The Palgrave Handbook of Government Budget Forecasting
The Palgrave Handbook of Government Budget Forecasting

Author: Daniel Williams

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2019-10-14

Total Pages: 448

ISBN-13: 3030181952

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This Handbook is a comprehensive anthology of up-to-date chapters contributed by current researchers in budget forecasting. Editors Daniel Williams and Thad Calabrese had previously found substantial deficiencies in public budgeting forecast literature with current research failing to address such matters as practices related to forecasting expenditure factors, the consequences of forecast bias, or empirical examination of the effectiveness of many deterministic methods actually used by many governments. This volume comprehensively addresses the state of knowledge about budget forecasting for practitioners, academics, and students and serves as a comprehensive resource for instruction alongside serving as a reference book for those engaged in budget forecasting practice.

Government Budget Forecasting
Government Budget Forecasting

Author: Jinping Sun

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2017-09-25

Total Pages: 637

ISBN-13: 1351565117

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Revenue and expenditure forecasting plays an important role in public budgeting and financial management, particularly during times of financial constraint, when citizens impose greater accountability upon government to use taxpayer dollars more efficiently. Despite its significance, revenue and expenditure forecasting is often overlooked in the budget process, and there is an imbalance between practice and research in this area. Based on the collaboration of budget scholars and practitioners, Government Budget Forecasting fulfills two purposes: Enhances the understanding of revenue and expenditure estimation both theoretically and practically Stimulates dialogue and debate among practitioners and academicians to identify good forecast practices as well as areas for improvement Divided into four parts, this comprehensive reference first examines forecast practices at the federal, state, and local levels, drawing on case studies that include California, Texas, and Louisiana. It then explores consensus systems and risk assessment, considering political factors and the costs of forecast errors. The text concludes with a call to transparency and guidance from a code of ethics, and a look at forecasting practices in emerging countries.

Forecasting Government Budgets
Forecasting Government Budgets

Author: Aman Khan

Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield

Published: 2022-12-15

Total Pages: 269

ISBN-13: 1793613117

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Forecasting is integral to all governmental activities, especially budgetary activities. Without good and accurate forecasts, a government will not only find it difficult to carry out its everyday operations but will also find it difficult to cope with the increasingly complex environment in which it has to operate. This book presents, in a simple and easy to understand manner, some of the commonly used methods in budget forecasting, simple as well as advanced. The book is divided into three parts: It begins with an overview of forecasting background, forecasting process, and forecasting methods, followed by a detailed discussion of the actual methods in Parts I, II, and III. Part I discusses a combination of basic time series models such as percentage average, simple moving average, double moving average, exponential moving average, double as well as triple, simple trend line, time-series with cyclical variation, and time-series regression, with single and multiple independent variables. Part II discusses some of the more advanced, but frequently used time series models, such as ARIMA, regular as well as seasonal, Vector Autoregression (VAR), and Vector Error Correction (VEC). Part III provides an overview of three of the more recent advances in time series models, namely ensemble forecasting, state-space forecasting, and neural network. The book concludes with a brief discussion of some practical issues in budget forecasting.

The Basics of Public Budgeting and Financial Management
The Basics of Public Budgeting and Financial Management

Author: Charles E. Menifield

Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield

Published: 2020-11-15

Total Pages: 329

ISBN-13: 0761872124

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In The Basics of Public Budgeting and Financial Management: A Handbook for Academics and Practitioners, 4th Edition, Charles E. Menifield carefully examines the key areas that every budgeting and financial management student needs to know in order to be a successful budgeteer in a local government, nonprofit, or state-level budget office. His analysis includes a discussion of: basic budgeting concepts; accounting techniques; a discussion of the budget process; budget techniques and analytical models; capital and personnel budgets; financial management; and budget presentations. Homework assignments reinforce the various subjects with practical applications that allow the students to reflect and engage the material in a realistic manner. This book blends budgetary theory and practice in a volume that is easy to understand by both undergraduate and graduate students alike.

The International Handbook of Public Financial Management
The International Handbook of Public Financial Management

Author: Richard Allen

Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan

Published: 2013-01-01

Total Pages: 881

ISBN-13: 9781349335985

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The Handbook is a virtual encyclopedia of public financial management, written by topmost experts, many with a background in the IMF and World Bank. It provides the first comprehensive guide to the subject that has been published in more than ten years. The book is aimed at a broad audience of academics/students, government officials, development agencies and practitioners. It covers both bread-and-butter topics such as the macroeconomic and legal framework for budgeting, budget preparation and execution, procurement, accounting, reporting, audit and oversight, as well as specialist subjects such as government payroll systems, local government finance, fiscal transparency, the management of fiscal risks, sovereign wealth funds, the management of state-owned enterprises, and political economy aspects of budgeting. The book sets out numerous examples and case studies describing good practice in public financial management, and is highly relevant for use in both advanced and developing countries.

The Government Analytics Handbook
The Government Analytics Handbook

Author: Daniel Rogger

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2023-10-20

Total Pages: 1197

ISBN-13: 1464819815

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The Government Analytics Handbook presents frontier evidence and practitioner insights on how to leverage data to strengthen public administration. Covering a range of microdata sources—such as administrative data and public servant surveys—as well as tools and resources for undertaking the analytics, it transforms the ability of governments to take a data-informed approach to diagnose and improve how public organizations work. Readers can order the book as a single volume in print or digital formats, or visit worldbank.org/governmentanalytics for modular access and additional hands-on tools. The Handbook is a must-have for practitioners, policy makers, academics, and government agencies. “Governments have long been assessed using aggregate governance indicators, giving us little insight into their diversity and how they can practically be improved. This pioneering handbook shows how microdata can be used to give scholars and practitioners granular and real insights into how states work, and practical guidance on the process of state-building.†? —Francis Fukuyama, Stanford University, author of State-Building: Governance and World Order in the 21st Century “The Government Analytics Handbook is the most comprehensive work on practically building government administration I have ever seen, helping practitioners to change public administration for the better.†? —Francisco Gaetani, Special Secretary for State Transformation, Government of Brazil “The machinery of the state is central to a country’s prosperity. This handbook provides insights and methodological tools for creating a better shared understanding of the realities of a state, to support the redesign of institutions, and improve the quality of public administration.†? —James Robinson, University of Chicago, coauthor of Why Nations Fail

Empowering Public Administrators
Empowering Public Administrators

Author: Amanda M. Olejarski

Publisher: Taylor & Francis

Published: 2024-02-06

Total Pages: 402

ISBN-13: 1003836550

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Public administrators need to be empowered to make difficult decisions. Acting in the public interest often means doing what is ethical even when it is an unpopular choice. Yet, too often, public servants at the local, state, and federal levels internalize the notion that their hands are tied and that they are limited in their ability to effect change. Empowering Public Administrators: Ethics and Public Service Values provides a much-needed antidote to inaction, offering a new lens for viewing administrative decision-making and behavior. This book makes a case for bringing historically significant theories to the forefront of public service ethics by applying them to a series of current ethical challenges in practice. Exploring administrative discretion as modern bureaucrats govern public affairs in a political context, this collection builds on the normative foundations of public administration and provides readers with a scaffold for understanding and practicing public service values. Questions for discussion and applications to practice are included in each chapter making this collection of interest to public affairs master’s and doctoral students as well as public service practitioners.

Modern Budget Forecasting in the American States
Modern Budget Forecasting in the American States

Author: Michael J. Brogan

Publisher:

Published: 2015-09-01

Total Pages: 196

ISBN-13: 9781498525732

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Michael J. Brogan s Modern Budget Forecasting in the American States: Precision, Uncertainty, and Politics examines government budgeting through the analysis of budget forecast errors. This book is innovative in its ability to connect the technical aspects of budgeting with the politics of the budget process and offers an understanding of the budgeting process in light of the impact of the Great Recession on states finances."

Fundamentals of Public Budgeting and Finance
Fundamentals of Public Budgeting and Finance

Author: Aman Khan

Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan

Published: 2024-07-27

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9783031536731

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Budgeting is arguably the single most important function in government. Every year governments spend considerable sums on expenditure programs and activities, as well as time preparing and executing the budget. It is therefore crucial that anyone interested in a career in public administration has a fundamental grasp of these basics. This second edition textbook integrates theory and practice of public budgeting into a single volume. The first part introduces the background to budgeting, focusing especially on taxation, government expenditure and revenue. The second part focuses on budgeting basics, in particular operating and capital budget. The final part deals with budgeting tools, especially those related to capital rationing, budget forecasting, and analyzing government revenue and expenditure. Written in a concise and easy to understand manner, this book captures the multidimensional nature of public budgeting that both students and practitioners will find useful. This second edition has been fully revised and updated, as well as expanded to include new material and exercises. It will appeal to all those studying public administration, financial management and public budgeting.