary policy frameworks for LLMICs.