Studies in the Measurement of Voter Turnout

Studies in the Measurement of Voter Turnout

Author:

Publisher:

Published: 1990

Total Pages: 72

ISBN-13:

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This publication includes three papers which explain different aspects of measuring voter behavior. The studies indicate that there is a socioeconomic component to overestimating voter turnout, as well as survey design and weighting effects.


Get Out the Vote

Get Out the Vote

Author: Donald P. Green

Publisher: Brookings Institution Press

Published: 2008-09-01

Total Pages: 239

ISBN-13: 081573266X

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The first edition of Get Out the Vote! broke ground by introducing a new scientific approach to the challenge of voter mobilization and profoundly influenced how campaigns operate. In this expanded and updated edition, the authors incorporate data from more than one hundred new studies, which shed new light on the cost-effectiveness and efficiency of various campaign tactics, including door-to-door canvassing, e-mail, direct mail, and telephone calls. Two new chapters focus on the effectiveness of mass media campaigns and events such as candidate forums and Election Day festivals. Available in time for the core of the 2008 presidential campaign, this practical guide on voter mobilization is sure to be an important resource for consultants, candidates, and grassroots organizations. Praise for the first edition: "Donald P. Green and Alan S. Gerber have studied turnout for years. Their findings, based on dozens of controlled experiments done as part of actual campaigns, are summarized in a slim and readable new book called Get Out the Vote!, which is bound to become a bible for politicians and activists of all stripes." —Alan B. Kreuger, in the New York Times "Get Out the Vote! shatters conventional wisdom about GOTV." —Hal Malchow in Campaigns & Elections "Green and Gerber's recent book represents important innovations in the study of turnout."—Political Science Review "Green and Gerber have provided a valuable resource for grassroots campaigns across the spectrum."—National Journal


The Science of Voter Mobilization

The Science of Voter Mobilization

Author: Donald Green

Publisher: SAGE

Published: 2005

Total Pages: 208

ISBN-13: 9781412927581

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A powerful new research design in the field of voter mobilization has created a more comprehensive picture of the effectiveness of various get-out-the-vote campaign methods. With an increase in field experiments in the past few years, researchers, campaigns, and policymakers have gleaned important insights into voter participation. Until recently, voting behavior was mainly studied through survey research. And while large national surveys have had a tremendous impact on scientific and policy debates, concerns about the accuracy of survey research remain. Surveys suffer from two major drawbacks. First is the possibility of misreporting by survey participants. Measuring voter turnout through survey research relies on respondents' disclosure of whether they voted or not, and some voters may feel embarrassed that they did not vote and provide false answers. Second, campaigns may focus their energies on likely voters. If so, surveys may show a correlation between voter turnout and voter mobilization activity even when voter mobilization campaigns are ineffective. Aware of the limitations of survey research, political scientists have recently turned to field experimentation to gain a clearer picture of the causal implications of voter mobilization efforts on specific populations. This issue of The ANNALS presents the results of several field experiments, which are at the forefront of research in this area. These field experiments draw important distinctions between different forms of mobilization activities and their effects on a variety of populations – studying personal versus impersonal mobilization efforts as well as partisan versus non-partisan efforts. Challenging conventional wisdom and clarifying important methodological issues, this issue of The ANNALS provides a new approach to the study of voter mobilization. Taken together, these intriguing articles report advances in knowledge gained by field experiments and have the potential to reshape the past assumptions about campaign effectiveness and influence future strategies on mobilizing voters. This issue will also serve as a springboard for new work in the field as political scientists grapple with filling in existing gaps – such as the effects of mass media – and move toward an even clearer theoretical understanding of the conditions under which interventions work. Professionals, volunteers and anyone directly involved in voter mobilization will discover important findings in this collection of studies. And, because the research was conducted in the real world of campaigns and elections, the authors help answer the critical question of how to apply scholarly insights to voter outreach programs on a grand scale.


Unequal Political Participation Worldwide

Unequal Political Participation Worldwide

Author: Aina Gallego

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2015

Total Pages: 253

ISBN-13: 110702353X

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This book describes the levels of unequal electoral participation in thirty-six countries worldwide, examines possible causes of this phenomenon, and discusses its consequences.


Voter Turnout Overreports

Voter Turnout Overreports

Author: Ivelisse Cuevas-Molina

Publisher:

Published: 2017

Total Pages:

ISBN-13:

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American politics scholarship has in great measure dedicated itself to the study of democratic participation in elections. Texts that are considered the cannon on electoral participation have extended our knowledge of the factors that increase/decrease turnout, however, this work has relied on self-reports of turnout in surveys. The use of selfreported turnout is problematic because a non-trivial proportion of survey respondents say they went out to vote when they actually did not, meaning they overreport turnout. Overreports of voter turnout are false reports of participation in elections by nonvoters when responding to political surveys. Appropriately, scholars of voting behavior have dedicated a great deal of research to the study of this phenomenon by conducting vote validation studies. This work has engendered important questions about the study of overreporting and how it affects the study of voter turnout. There are four major questions in the literature which I address throughout the dissertation: 1) How accurate is vote validation?, 2) Do overreports bias statistical models of turnout?, 3) What is the correct way to measure and model overreporting?, and 4) What is the cognitive mechanism through which overreports occur? The first chapter describes the phenomenon of voter turnout overreports in surveys and how they affect estimations of turnout in political polling, and derives a social desirability theory of overreporting from the vote validation literature. Chapter 2 presents analysis of the persistence and prevalence of overreporting in the Cooperative Congressional Election Study of 2008 2010, 2012, and 2014. Also, a comprehensive look at the demographic, social and political characteristics of voters, nonvoters and overreporters using data from the 2014 and 2012 CCES. Chapter 3 constitutes the first original contribution to the study of overreporting by proposing a new way of modeling the likelihood of overreporting through multinomial logistic regression analysis. Most Importantly, in Chapter 4, I test the social desirability theory of overreporting, namely analysis of response latency data from the 2014 and 2012 CCES studies. Finally, the conclusion of this dissertation summarizes the main findings of previous chapters and presents analysis of the bias induced by overreports in statistical models of turnout.


Making Young Voters

Making Young Voters

Author: John B. Holbein

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2020-02-20

Total Pages: 283

ISBN-13: 1108488420

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The solution to youth voter turnout requires focus on helping young people follow through on their political interests and intentions.


The American Voter Revisited

The American Voter Revisited

Author: Michael S. Lewis-Beck

Publisher: University of Michigan Press

Published: 2009-12-18

Total Pages: 514

ISBN-13: 0472025139

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Today we are politically polarized as never before. The presidential elections of 2000 and 2004 will be remembered as two of the most contentious political events in American history. Yet despite the recent election upheaval, The American Voter Revisited discovers that voter behavior has been remarkably consistent over the last half century. And if the authors are correct in their predictions, 2008 will show just how reliably the American voter weighs in, election after election. The American Voter Revisited re-creates the outstanding 1960 classic The American Voter---which was based on the presidential elections of 1952 and 1956---following the same format, theory, and mode of analysis as the original. In this new volume, the authors test the ideas and methods of the original against presidential election surveys from 2000 and 2004. Surprisingly, the contemporary American voter is found to behave politically much like voters of the 1950s. "Simply essential. For generations, serious students of American politics have kept The American Voter right on their desk. Now, everyone will keep The American Voter Revisited right next to it." ---Larry J. Sabato, Director of the University of Virginia Center for Politics and author of A More Perfect Constitution "The American Voter Revisited is destined to be the definitive volume on American electoral behavior for decades. It is a timely book for 2008, with in-depth analyses of the 2000 and 2004 elections updating and extending the findings of the original The American Voter. It is also quite accessible, making it ideal for graduate students as well as advanced undergrads." ---Andrew E. Smith, Director of the University of New Hampshire Survey Center "A theoretically faithful, empirically innovative, comprehensive update of the original classic." ---Sam Popkin, Professor of Political Science, University of California, San Diego Michael S. Lewis-Beck is F. Wendell Miller Distinguished Professor of Political Science at the University of Iowa. William G. Jacoby is Professor of Political Science at Michigan State University. Helmut Norpoth is Professor of Political Science at Stony Brook University. Herbert F. Weisberg is Professor of Political Science at Ohio State University.