Capital Flows at Risk: Taming the Ebbs and Flows

Capital Flows at Risk: Taming the Ebbs and Flows

Author: Mr.R. G Gelos

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2019-12-20

Total Pages: 44

ISBN-13: 1513522906

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The volatility of capital flows to emerging markets continues to pose challenges to policymakers. In this paper, we propose a new framework to answer critical policy questions: What policies and policy frameworks are most effective in dampening sharp capital flow movements in response to global shocks? What are the near- versus medium-term trade-offs of different policies? We tackle these questions using a quantile regression framework to predict the entire future probability distribution of capital flows to emerging markets, based on current domestic structural characteristics, policies, and global financial conditions. This new approach allows policymakers to quantify capital flows risks and evaluate policy tools to mitigate them, thus building the foundation of a risk management framework for capital flows.


Taming Global Financial Flows

Taming Global Financial Flows

Author: Kavaljit Singh

Publisher: Zed Books

Published: 2000-10

Total Pages: 260

ISBN-13: 9781856497848

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The author enunciates certain guiding principles in order to create a more stable international financial architecture and recommends a series of concrete measures. This most timely and useful follow-up to his very successful previous book, The Globalization of Finance: A Citizen's Guide, contributes greatly to the public understanding of the intricacies of global finance and to the possibilities of effective action by peoples' movements campaigning for a more just and sound financial system."--Jacket.


Taming the Tide of Capital Flows

Taming the Tide of Capital Flows

Author: Atish R. Ghosh

Publisher: MIT Press

Published: 2018-01-12

Total Pages: 489

ISBN-13: 0262343762

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A comprehensive examination of policy measures intended to help emerging markets contend with large and volatile capital flows. While always episodic in nature, capital flows to emerging market economies have been especially volatile since the global financial crisis. After peaking at $680 billion in 2007, flows to emerging markets turned negative at the onset of crisis in 2008, then rebounded only to recede again during the U.S. sovereign debt downgrade in 2011. Since then, flows have continued to swing wildly, leaving emerging market policy makers wondering whether they can put in place policies during the inflow phase that will soften the blow when flows subsequently recede. This book offers the first comprehensive treatment of policy measures intended to help emerging markets contend with large and volatile capital flows. The authors, all IMF experts, explain that, in the spirit of liberalization and deregulation in the 1980s and 1990s, many emerging market governments eliminated capital inflow controls along with outflow controls. By 2012, however, capital inflow controls were again acknowledged as legitimate policy tools. Focusing on the macroeconomic and financial-stability risks associated with capital flows, the authors combine theoretical and empirical analysis to consider the interaction between monetary, exchange rate, macroprudential, and capital control policies to mitigate these risks. They examine the effectiveness of various policy tools, discuss the practical considerations and multilateral implications of their use, and provide concrete policy advice for dealing with capital inflows.


Gross Private Capital Flows to Emerging Markets

Gross Private Capital Flows to Emerging Markets

Author: Erlend Nier

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2014-10-27

Total Pages: 35

ISBN-13: 1498352928

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This paper assesses empirically the key drivers of private capital flows to a large sample of emerging market economies in the last decade. It analyzes the effect of the global financial cycle, measured by the VIX, on capital flows and investigates the role of fundamentals and country characteristics in mitigating or amplifying its effect. Using interaction models, we find the effect of the VIX to be non-linear. For low levels of the VIX, capital flows are driven by fundamental factors. During periods of stress, the VIX becomes the dominant driver of capital flows while other determinants, with the exception of interest rate differentials, lose statistical significance. Our results also suggest that the effect of global financial conditions on gross private capital flows increases with the host country’s level of financial sector development. Finally, our results imply that countries cannot fully insulate themselves from global financial shocks, unless creating a fragmented global financial system.


Questioning Globalization

Questioning Globalization

Author: Kavaljit Singh

Publisher: Zed Books

Published: 2005-10

Total Pages: 196

ISBN-13: 9781842772799

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This volume offers a clear presentation of the big questions about globalization.


Capital Flows and Crises

Capital Flows and Crises

Author: Barry J. Eichengreen

Publisher: MIT Press

Published: 2004

Total Pages: 396

ISBN-13: 9780262550598

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An analysis of the connections between capital flows and financial crises as well as between capital flows and economic growth.


Taming the Money Sharks

Taming the Money Sharks

Author: Philip Shu-Ying Cheng

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2013-05-29

Total Pages: 240

ISBN-13: 1118550439

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Easy-to-follow guidelines from a pro for simplifying your investments, protecting yourself from the investment sharks and achieving financial freedom Drawing on his years as an investor for leading banks in the U.S. and Asia, Philip Cheng delivers down-to-earth strategies guaranteed to make you "shark-proof" while you optimize investment returns. Statistics show that only 20% of small investors ever come close to achieving their investment goals. The other 80% get eaten alive by "investment sharks"—investment advisors, fund managers and other hucksters out to line their pockets with your hard-earned cash. Motivated by a sense of fair play, Cheng resolved to write an investor's survival guide in which he'd share everything he's learned in his years as a successful professional investor. The result is Taming the Money Sharks. The easy-to-follow guidelines you'll find in this book will help you navigate the shark-infested waters of the investment world, all the way to the financial freedom you dream of and deserve. A must-have survival guide for novice investors, and a source of fresh thinking and innovative strategies for experienced investors Features many illustrations, summaries, charts, real-world examples along with other powerful tools to help you avoid common mistakes and win at the investment game Lays out 8 proven strategies for investing systematically and surviving and thriving in the shark-infested waters of the stock market


Taming Capital Flows

Taming Capital Flows

Author: J. Stiglitz

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2015-05-05

Total Pages: 300

ISBN-13: 113742768X

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This volume contains country experiences explained by policy makers and studies by leading experts on causes and consequences of capital flows as well as policies to control these flows. It addresses portfolio flow issues central to open economies, especially emerging markets.


Fixing Global Finance

Fixing Global Finance

Author: Martin Wolf

Publisher: JHU Press

Published: 2010-04-01

Total Pages: 270

ISBN-13: 0801898439

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Since 2008, when Fixing Global Finance was first published, the collapse of the housing and credit bubbles of the 2000s has crippled the world’s economy. In this updated edition, Financial Times columnist Martin Wolf explains how global imbalances helped cause the financial crises now ravaging the U.S. economy and outlines steps for ending this destructive cycle—of which this is the latest and biggest. An expanded conclusion recommends near- and long-term measures to stabilize and protect financial markets in the future. Reviewing global financial crises since 1980, Wolf lays bare the links between the microeconomics of finance and the macroeconomics of the balance of payments, demonstrating how the subprime lending crisis in the United States fits into a pattern that includes the economic shocks of 1997, 1998, and early 1999 in Latin America, Russia, and Asia. He explains why the United States became the “borrower and spender of last resort,” makes the case that this was an untenable arrangement, and argues that global economic security depends on radical reforms in the international monetary system and the ability of emerging economies to borrow sustainably in domestic currencies. Sharply and clearly argued, Wolf’s prescription for fixing global finance illustrates why he has been described as "the world's preeminent financial journalist."