Marriage Forecasting

Marriage Forecasting

Author: Tim Muehlhoff

Publisher: InterVarsity Press

Published: 2010-10-18

Total Pages: 193

ISBN-13: 0830868259

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Communication specialist Tim Muehlhoff shows how to take an accurate climate reading of your marriage relationship and explains what causes climates of poor communication. With current research on marital communication, listening, empathy and conflict, Marriage Forecasting provides practical ways to rebuild a warm relational climate.


Population Forecasting 1895–1945

Population Forecasting 1895–1945

Author: H.A. de Gans

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 304

ISBN-13: 9401147663

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Authors, scholars and scientists whose mother tongue is not one of the major languages of international communication are seriously disadvantaged. Some individuals, such as Joseph Conrad or Vladimir Nabokov, have overcome that handicap brilliantly. Others learn to live with it: they can express themselves sufficiently lucidly in a second language to make their voice heard internation ally. At least when they have something original or striking to say they will be certain to reach their peers. Most scientists and scholars fall into that category. Others, again, have to wait until their work has been translated before its value is recognised. This may apply even to those whose mother tongue is widely read. The writings of Frenchmen Lyotard, Derrida, Baudrillard or Foucault on post-modernism, on language, discourse and power, for example, had tremendous world-wide impact only after English translations appeared on the market. De Gans' study of the development of population forecasting in The Nether lands is another striking illustration of the effects a language barrier may have. He demonstrates convincingly that although a -possibly some what awkward Dutchman named Wiebols, was a pioneer of modern cohort component demo graphic forecasting, he never received international recognition for this. In his thesis of 1925 Wiebols employed the newest instruments of demographic analysis in improving forecasting methodology.


Statistical Demography and Forecasting

Statistical Demography and Forecasting

Author: Juha Alho

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2006-05-27

Total Pages: 432

ISBN-13: 0387283927

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Provides a unique introduction to demographic problems in a familiar language. Presents a unified statistical outlook on both classical methods of demography and recent developments. Exercises are included to facilitate its classroom use. Both authors have contributed extensively to statistical demography and served in advisory roles and as statistical consultants in the field.


Qi Men Dun Jia Forecasting Methods - People and Environmental Matters (Book 2)

Qi Men Dun Jia Forecasting Methods - People and Environmental Matters (Book 2)

Author: Joey Yap

Publisher: Joey Yap Research Group

Published: 2013-11-01

Total Pages: 324

ISBN-13: 9670310911

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Explore possibilities and outcomes with the ancient art of Qi Men Qi Men Dun Jia Forecasting Methods - People and Environmental Matters (Book 2) is a practical and easy-to-use reference book on utilising the ancient art of Qi Men for divination or forecasting. In this second instalment on forecasting methods, learn how to divine subjects related to people and their relationships, as well as environment factors.


For Better, for Worse!

For Better, for Worse!

Author: Joseph

Publisher: Xlibris Corporation

Published: 2015-04-22

Total Pages: 120

ISBN-13: 1503555127

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It would have been a celebration to rememberhad it not been our weddingVeronica and I, two amateurs in the area of marriage, who were only good at dry humor as we constantly attempted to make fun of any serious issue in life. It was a Friday afternoon. July 1st 1994, a gorgeous day in the city of Nairobi, the city in the sun.


Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models

Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models

Author: Mike West

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2013-06-29

Total Pages: 720

ISBN-13: 1475793650

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In this book we are concerned with Bayesian learning and forecast ing in dynamic environments. We describe the structure and theory of classes of dynamic models, and their uses in Bayesian forecasting. The principles, models and methods of Bayesian forecasting have been developed extensively during the last twenty years. This devel opment has involved thorough investigation of mathematical and sta tistical aspects of forecasting models and related techniques. With this has come experience with application in a variety of areas in commercial and industrial, scientific and socio-economic fields. In deed much of the technical development has been driven by the needs of forecasting practitioners. As a result, there now exists a relatively complete statistical and mathematical framework, although much of this is either not properly documented or not easily accessible. Our primary goals in writing this book have been to present our view of this approach to modelling and forecasting, and to provide a rea sonably complete text for advanced university students and research workers. The text is primarily intended for advanced undergraduate and postgraduate students in statistics and mathematics. In line with this objective we present thorough discussion of mathematical and statistical features of Bayesian analyses of dynamic models, with illustrations, examples and exercises in each Chapter.


Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences

Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences

Author: Kenneth C. Land

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 376

ISBN-13: 9400940114

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Social and natural scientists often are called upon to produce, or participate, in the pro duction of forecasts. This volume assembles essays that (a) describe the organizational and political context of applied forecasting, (b) review the state-of-the-art for many fore casting models and methods, and (c) discuss issues of predictability, the implications of forecaSt errors, and model construction, linkage and verification. The essays should be of particular interest to social and natural scientists concerned with forecasting large-scale systems. This project had its origins in discussions of social forecasts and forecasting method ologies initiated a few years ago by several social and natural science members of the Social Science Research Council's Committee on Social Indicators. It became appar ent in these discussions that certain similar problems were confronted in forecasting large-scale systems-be they social or natural. In response, the Committee hypothesized that much could be learned through more extended and systematic interchanges among social and natural scientists focusing on the formal methodologies applied in forecasting. To put this conjecture to the test, the Committee sponsored a conference at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado, on June 10-13, 1984, on forecasting in the social and natural sciences. The conference was co-chaired by Committee members Kenneth C. Land and Stephen H. Schneider representing, respectively, the social and natural science mem bership of the Committee. Support for the conference was provided by a grant to the Council from the Division of Social and Economic Science of the National Science Foundation.