Modeling Markets
Modeling Markets

Author: Peter S.H. Leeflang

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2014-11-12

Total Pages: 417

ISBN-13: 1493920863

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This book is about how models can be developed to represent demand and supply on markets, where the emphasis is on demand models. Its primary focus is on models that can be used by managers to support marketing decisions. Modeling Markets presents a comprehensive overview of the tools and methodologies that managers can use in decision making. It has long been known that even simple models outperform judgments in predicting outcomes in a wide variety of contexts. More complex models potentially provide insights about structural relations not available from casual observations. In this book, the authors present a wealth of insights developed at the forefront of the field, covering all key aspects of specification, estimation, validation and use of models. The most current insights and innovations in quantitative marketing are presented, including in-depth discussion of Bayesian estimation methods. Throughout the book, the authors provide examples and illustrations. This book will be of interest to researchers, analysts, managers and students who want to understand, develop or use models of marketing phenomena.

Marketing Models
Marketing Models

Author: Gary L. Lilien

Publisher: Prentice Hall

Published: 1992

Total Pages: 803

ISBN-13: 9780135456415

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The view of this book is that there are essentially three purposes for modeling in marketing: measuring marketing actions and outcomes, developing operational support for marketing decisions, and explaining marketing observations or phenomena.

Agent-Based Modeling
Agent-Based Modeling

Author: Norman Ehrentreich

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2007-10-30

Total Pages: 238

ISBN-13: 3540738789

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This book reconciles the existence of technical trading with the Efficient Market Hypothesis. By analyzing a well-known agent-based model, the Santa Fe Institute Artificial Stock Market (SFI-ASM), it finds that when selective forces are weak, financial evolution cannot guarantee that only the fittest trading rules will survive. Its main contribution lies in the application of standard results from population genetics which have widely been neglected in the agent-based community.

SABR and SABR LIBOR Market Models in Practice
SABR and SABR LIBOR Market Models in Practice

Author: Christian Crispoldi

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2016-04-29

Total Pages: 274

ISBN-13: 1137378646

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Interest rate traders have been using the SABR model to price vanilla products for more than a decade. However this model suffers however from a severe limitation: its inability to value exotic products. A term structure model à la LIBOR Market Model (LMM) is often employed to value these more complex derivatives, however the LMM is unable to capture the volatility smile. A joint SABR LIBOR Market Model is the natural evolution towards a consistent pricing of vanilla and exotic products. Knowledge of these models is essential to all aspiring interest rate quants, traders and risk managers, as well an understanding of their failings and alternatives. SABR and SABR Libor Market Models in Practice is an accessible guide to modern interest rate modelling. Rather than covering an array of models which are seldom used in practice, it focuses on the SABR model, the market standard for vanilla products, the LIBOR Market Model, the most commonly used model for exotic products and the extended SABR LIBOR Market Model. The book takes a hands-on approach, demonstrating simply how to implement and work with these models in a market setting. It bridges the gap between the understanding of the models from a conceptual and mathematical perspective and the actual implementation by supplementing the interest rate theory with modelling specific, practical code examples written in Python.

MARKET MODELS: A GUIDE TO FINANCIAL DATA ANALYSIS (With CD )
MARKET MODELS: A GUIDE TO FINANCIAL DATA ANALYSIS (With CD )

Author: Carol Alexander

Publisher:

Published: 2009-01-01

Total Pages: 516

ISBN-13: 9788126523702

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Market_Desc: Primarily this book has been written for financial institutions (investment banks, asset management companies, investment analysis personnel, corporate treasuries, insurance companies, pension funds, risk management companies/consultants and regulatory bodies.) Special Features: "The author uses an applications-based approach."Includes the latest developments in VaR. About The Book: Models play a crucial role in today's financial markets and an understanding and appreciation of how to model financial data is key to any finance practitioner's skill set. Model developers are faced with many decisions, about the data, methodology, model specification and testing, prior to the final model implementation. This is costly and how many media reports in recent years have highlighted the mismanagement of such resources! It is crucial to make the right choices at every stage of model development. But this is as much an 'art' as a 'science'. The talented interpretation of results is just as critical for success as the mathematical foundation. This new book is the first of its kind. As well as providing numerous real world examples to illustrate concepts in an accessible manner, the accompanying CD will allow the reader to implement the examples themselves and adapt them for their own purposes. Professor Carol Alexander, Chair of Risk Management at the ISMA Centre and one of the best known names in financial data analysis, provides an authoritative and up-to-date treatment of model development. She brings many new insights to the practicalities of volatility and correlation analysis, modelling the market risk of portfolios and statistical models. New models that are based on cointegration, principal component analysis, normal mixture densities, GARCH and many other areas are elegantly and rigorously explained, with an emphasis on concepts that makes this text accessible to a very wide audience. The book is also designed to be self contained, with many technical appendices. Market Models is the ideal reference for all those involved in model selection and development

The LIBOR Market Model in Practice
The LIBOR Market Model in Practice

Author: Dariusz Gatarek

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2007-01-23

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9780470014431

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The LIBOR Market Model (LMM) is the first model of interest rates dynamics consistent with the market practice of pricing interest rate derivatives and therefore it is widely used by financial institution for valuation of interest rate derivatives. This book provides a full practitioner's approach to the LIBOR Market Model. It adopts the specific language of a quantitative analyst to the largest possible level and is one of first books on the subject written entirely by quants. The book is divided into three parts - theory, calibration and simulation. New and important issues are covered, such as various drift approximations, various parametric and nonparametric calibrations, and the uncertain volatility approach to smile modelling; a version of the HJM model based on market observables and the duality between BGM and HJM models. Co-authored by Dariusz Gatarek, the 'G' in the BGM model who is internationally known for his work on LIBOR market models, this book offers an essential perspective on the global benchmark for short-term interest rates.

Advanced Methods for Modeling Markets
Advanced Methods for Modeling Markets

Author: Peter S. H. Leeflang

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2018-05-13

Total Pages: 733

ISBN-13: 9783319851600

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This volume presents advanced techniques to modeling markets, with a wide spectrum of topics, including advanced individual demand models, time series analysis, state space models, spatial models, structural models, mediation, models that specify competition and diffusion models. It is intended as a follow-on and companion to Modeling Markets (2015), in which the authors presented the basics of modeling markets along the classical steps of the model building process: specification, data collection, estimation, validation and implementation. This volume builds on the concepts presented in Modeling Markets with an emphasis on advanced methods that are used to specify, estimate and validate marketing models, including structural equation models, partial least squares, mixture models, and hidden Markov models, as well as generalized methods of moments, Bayesian analysis, non/semi-parametric estimation and endogeneity issues. Specific attention is given to big data. The market environment is changing rapidly and constantly. Models that provide information about the sensitivity of market behavior to marketing activities such as advertising, pricing, promotions and distribution are now routinely used by managers for the identification of changes in marketing programs that can improve brand performance. In today’s environment of information overload, the challenge is to make sense of the data that is being provided globally, in real time, from thousands of sources. Although marketing models are now widely accepted, the quality of the marketing decisions is critically dependent upon the quality of the models on which those decisions are based. This volume provides an authoritative and comprehensive review, with each chapter including: · an introduction to the method/methodology · a numerical example/application in marketing · references to other marketing applications · suggestions about software. Featuring contributions from top authors in the field, this volume will explore current and future aspects of modeling markets, providing relevant and timely research and techniques to scientists, researchers, students, academics and practitioners in marketing, management and economics.

The SABR/LIBOR Market Model
The SABR/LIBOR Market Model

Author: Riccardo Rebonato

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2011-03-01

Total Pages: 308

ISBN-13: 1119995639

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This book presents a major innovation in the interest rate space. It explains a financially motivated extension of the LIBOR Market model which accurately reproduces the prices for plain vanilla hedging instruments (swaptions and caplets) of all strikes and maturities produced by the SABR model. The authors show how to accurately recover the whole of the SABR smile surface using their extension of the LIBOR market model. This is not just a new model, this is a new way of option pricing that takes into account the need to calibrate as accurately as possible to the plain vanilla reference hedging instruments and the need to obtain prices and hedges in reasonable time whilst reproducing a realistic future evolution of the smile surface. It removes the hard choice between accuracy and time because the framework that the authors provide reproduces today's market prices of plain vanilla options almost exactly and simultaneously gives a reasonable future evolution for the smile surface. The authors take the SABR model as the starting point for their extension of the LMM because it is a good model for European options. The problem, however with SABR is that it treats each European option in isolation and the processes for the various underlyings (forward and swap rates) do not talk to each other so it isn't obvious how to relate these processes into the dynamics of the whole yield curve. With this new model, the authors bring the dynamics of the various forward rates and stochastic volatilities under a single umbrella. To ensure the absence of arbitrage they derive drift adjustments to be applied to both the forward rates and their volatilities. When this is completed, complex derivatives that depend on the joint realisation of all relevant forward rates can now be priced. Contents THE THEORETICAL SET-UP The Libor Market model The SABR Model The LMM-SABR Model IMPLEMENTATION AND CALIBRATION Calibrating the LMM-SABR model to Market Caplet prices Calibrating the LMM/SABR model to Market Swaption Prices Calibrating the Correlation Structure EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE The Empirical problem Estimating the volatility of the forward rates Estimating the correlation structure Estimating the volatility of the volatility HEDGING Hedging the Volatility Structure Hedging the Correlation Structure Hedging in conditions of market stress

The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance
The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance

Author: Shu-Heng Chen

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2018-01-12

Total Pages: 785

ISBN-13: 0190877502

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The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance provides a survey of both the foundations of and recent advances in the frontiers of analysis and action. It is both historically and interdisciplinarily rich and also tightly connected to the rise of digital society. It begins with the conventional view of computational economics, including recent algorithmic development in computing rational expectations, volatility, and general equilibrium. It then moves from traditional computing in economics and finance to recent developments in natural computing, including applications of nature-inspired intelligence, genetic programming, swarm intelligence, and fuzzy logic. Also examined are recent developments of network and agent-based computing in economics. How these approaches are applied is examined in chapters on such subjects as trading robots and automated markets. The last part deals with the epistemology of simulation in its trinity form with the integration of simulation, computation, and dynamics. Distinctive is the focus on natural computationalism and the examination of the implications of intelligent machines for the future of computational economics and finance. Not merely individual robots, but whole integrated systems are extending their "immigration" to the world of Homo sapiens, or symbiogenesis.

Complementarity Modeling in Energy Markets
Complementarity Modeling in Energy Markets

Author: Steven A. Gabriel

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-07-20

Total Pages: 637

ISBN-13: 1441961232

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This addition to the ISOR series introduces complementarity models in a straightforward and approachable manner and uses them to carry out an in-depth analysis of energy markets, including formulation issues and solution techniques. In a nutshell, complementarity models generalize: a. optimization problems via their Karush-Kuhn-Tucker conditions b. on-cooperative games in which each player may be solving a separate but related optimization problem with potentially overall system constraints (e.g., market-clearing conditions) c. conomic and engineering problems that aren’t specifically derived from optimization problems (e.g., spatial price equilibria) d. roblems in which both primal and dual variables (prices) appear in the original formulation (e.g., The National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) or its precursor, PIES). As such, complementarity models are a very general and flexible modeling format. A natural question is why concentrate on energy markets for this complementarity approach? s it turns out, energy or other markets that have game theoretic aspects are best modeled by complementarity problems. The reason is that the traditional perfect competition approach no longer applies due to deregulation and restructuring of these markets and thus the corresponding optimization problems may no longer hold. Also, in some instances it is important in the original model formulation to involve both primal variables (e.g., production) as well as dual variables (e.g., market prices) for public and private sector energy planning. Traditional optimization problems can not directly handle this mixing of primal and dual variables but complementarity models can and this makes them all that more effective for decision-makers.