This Element is a very brief excerpt from The Fearful Rise of Markets: Global Bubbles, Synchronized Meltdowns, and How To Prevent Them in the Future (9780137072996) by John Authers. Available in print and digital formats. Why markets are more synchronized than ever before–and why that’s so terrifying. World markets are synchronized, and far more prone to bubbles and meltdowns than ever. Why? In March 2007 I realized the world’s markets held each other in a tight, deadly embrace. One Bloomberg screen showed minute-by-minute action in the S&P 500. Then I called up a minute-by-minute chart of the yen’s exchange rate against the U.S. dollar. The chart was identical. What was going on?
This Element is an excerpt from The Fearful Rise of Markets: Global Bubbles, Synchronized Meltdowns, and How To Prevent Them in the Future (9780137072996) by John Authers. Available in print and digital formats. Why markets are more synchronized than ever before-and why that's so terrifying. World markets are synchronized, and far more prone to bubbles and meltdowns than ever. Why? In March 2007 I realized the world's markets held each other in a tight, deadly embrace. One Bloomberg screen showed minute-by-minute action in the S & P 500. Then I called up a minute-by-minute chart of the yen's.
Are we barreling toward another massive global financial catastrophe? How can so many bubbles form all at once? Why are so many “disconnected” markets now capable of collapsing in unison? In this remarkably readable book, award-winning Financial Times columnist John Authers takes on these critical questions and offers deeply sobering answers. Authers reveals how the first truly global super bubble was inflated—and might now be inflating again. He illuminates the multiple roots of repeated financial crises: a massive shift in investing power from individuals to big institutions; the migration of key decisions from banks to capital markets; the wholesale financialization of many asset classes; and fundamental failures of both theory and policy. The Fearful Rise of Markets presents a truly global view, avoiding oversimplifications and ideology as it outlines how we got here and where we stand. Even more valuable, it offers realistic solutions—for decision-makers who want to prevent disaster and investors who want to survive it. The herd grows ever larger—and more dangerous How institutional investing, indexing, and efficient markets theory promote herding Cheap money and irrational exuberance Super fuel for super bubbles Too big to fail: the whole story of moral hazard Banks, hedge funds, and beyond Danger signs of the next bubble Forex, equity, credit, and commodity markets move once more in alignment
#X93;Concise, relevant, and perceptive…this book should be read by all those interested in the way markets operate, be they investors, analysts, or policy makers.""--The Foreword by Mohamed A. El-Erian, CEO and co-CIO of PIMCO, and author of When Markets Collide “A must-read for anyone concerned about how we can avoid recurring debt-induced busts in the years ahead, or anyone who wonders how to invest if (when!) the crisis returns. Authers' insights on the global financial crisis are profound.""-Robert D. Arnott, Chairman, Research Affiliates, LLC ”In a crowded field of works on the financial.
This download is a chapter from The Fearful Rise of Markets: Global Bubbles, Synchronized Meltdowns, and How To Prevent Them in the Future (ISBN: 0137072996) by John Authers. Available in print and digital formats. Read the following excerpt from the Foreword: I suspect that most of us have a daily routine when it comes to reading the news and looking for insightful commentary and analysis. I know that I do; and my routine includes seeing what John Authers has to say. John’s daily column in the Financial Times is a “must read” for many of us who are not just interested in markets, but also involved in their inner workings, daily fluctuations, and volatile emotions. His writings provide us with timely insights into market developments and the outlook; and they fuel interesting, and at times, lively debates in the marketplace. You will understand, therefore, how delighted and honored I was when John asked me to write a foreword for this wonderful book. I also felt intimidated at the thought of appearing in print together with one of the best writers in the financial media. Thankfully, this foreword is of a length that would limit any meaningful comparison of my approach to writing with John’s engaging and insightful style. This enjoyable and fast-moving book is written in the style of John’s daily columns–concise, relevant, and containing perceptive examples. Think of the book as your vehicle for a journey of discovery. Each stop will precisely inform you of the forces that have come together to determine market valuations and correlations–or, in the words of John, the drivers of the rise in markets, their collapse, and their ongoing re-emergence (albeit one still vulnerable to failures and weak regulatory and private infrastructure). To continue reading, download this Foreword & Chapter 1. The full book is also available for sale in print and digital formats.
Economists broadly define financial asset price bubbles as episodes in which prices rise with notable rapidity and depart from historically established asset valuation multiples and relationships. Financial economists have for decades attempted to study and interpret bubbles through the prisms of rational expectations, efficient markets, and equilibrium, arbitrage, and capital asset pricing models, but they have not made much if any progress toward a consistent and reliable theory that explains how and why bubbles (and crashes) evolve and can also be defined, measured, and compared. This book develops a new and different approach that is based on the central notion that bubbles and crashes reflect urgent short-side rationing, which means that, as such extreme conditions unfold, considerations of quantities owned or not owned begin to displace considerations of price.
How the financial crisis really happened, and what it really meant: 3 books packed with lessons for investors and policymakers! These three books offer unsurpassed insight into the causes and implications of the global financial crisis: information every investor and policy-maker needs to prepare for an extraordinarily uncertain future. In Financial Shock, Updated Edition, renowned economist Mark Zandi provides the most concise, lucid account of the economic, political, and regulatory causes of the collapse, plus new insights into the continuing impact of the Obama administration's policies. Zandi doesn't just illuminate the roles of mortgage lenders, investment bankers, speculators, regulators, and the Fed: he offers sensible recommendations for preventing the next collapse. In Extreme Money, best-selling author and global finance expert Satyajit Das reveals the spectacular, dangerous money games that are generating increasingly massive bubbles of fake growth, prosperity, and wealth, while endangering the jobs, possessions, and futures of everyone outside finance. Das explains how everything from home mortgages to climate change have become fully financialized... how "voodoo banking" keeps generating massive phony profits even now... and how a new generation of "Masters of the Universe" has come to own the world. Finally, in The Fearful Rise of Markets, top Financial Times global finance journalist John Authers reveals how the first truly global super bubble was inflated, and may now be inflating again. He illuminates the multiple roots of repeated financial crises, presenting a truly global view that avoids both oversimplification and ideology. Most valuable of all, Authers offers realistic solutions: for decision-makers who want to prevent disaster, and investors who want to survive it. From world-renowned leaders and experts, including Dr. Mark Zandi, Satyajit Das, and John Authers
Economists broadly define financial asset price bubbles as episodes in which prices rise with notable rapidity and depart from historically established asset valuation multiples and relationships. Financial economists have for decades attempted to study and interpret bubbles through the prisms of rational expectations, efficient markets, equilibrium, arbitrage, and capital asset pricing models, but they have not made much if any progress toward a consistent and reliable theory that explains how and why bubbles (and crashes) evolve and are defined, measured, and compared. This book develops a new and different approach that is based on the central notion that bubbles and crashes reflect urgent short-side rationing, which means that, as such extreme conditions unfold, considerations of quantities owned or not owned begin to displace considerations of price.
This book is the first to evaluate the organisation, behaviour and performance of six major East Asian real estate markets. It offers a unique analysis of the growth and transformation of the real estate sector across East Asia. The authors examine the interactions between volatility in the sector and the overall stability of the economy, in particular during the Asia financial crisis of 1997-98, and the global financial crisis of 2008-09. draws on the best available theoretical and empirical literature applies analytic tools in the context of East Asian institutions and policies helps understand factors affecting resilience and stability in East Asian real estate markets.
Gordon Brown's book will offer insight into the events that led to the fiscal downward spiral and the reactions of world leaders as they took steps to avoid further disaster. The book will also offer measures Brown believes the world should adopt to regain fiscal stability. Long admired for his grasp of economic issues, Brown's book will be a work of paramount interest during these uncertain financial times and is sure to attract intense media coverage. The book offers a unique perspective on the financial crisis as well as innovative ideas that will help create a sound economic future and will help readers understand what really has happened to our economy. Mr Brown has this to say: 'We now live in a world of global trade, global financial flows, global movements of people and instant global communications. Our economies are connected as never before, and I believe that global economic problems require global solutions and global institutions. In writing my analysis of the financial crisis, I wanted to help explain how we got here, but more importantly to offer some recommendations as to how the next stage of globalisation can be managed so that the economy works for people and not the other way around'
