A Political Economic Critique on the Theory of Optimum Currency Areas, and the Implications for East Asia

A Political Economic Critique on the Theory of Optimum Currency Areas, and the Implications for East Asia

Author: Hyoung-kyu Chey

Publisher:

Published: 2014

Total Pages:

ISBN-13:

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In recent years, dynamic debate has arisen as to the desirability and feasibility of creating a monetary union in East Asia. While the debate has relied heavily on the theory of optimum currency areas, this theory has weaknesses in explaining the actual formation of monetary unions. At this point, political economy analysis appears to demonstrate stronger explanatory power. This paper provides a systematic review of the main developments in the literature on optimum currency area theory and in the political economy literature on monetary union. In addition, it addresses the feasibility of an East Asian monetary union, by applying the findings in these two academic strands to the region. It finds that even though formation of an East Asian monetary union may be to some extent feasible from an economic perspective, the region's political situation does not appear favourable for creation of one.


A Formal Model of Optimum Currency Areas

A Formal Model of Optimum Currency Areas

Author: Mr.Tamim Bayoumi

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1994-04-01

Total Pages: 22

ISBN-13: 1451846177

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A model of optimum currency areas is presented using a general equilibrium model with regionally differentiated goods. The choice of a currency union depends upon the size of the underlying disturbances, the correlation between these disturbances, the costs of transactions across currencies, factor mobility across regions, and the interrelationships between demand for different goods. It is found that, while a currency union can raise the welfare of the regions within the union, it unambiguously lowers welfare for those outside the union.


Regional Monetary Integration

Regional Monetary Integration

Author: Peter B. Kenen

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2007-11-26

Total Pages: 199

ISBN-13: 1139466038

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This book surveys the prospects for regional monetary integration in various parts of the world. Beginning with a brief review of the theory of optimal currency areas, it goes on to examine the structure and functioning of the European Monetary Union, then turns to the prospects for monetary integration elsewhere in the world - North America, South America, and East Asia. Such cooperation may take the form of full-fledged monetary unions or looser forms of monetary cooperation. The book emphasizes the economic and institutional requirements for successful monetary integration, including the need for a single central bank in the case of a full-fledged monetary union, and the corresponding need for multinational institutions to safeguard its independence and assure its accountability. The book concludes with a chapter on the implications of monetary integration for the United States and the US dollar.


On the East Asian Monetary Union

On the East Asian Monetary Union

Author: Marco Mele

Publisher:

Published: 2015

Total Pages: 9

ISBN-13:

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The Asian financial crisis of 1997, progressive economic integration into the world system of countries such as China and India, the introduction of the euro in the European continent and the most recent financial crisis of “subprime” mortgages, collectively constitute the factors that have contributed over the years to search more and more regulated economic relations between the countries of South-East Asia.The Asian financial crisis of 1997, progressive economic integration into the world system of countries such as China and India, the introduction of the euro in the European continent and the most recent financial crisis of “subprime” mortgages, collectively constitute the factors that have contributed over the years to search more and more regulated economic relations between the countries of South-East Asia. In fact, this kind of trade regionalism, would be enriched and concluded when, following the example of the European Monetary Union, the Pacific Rim countries were united under a single currency (although this situation would result in costs such as-the most important-the reduction of monetary sovereignty in favor of a supra-national organism).The theory that studies by the end of the sixties the costs and benefits of a monetary union is that developed by Robert Mundell-later expanded to other contributions-the “optimum currency areas”. It identifies how the cost for future members of the monetary union is bigger than the increase in the risk of asymmetric shocks and less when they are exposed to the possibility of being subjected to the same or similar shock. The asymmetry is reduced by the degree of trade integration between countries (McKinnon), the level of mobility of labor and possible systems of intra-regional fiscal transfers. This study, examining a specific area of South East Asia, will focus on the symmetry of the structural shocks considering it as a precondition for forming an OCA. In particular, we will carry out a VAR to several variables in order to identify, through the function “impulse-response”, the time required to a hypothetical asymmetric shock to be distributed among all the countries in the area.