Country Risk

Country Risk

Author: Norbert Gaillard

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2020-07-06

Total Pages: 266

ISBN-13: 3030457885

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Country risk has been a key notion for economists, financiers, and investors. Norbert Gaillard defines this notion as “any macroeconomic, microeconomic, financial, social, political, institutional, judiciary, climatic, technological, or sanitary risk that affects (or could affect) an investor in a foreign country. Damages may materialize in several ways: financial losses; threat to the safety of the investing company’s employees, clients, or consumers; reputational damage; or loss of a market or supply source.” Chapter 1 introduces the key concepts. Chapter 2 investigates how country risk has evolved and manifested since the advent of the Pax Britannica in 1816. It describes the international political and economic environment and identifies the main obstacles to foreign investment. Chapter 3 documents the numerous forms that country risk may take and provides illustrations of them. Seven broad components of country risk are scrutinized in turn: international political risks; domestic political and institutional risks; jurisdiction risks; macroeconomic risks; microeconomic risks; sanitary, health, industrial, and environmental risks; and natural and climate risks. Chapter 4 focuses on sovereign risk. It presents the rating methodologies used by four raters; next, it measures and compares their performance (i.e., their ability to forecast sovereign defaults). Chapter 5 studies the risks likely to affect exporters, importers, foreign creditors of corporate entities, foreign shareholders, and foreign direct investors. It presents the rating methodologies used by seven raters and measures their track records in terms of anticipating eight types of shocks that reflect the main components of country risk analyzed in Chapter 3. This book will be most relevant to graduate students in economics as well as professional economists and international investors.


The Energy of Nations

The Energy of Nations

Author: Jeremy Leggett

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2013-10-08

Total Pages: 273

ISBN-13: 1134578717

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Systemic global risks of oil supply, climate shock and financial collapse threaten tomorrow's economies and mean businesses and policy makers face huge challenges in fuelling tomorrow’s world. Jeremy Leggett gives a personal testimony of the dangers often ignored and incompletely understood - a journey through the human mind, the institutionalization of denial, and the reasons civilizations fail. It is also an account of tantalizing hope, because mobilizing renewables and redeploying energy funding can soften the crash of modern capitalism and set us on a road to renaissance.


Managing Country Risk

Managing Country Risk

Author: Daniel Wagner

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2012-02-15

Total Pages: 310

ISBN-13: 1466500476

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What would you do if a law that enabled your investment to operate successfully abroad suddenly changed, and your business could no longer operate profitably there? Imagine exporting goods to a government buyer only to discover after the fact that your home country, or the United Nations, has just imposed an embargo on that country. Managing Country Risk: A Practitioner’s Guide to Effective Cross-Border Risk Analysis explains how to identify and manage the many risks associated with conducting business abroad. Daniel Wagner, an industry expert with decades of battle-tested experience, provides the real-world insight needed to think outside the box and anticipate the impact of change on your business operations. Using case studies and practical examples, it supplies essential information on country risk management and explains how these concepts apply to every day operational examples. Considering the impact of perception on investment decisions, it demonstrates how to put a country risk assessment into practice and explains how to create a framework, select the right tools, and map out a country risk analysis methodology. Appropriate for a wide audience—from individual entrepreneurs and small exporters to multinational corporations—the book provides a solid foundation in the basics of country risk analysis. It facilitates an understanding of the full range of cross-border risks and explains how to manage them. The strategies, concepts, and tools outlined in the book provide you with the understanding needed to help your organization make more-informed decisions about how it does business abroad. Practical examples and case studies provide the real-world insight needed to add value to the risk management processes in your organization and enhance your company’s ability to make a profit.


Country Risk Assessment

Country Risk Assessment

Author: Michel Henry Bouchet

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2003-10-31

Total Pages: 286

ISBN-13: 047086818X

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One of the few books on the subject, Country Risk Assessment combines the theoretical and practical tools for managing international country risk exposure. - Offers a comprehensive discussion of the specific mechanisms that apply to country risk assessment. - Discusses various techniques associated with global investment strategy. - Presents and analyses the various sources of country risk. - Provides an in depth coverage of information sources and country risk service providers. - Gives techniques for forecasting country financial crises. - Includes practical examples and case studies. - Provides a comprehensive review of all existing methods including the techniques on the cutting-edge Market Based Approaches such as KMV, CreditMetrics, CountryMetrics and CreditRisk+.


Cross-Border Exposures and Country Risk

Cross-Border Exposures and Country Risk

Author: Thomas Krayenbuehl

Publisher: Woodhead Publishing

Published: 2001-07-03

Total Pages: 222

ISBN-13: 9781855735125

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The international financial system has come under strain several times in recent years, and analysis has shown that most crises originated from the risks built into cross-border exposures. Assessment and monitoring of cross-border exposures and country risk are essential activities for international lending agencies such as government bodies, banks, multinational corporations and other investors. Inadequate risk management could have a destabilising effect on both lender and borrower and could result in a major international financial crisis. This completely revised edition of Thomas E Krayenbuehl's classic handbook clearly shows how the various players can quantify and manage the complex factors involved in order to minimise the risk and avoid potentially catastrophic consequences. It provides both a rigorous analysis of the current situation and a guide to meeting the challenges of the future. Just some of the things you'll discover. How to succeed in cross-border lending and investment through good assessment, monitoring and hedging of country risk How the Tequila and Asian crises came about, and the lessons learned The likelihood of future crises and the potential causes The latest problems to beset the international financial system The recent developments in cross-border financing Why the problem of contagion occurs between seemingly unrelated markets The enormous need for global capital to bring about sustainable economic development in the developing world, and the role of the major players in fulfilling it The numerous factors that constitute and influence a specific country risk The responsibilities of all the parties involved, from the IMF and the World Bank to the industrialised and developing nations, the regulators and the rating agencies How this study helps you: This lucid and authoritative handbook will help you to: Understand the problems facing the international financial system Identify and assess new investment opportunities Optimise risk composition of cross-border lending or investment Make sound decisions, minimise risk and achieve better outcomes The definitive study of this important topic - its purpose, practice and implications


Country Risk Analysis

Country Risk Analysis

Author: Ronald L. Solberg

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2002-09-11

Total Pages: 403

ISBN-13: 113489841X

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Country-Risk Analysis is a comprehensive, practical guide to the management of international risk and cross-border lending. The last fifteen years of international commercial bank lending have witnessed a classical boom-and-bust cycle. Yet it is only recently that a formalized approach to country risk assessment has been implemented in the major international banks. Ron Solberg's volume provides a state-of-the-art review of the country risk techniques that have evolved in the context of dramatic changes in developing countries' debt service capacity and in international lending itself. It deals comprehensively with sovereign credit decision making, portfolio management, lending behaviour and financial innovations.


A Nation at Risk

A Nation at Risk

Author: United States. National Commission on Excellence in Education

Publisher:

Published: 1983

Total Pages: 82

ISBN-13:

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Divided Nations

Divided Nations

Author: Ian Goldin

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2013-03-14

Total Pages: 222

ISBN-13: 0199693900

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The UN, World Bank, and the IMF were all created in the radically different world of the 1940s. It is becoming increasingly apparent that our global structures are struggling to cope with the new globalized, interconnected challenges of the twenty-first century. Ian Goldin looks to the future to consider radical new approaches to our world order.


The Handbook of Country Risk 2006-2007

The Handbook of Country Risk 2006-2007

Author: Jonathan Reuvid

Publisher: GMB Publishing Ltd

Published: 2006-05

Total Pages: 475

ISBN-13: 1846730139

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This 8th edition of The Handbook of Country Risk is an invaluable resource both for companies developing international trade and for entrepreneurs and their advisors concerned with international investment. Compiled by Coface the world's number one in insurable trading risks, this authoritative reference source provides up-to-date analysis of the risks involved in trading with or investing in 152 countries, giving each one a unique risk rating. For finance departments, the handbook crucially assesses the likelihood of payment default. And for business developers and would-be investors, it weighs the risks and opportunities in markets.


Valuation for M&A

Valuation for M&A

Author: Frank C. Evans

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2002-07-15

Total Pages: 313

ISBN-13: 0471217298

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The only resource available to help calculate investment value versus fair market value Whether buying or selling, the question of "what's it worth?" is multifaceted. In an M&A setting, it is necessary to compute fair market value, but it is far more important to compute investment value-the value of the target company to a strategic buyer. This calculation varies with each prospective buyer, depending on synergies, benefits, and other competitive analyses that are seldom involved in business valuation. Valuation for M&A is the first book to focus on valuation for merger and acquisitions. This groundbreaking guide provides document request checklists, sample interview questions, a format for adjusting financial statements, a format for developing discount rates, a format for computation of net cash flow, and a valuation reconciliation form, all to help senior executives and M&A professionals better negotiate a successful deal. Frank C. Evans is a certified business appraiser (CBA), Accredited Senior Business Appraiser in Business Valuation (ASA), and CPA (accredited in business valuation) and David M. Bishop is a Master Certified Business Appraiser (MCBA), Accredited Senior Business Appraiser in Business Valuation (ASA), Fellow of the Institute of Business Appraisers (FIBA), and Business Valuator Accredited for Litigation (BVAL).