Technological Forecasting for Decision Making
Author: Joseph Paul Martino
Publisher: North Holland
Published: 1983
Total Pages: 410
ISBN-13:
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A Manager's Guide to Technology Forecasting and Strategy Analysis Methods
Author: Stephen M. Millett
Publisher:
Published: 1991
Total Pages: 120
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKTechnology forecasting is one of the most formidable challenges facing many organizations. In A Manager's Guide..., Stephen Millet and Edward Honton provide a guide for corporate and technology managers, planners, and analysts looking for a foundation on which to base technological forecasts and decision making. The authors assess 20 forecasting methods, evaluate their advantages and disadvantages, and suggest applications and uses. This book provides a profile of the technology forecasting and strategy analysis methods available today to guide input to the corporate decision-making process. Trend Analyses: Trend Extrapolation, Time Series Estimation, Regression Analysis, Econometrics, Systems Dynamics, S-Curves, Historical Analogies, Input-Output Matrices, Patent Trend Analysis, Scientific Literature Analysis, New Trend Analyses Techniques. Expert Judgment: Interviews, Questionnaires, Group Dynamics Multi-Option Analyses: Scenarios, Simulations, Paths and Trees, Portfolio Analysis Conclusions: Forecasts, Recommendations for Managers
Forecasting and Management of Technology
Author: Alan L. Porter
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Published: 2011-07-12
Total Pages: 352
ISBN-13: 0470440902
DOWNLOAD EBOOKPublished in 1991, the first edition of Forecasting and Management of Technology was one of the leading handful of books to deal with the topic of forecasting of technology and technology management as this discipline was emerging. The new, revised edition of this book will build on this knowledge in the context of business organizations that now place a greater emphasis on technology to stay on the cutting edge of development. The scope of this edition has broadened to include management of technology content that is relevant to now to executives in organizations while updating and strengthening the technology forecasting and analysis content that the first edition is reputed for. Updated by the original author team, plus new author Scott Cunningham, the book takes into account what the authors see as the innovations to technology management in the last 17 years: the Internet; the greater focus on group decision-making including process management and mechanism design; and desktop software that has transformed the analytical capabilities of technology managers. Included in this book will be 5 case studies from various industries that show how technology management is applied in the real world.
Research and Development Management
Author: Tugrul Daim
Publisher: Springer
Published: 2017-05-23
Total Pages: 294
ISBN-13: 331954537X
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis book introduces readers to essential technology assessment and forecasting tools, demonstrating their use on the basis of multiple cases. As organizations in the high-tech industry need to be able to assess emerging technologies, the book presents cases in which formal decision-making models are developed, providing a framework for decision-making in the context of technology acquisition and development. Applications of different technology forecasting tools are also discussed for a range of technologies and sectors, providing a guide to keep R&D organizations abreast of technological trends that affect their business. As such, the book offers a valuable the theoretical and practical reference guide for R&D managers responsible for emerging and future technologies.
Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
Published: 2010-02-15
Total Pages: 136
ISBN-13: 0309116600
DOWNLOAD EBOOKTechnological innovations are key causal agents of surprise and disruption. In the recent past, the United States military has encountered unexpected challenges in the battlefield due in part to the adversary's incorporation of technologies not traditionally associated with weaponry. Recognizing the need to broaden the scope of current technology forecasting efforts, the Office of the Director, Defense Research and Engineering (DDR&E) and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) tasked the Committee for Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies with providing guidance and insight on how to build a persistent forecasting system to predict, analyze, and reduce the impact of the most dramatically disruptive technologies. The first of two reports, this volume analyzes existing forecasting methods and processes. It then outlines the necessary characteristics of a comprehensive forecasting system that integrates data from diverse sources to identify potentially game-changing technological innovations and facilitates informed decision making by policymakers. The committee's goal was to help the reader understand current forecasting methodologies, the nature of disruptive technologies and the characteristics of a persistent forecasting system for disruptive technology. Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies is a useful text for the Department of Defense, Homeland Security, the Intelligence community and other defense agencies across the nation.
Technological Forecasting for Decision Making
Author: Joseph Paul Martino
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Companies
Published: 1993
Total Pages: 492
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKDisks include versions of Tekfor and Maxim programs.
Forecasting and Management of Technology
Author: Alan L. Porter
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Published: 1991
Total Pages: 472
ISBN-13: 9780471512233
DOWNLOAD EBOOKConsistently practical in its coverage, the book discusses general issues related to forecasting and management; introduces a variety of methods, and shows how to apply these methods to significant issues in managing technological development. With numerous exhibits, case studies and exercises throughout, it requires only basic mathematics and includes a special technology forecasting TOOLKIT for the IBM and compatibles, along with full instructions for installing and running the program.
Natural Laws in the Service of the Decision Maker
Author: Dr Theodore Modis
Publisher: Growth Dynamics
Published: 2013-07-01
Total Pages: 246
ISBN-13: 9782970021681
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis is a How-to book concerning the application of natural laws in the world of business. The first part of the book, Theory and Practice, presents the theory behind the natural laws considered and illustrates how they can be applied in real-life situations. The second part, Methods and Tools, demonstrates how to proceed in general with a customer engagement from the very beginning. Detail technical advice is given on how to fit S curves and how to employ the Volterra-Lotka equations using EXCEL. All along case studies illustrate the approach describing real engagements. For the science-friendly reader the Appendix includes rigorous mathematical formulations for the natural laws invoked in Part I and for the Excel-based curve-fitting procedures described in Part II.
An Introduction to Technological Forecasting
Author: Joseph P. Martino
Publisher: Routledge
Published: 2018-04-09
Total Pages: 190
ISBN-13: 1351106430
DOWNLOAD EBOOKOriginally published in 1972 this book examines technological forecasting and assesses its merits and limitations and possible uses for society, government, industry and the military. Although technological forecasting was in its infancy when this book was originally published, it has now become part of mainstream social and economic planning.
Management of Technology Innovation and Value Creation
Author: Mostafa Hashem Sherif
Publisher: World Scientific
Published: 2008
Total Pages: 447
ISBN-13: 9812790543
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe International Association for Management of Technology (IAMOT) is one of the largest scientific associations dealing with the education, research and application of management of technology. The annual conferences held by IAMOT assemble the most important scientists and experts in the field. The 16th conference held in 2007 included papers by experts from 32 countries. This book compiles the best of those papers presented at the conference. It covers topics and issues related to the knowledge economy, commercialization of knowledge, green technologies, and sustainable development.
