Optimal Mean Reversion Trading

Optimal Mean Reversion Trading

Author: Tim Leung (Professor of industrial engineering)

Publisher: World Scientific

Published: 2015-11-26

Total Pages: 221

ISBN-13: 9814725927

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"Optimal Mean Reversion Trading: Mathematical Analysis and Practical Applications provides a systematic study to the practical problem of optimal trading in the presence of mean-reverting price dynamics. It is self-contained and organized in its presentation, and provides rigorous mathematical analysis as well as computational methods for trading ETFs, options, futures on commodities or volatility indices, and credit risk derivatives. This book offers a unique financial engineering approach that combines novel analytical methodologies and applications to a wide array of real-world examples. It extracts the mathematical problems from various trading approaches and scenarios, but also addresses the practical aspects of trading problems, such as model estimation, risk premium, risk constraints, and transaction costs. The explanations in the book are detailed enough to capture the interest of the curious student or researcher, and complete enough to give the necessary background material for further exploration into the subject and related literature. This book will be a useful tool for anyone interested in financial engineering, particularly algorithmic trading and commodity trading, and would like to understand the mathematically optimal strategies in different market environments."--


Optimal Mean Reversion Trading: Mathematical Analysis And Practical Applications

Optimal Mean Reversion Trading: Mathematical Analysis And Practical Applications

Author: Tim Siu-tang Leung

Publisher: World Scientific

Published: 2015-11-26

Total Pages: 221

ISBN-13: 9814725935

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Optimal Mean Reversion Trading: Mathematical Analysis and Practical Applications provides a systematic study to the practical problem of optimal trading in the presence of mean-reverting price dynamics. It is self-contained and organized in its presentation, and provides rigorous mathematical analysis as well as computational methods for trading ETFs, options, futures on commodities or volatility indices, and credit risk derivatives.This book offers a unique financial engineering approach that combines novel analytical methodologies and applications to a wide array of real-world examples. It extracts the mathematical problems from various trading approaches and scenarios, but also addresses the practical aspects of trading problems, such as model estimation, risk premium, risk constraints, and transaction costs. The explanations in the book are detailed enough to capture the interest of the curious student or researcher, and complete enough to give the necessary background material for further exploration into the subject and related literature.This book will be a useful tool for anyone interested in financial engineering, particularly algorithmic trading and commodity trading, and would like to understand the mathematically optimal strategies in different market environments.


Way of the Turtle: The Secret Methods that Turned Ordinary People into Legendary Traders

Way of the Turtle: The Secret Methods that Turned Ordinary People into Legendary Traders

Author: Curtis Faith

Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional

Published: 2007-03-30

Total Pages: 314

ISBN-13: 0071509461

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“We're going to raise traders just like they raise turtles in Singapore.” So trading guru Richard Dennis reportedly said to his long-time friend William Eckhardt nearly 25 years ago. What started as a bet about whether great traders were born or made became a legendary trading experiment that, until now, has never been told in its entirety. Way of the Turtle reveals, for the first time, the reasons for the success of the secretive trading system used by the group known as the “Turtles.” Top-earningTurtle Curtis Faith lays bare the entire experiment, explaining how it was possible for Dennis and Eckhardt to recruit 23 ordinary people from all walks of life and train them to be extraordinary traders in just two weeks. Only nineteen years old at the time-the youngest Turtle by far-Faith traded the largest account, making more than $30 million in just over four years. He takes you behind the scenes of the Turtle selection process and behind closed doors where the Turtles learned the lucrative trading strategies that enabled them to earn an average return of over 80 percent per year and profits of more than $100 million. You'll discover How the Turtles made money-the principles that guided their trading and the step-by-step methods they followed Why, even though they used the same approach, some Turtles were more successful than others How to look beyond the rules as the Turtles implemented them to find core strategies that work for any tradable market How to apply the Turtle Way to your own trades-and in your own life Ways to diversify your trading and limit your exposure to risk Offering his unique perspective on the experience, Faith explains why the Turtle Way works in modern markets, and shares hard-earned wisdom on taking risks, choosing your own path, and learning from your mistakes.


Generalized Integral Transforms In Mathematical Finance

Generalized Integral Transforms In Mathematical Finance

Author: Andrey Itkin

Publisher: World Scientific

Published: 2021-10-12

Total Pages: 508

ISBN-13: 9811231753

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This book describes several techniques, first invented in physics for solving problems of heat and mass transfer, and applies them to various problems of mathematical finance defined in domains with moving boundaries. These problems include: (a) semi-closed form pricing of options in the one-factor models with time-dependent barriers (Bachelier, Hull-White, CIR, CEV); (b) analyzing an interconnected banking system in the structural credit risk model with default contagion; (c) finding first hitting time density for a reducible diffusion process; (d) describing the exercise boundary of American options; (e) calculating default boundary for the structured default problem; (f) deriving a semi-closed form solution for optimal mean-reverting trading strategies; to mention but some.The main methods used in this book are generalized integral transforms and heat potentials. To find a semi-closed form solution, we need to solve a linear or nonlinear Volterra equation of the second kind and then represent the option price as a one-dimensional integral. Our analysis shows that these methods are computationally more efficient than the corresponding finite-difference methods for the backward or forward Kolmogorov PDEs (partial differential equations) while providing better accuracy and stability.We extend a large number of known results by either providing solutions on complementary or extended domains where the solution is not known yet or modifying these techniques and applying them to new types of equations, such as the Bessel process. The book contains several novel results broadly applicable in physics, mathematics, and engineering.


Weekend Trend Trader

Weekend Trend Trader

Author: Nick Radge

Publisher: Radge Publishing

Published: 2012

Total Pages: 42

ISBN-13:

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The Weekend Trend Trader is a trading strategy designed for people who want a simple to follow trading plan that trades just once a week. An ideal investment strategy for people who work full time but are actively planning for their retirement. Weekend Trend Trader is designed for and tested on the US stock Market. The Weekend Trend Trader strategy is a turnkey strategy that uses no discretion. In other words the strategy has a set of rules and users should understand why they entered a trade and when and how they will exit. Because the rules are strictly and mathematically defined we are able to back test the strategy on historical data. This enables us to understand the strategy’s nuances and therefore better understand how the journey to success will be travelled. The strategy is a combination of several tools that: * ensures you will always be aligned with the trend of the broader market * enters positions at specific points and with reasonable confirmation * manages existing positions with a trailing stop loss * defends existing positions if the trend of the broader market reverses * outlines how much to invest in each position. We will fully step through each of these points in detail and slowly build the system from the ground up.


Building Winning Algorithmic Trading Systems, + Website

Building Winning Algorithmic Trading Systems, + Website

Author: Kevin J. Davey

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2014-07-21

Total Pages: 294

ISBN-13: 1118778987

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Develop your own trading system with practical guidance and expert advice In Building Algorithmic Trading Systems: A Trader's Journey From Data Mining to Monte Carlo Simulation to Live Training, award-winning trader Kevin Davey shares his secrets for developing trading systems that generate triple-digit returns. With both explanation and demonstration, Davey guides you step-by-step through the entire process of generating and validating an idea, setting entry and exit points, testing systems, and implementing them in live trading. You'll find concrete rules for increasing or decreasing allocation to a system, and rules for when to abandon one. The companion website includes Davey's own Monte Carlo simulator and other tools that will enable you to automate and test your own trading ideas. A purely discretionary approach to trading generally breaks down over the long haul. With market data and statistics easily available, traders are increasingly opting to employ an automated or algorithmic trading system—enough that algorithmic trades now account for the bulk of stock trading volume. Building Algorithmic Trading Systems teaches you how to develop your own systems with an eye toward market fluctuations and the impermanence of even the most effective algorithm. Learn the systems that generated triple-digit returns in the World Cup Trading Championship Develop an algorithmic approach for any trading idea using off-the-shelf software or popular platforms Test your new system using historical and current market data Mine market data for statistical tendencies that may form the basis of a new system Market patterns change, and so do system results. Past performance isn't a guarantee of future success, so the key is to continually develop new systems and adjust established systems in response to evolving statistical tendencies. For individual traders looking for the next leap forward, Building Algorithmic Trading Systems provides expert guidance and practical advice.


Unholy Grails

Unholy Grails

Author: Nick Radge

Publisher: Radge Publishing

Published: 2012-03-05

Total Pages: 238

ISBN-13: 0980871220

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What’s the fastest way to lose money? Follow the herd. Nick Radge stopped following the herd many years ago. As a trader and stock broker, Nick learnt to recognise what the herd were doing and how they react to financial information. He also realised that it made no sense. Are you one of the herd? Here’s a test: If a stock’s price is falling do you think it represents good value, i.e. it’s cheap? OneTel and HIH were not cheap when they eventually delisted in 2001. ABC Learning was not cheap when it delisted in 2008. How about Bear Sterns, Lehman Brothers, Trump Entertainment or Kodak? Billabong does not look cheap at the moment! A stock price in motion tends to stay in motion; Unholy Grails will show you how to be on the positive side of this statement. Nick Radge is focused on momentum investing; purchasing stocks that are trending up. Nick shows you how to hitch a ride on stocks in an uptrend or protect your capital during sustained bear markets. Unholy Grails goes against almost everything your stock broker, financial planner and your fund manager will ever tell you. Considering that in 2008 capital managed by fund managers dropped up to 50% we are in desperate need of an alternative way of thinking. In Unholy Grails, Nick Radge details a road less travelled; a compilation of practical strategies for investors looking for long term gains with minimum daily effort. “I am shocked that so many Mum and Dad investors were financially and emotionally battered during the GFC. The financial planners and fund managers they were relying on for advice gave them no advice: just the same old ‘buy and hold’ strategy that simply does not work in a collapsing market. In Unholy Grails I define specific strategies for investors, allowing them to manage their own investments and stop paying fees to financial planners and advisors,” said the author, Nick Radge. Whether investing for your retirement or using an active investment strategy to manage your personal wealth, Nick Radge examines and tests numerous investment strategies to help determine the right one for you. Don’t expect the same old, worn out advice from Nick Radge. His latest book is not called Unholy Grails for nothing!


Algorithmic Trading

Algorithmic Trading

Author: Ernie Chan

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2013-05-28

Total Pages: 230

ISBN-13: 1118460146

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Praise for Algorithmic TRADING “Algorithmic Trading is an insightful book on quantitative trading written by a seasoned practitioner. What sets this book apart from many others in the space is the emphasis on real examples as opposed to just theory. Concepts are not only described, they are brought to life with actual trading strategies, which give the reader insight into how and why each strategy was developed, how it was implemented, and even how it was coded. This book is a valuable resource for anyone looking to create their own systematic trading strategies and those involved in manager selection, where the knowledge contained in this book will lead to a more informed and nuanced conversation with managers.” —DAREN SMITH, CFA, CAIA, FSA, Managing Director, Manager Selection & Portfolio Construction, University of Toronto Asset Management “Using an excellent selection of mean reversion and momentum strategies, Ernie explains the rationale behind each one, shows how to test it, how to improve it, and discusses implementation issues. His book is a careful, detailed exposition of the scientific method applied to strategy development. For serious retail traders, I know of no other book that provides this range of examples and level of detail. His discussions of how regime changes affect strategies, and of risk management, are invaluable bonuses.” —ROGER HUNTER, Mathematician and Algorithmic Trader


A Machine Learning based Pairs Trading Investment Strategy

A Machine Learning based Pairs Trading Investment Strategy

Author: Simão Moraes Sarmento

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2020-07-13

Total Pages: 108

ISBN-13: 3030472515

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This book investigates the application of promising machine learning techniques to address two problems: (i) how to find profitable pairs while constraining the search space and (ii) how to avoid long decline periods due to prolonged divergent pairs. It also proposes the integration of an unsupervised learning algorithm, OPTICS, to handle problem (i), and demonstrates that the suggested technique can outperform the common pairs search methods, achieving an average portfolio Sharpe ratio of 3.79, in comparison to 3.58 and 2.59 obtained using standard approaches. For problem (ii), the authors introduce a forecasting-based trading model capable of reducing the periods of portfolio decline by 75%. However, this comes at the expense of decreasing overall profitability. The authors also test the proposed strategy using an ARMA model, an LSTM and an LSTM encoder-decoder.