Professor Allan Lichtman’s method for predicting the winners of the U.S. popular votes since 1984. The 13 keys to the White House

Professor Allan Lichtman’s method for predicting the winners of the U.S. popular votes since 1984. The 13 keys to the White House

Author: Tim Nienaber

Publisher: GRIN Verlag

Published: 2020-08-05

Total Pages: 26

ISBN-13: 3346219291

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Seminar paper from the year 2020 in the subject Politics - Region: USA, University of Bonn, language: English, abstract: This paper will focus on what Lichtman calls the "Thirteen Keys to the White House" and how he used them to predict the outcomes of the last nine presidential elections. To do so, his book "The Keys to the White House" which was firstly published in 1996 is required as the main source for the following steps that will serve as the leading topics of each chapter of this paper. The first chapter will briefly summarize and explain Lichtman’s thirteen keys and how they were determined as critical indicators for predicting the winner of a presidential election. In a second step and therefore in the second chapter the focus will lie on how Lichtman decided whether a key applied to a residing President or not, especially regarding certain keys which cannot be answered simply because of extraordinary circumstances surrounding particular candidates of the various presidential elections since 1984. As Lichtman stated that the presidential race between Republican candidate Donald J. Trump and Democratic candidate and former First Lady of the United States Hillary Clinton was the hardest election to predict, a third chapter will focus on the reasons for that. Additionally, the chapter will try to apply the keys to a new election by assuming that Donald Trump will run for office again.


Oscarmetrics

Oscarmetrics

Author: Ben Zauzmer

Publisher:

Published: 2019-11-02

Total Pages: 284

ISBN-13: 9781629334400

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What are the hidden biases of Academy Awards voters? Do films that are more popular with audiences win more often? What are the biggest upsets in Oscar history and how can they be explained?


Predicting the Next President

Predicting the Next President

Author: Allan J. Lichtman

Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield

Published: 2024-07-01

Total Pages: 246

ISBN-13:

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In the days after Donald Trump’s unexpected victory on election night 2016, The New York Times, CNN, and other leading media outlets reached out to one of the few pundits who had correctly predicted the outcome, Allan J. Lichtman. While many election forecasters base their findings exclusively on public opinion polls, Lichtman looks at the underlying fundamentals that have driven every presidential election since 1860. Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), Lichtman had been predicting Trump’s win since September 2016. In the updated 2024 edition, he applies the keys to every presidential election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2024 race. In doing so, he dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies!


Advances in Networks, Intelligence and Computing

Advances in Networks, Intelligence and Computing

Author: Ashok Kumar

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2024-05-24

Total Pages: 845

ISBN-13: 1040017096

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The year 2023 marks the 100th birth anniversary of E.F. Codd (19 August 1923 - 18 April 2003), a computer scientist, who while working for IBM invented the relational model for database management, the theoretical basis for relational databases and relational database management systems. He made other valuable contributions to computer science but the relational model, a very influential general theory of data management, remains his most mentioned, analyzed, and celebrated achievement. School of Computer Application, under the aegis of Lovely Professional University, pays homage to this great scientist of all times by hosting “CODD100 – International Conference on Networks, Intelligence and Computing (ICONIC-2023)”.


AP Statistics

AP Statistics

Author: Martin Sternstein

Publisher: Barrons Educational Services

Published: 2020-08-04

Total Pages: 697

ISBN-13: 1506262023

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Be prepared for exam day with Barron’s. Trusted content from AP experts! Barron’s AP Statistics: 2021-2022 includes in-depth content review and practice. It’s the only book you’ll need to be prepared for exam day. Written by Experienced Educators Learn from Barron’s--all content is written and reviewed by AP experts Build your understanding with comprehensive review tailored to the most recent exam Get a leg up with tips, strategies, and study advice for exam day--it’s like having a trusted tutor by your side Be Confident on Exam Day Sharpen your test-taking skills with 6 full-length practice tests, including a diagnostic test to target your studying Strengthen your knowledge with in-depth review covering all Units on the AP Statistics Exam Reinforce your learning with numerous practice quizzes throughout the book


Enrich Your Future

Enrich Your Future

Author: Larry E. Swedroe

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2024-02-21

Total Pages: 326

ISBN-13: 1394245459

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Create a winning portfolio by understanding the realities of modern investing In Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing, prolific author and investor Larry Swedroe shines light on the foundation of modern investing, enabling readers to create winning portfolios through simple yet effective strategies. Through a combination of analogies, personal anecdotes, and empirical evidence from peer reviewed journals, the book clearly explains how to play the winner’s game, instead of simply following the crowd, speculating, and making brokers and fund families wealthy in the process. The book begins by first explaining how to put your portfolio on the right path, then how to keep a steady course during market uncertainty, when many investors fall victim to human nature, lose perspective, and make incorrect investment decisions based on fear and greed. In this book, readers will learn: How prices of securities are established and why it's so difficult to outperform on a risk-adjusted basis How to navigate various key decision points when designing your portfolio How to develop a conceptually sound investment strategy and reach your financial goals faster How playing the winner’s game in investing will improve the quality of your life as well. Revealing the true nature of the modern financial market and changing the way readers approach investing in general, Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing is an essential guide for individual investors and financial advisors seeking to make more informed and prudent investment decisions.


Pet Records

Pet Records

Author: Julie Beer

Publisher:

Published: 2020

Total Pages: 212

ISBN-13: 1426337353

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This book goes to extremes to introduce kids to the best of the best in the world of over-achieving, amazing, record-setting pets Pets are more than just our animal besties. They're totally extreme From the largest to the smallest, the biggest braniacs to the most awesome athletes, discover the amazing talents of all kinds of animals, including dogs, cats, bunnies, horses, reptiles, fish, even insects, and more. Some were just born this way. Others have worked hard to develop their skills. Plus, you'll dive into the details behind the records, see how different pets match up, and encounter some of the world's wackiest pet places. With eye-popping design, unforgettable photographs, and amazing stats, this book is sure to become the leader of the pack on every kid's bookshelf


Advances in Digital Marketing in the Era of Artificial Intelligence

Advances in Digital Marketing in the Era of Artificial Intelligence

Author: Moez Ltifi

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2024-07-12

Total Pages: 329

ISBN-13: 1040031668

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This book highlights the technological advances that are transforming the future of digital marketing and covers important areas of research in this field. The book demonstrates advances in digital marketing as well as tools, techniques, methods and strategies based on artificial intelligence. It also identifies gaps in research into effective digital marketing tools, techniques and methods, and it bridges the interaction between digital marketing strategies and organisations’ business plans, on the one hand, and customer relations, on the other, in the age of artificial intelligence. This book presents the concepts and applications of digital marketing in the age of artificial intelligence to readers in a comprehensive manner. The book highlights the major breakthroughs and technologies in digital marketing for effective interaction, analysis, prediction and design to formulate the best strategy for a business by using artificial intelligence solutions. This enables specialists to apply advances in digital marketing in the age of artificial intelligence in the right way to serve customers and solve business problems in this competitive age. Covering the intersection of marketing and artificial intelligence, this book is a first-rate reference and an indispensable resource for business leaders, academics, salespeople, marketing professionals, managers, business owners, researchers, practitioners, instructors, college and university libraries, students, consultants, businesspeople, computer scientists, and customer-focused institutions.