Cyclical Productivity in US Manufacturing (RLE: Business Cycles)
Cyclical Productivity in US Manufacturing (RLE: Business Cycles)

Author: Miguel Jimenez

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2015-03-27

Total Pages: 113

ISBN-13: 1317512103

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This book presents several pieces of empirical work which disentangle why the standard measure of productivity growth used in macroeconomics turn out to be procyclical for American manufacturing industries. Procyclical productivity is an essential feature of business cycles because of its important implications for macroeconomic modelling. The author explains why traditional Keynesian theories of the business cycle do not explain satisfactorily why productivity is procyclical, and argues that the force of technology for generating economic cycles is much more important than that of the management or mismanagement of monetary or fiscal policies. This book is aimed at those working in empirical macroeconomics but also industrial economics.

The Global Trade Slowdown
The Global Trade Slowdown

Author: Cristina Constantinescu

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2015-01-21

Total Pages: 44

ISBN-13: 1498399134

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This paper focuses on the sluggish growth of world trade relative to income growth in recent years. The analysis uses an empirical strategy based on an error correction model to assess whether the global trade slowdown is structural or cyclical. An estimate of the relationship between trade and income in the past four decades reveals that the long-term trade elasticity rose sharply in the 1990s, but declined significantly in the 2000s even before the global financial crisis. These results suggest that trade is growing slowly not only because of slow growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), but also because of a structural change in the trade-GDP relationship in recent years. The available evidence suggests that the explanation may lie in the slowing pace of international vertical specialization rather than increasing protection or the changing composition of trade and GDP.

Cyclical Effects of the Composition of Government Purchases
Cyclical Effects of the Composition of Government Purchases

Author: Mr.Jahangir Aziz

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1997-02-01

Total Pages: 39

ISBN-13: 1451843712

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This paper constructs a general equilibrium model with monopolistically competitive firms and endogenous markups where government spending consists of both consumption and investment goods. It is shown that when markups are countercyclical, increases in the share of investment goods in aggregate government expenditure entail a trade-off between greater long- run efficiency and higher short-run volatility. Estimates based on the model, calibrated to the postwar U.S. economy, show that the effects on output, employment, and welfare can be significant

Strategic Competition in Oligopolies with Fluctuating Demand
Strategic Competition in Oligopolies with Fluctuating Demand

Author: Leslie Neubecker

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2006-02-17

Total Pages: 237

ISBN-13: 3540295577

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Dynamic oligopolistic competition has implications both for the strategic management of firms and for the design of an effective competition policy. Consequently, the present book considers the issue from a private and social perspective. It discusses the potential pro- and anticollusive effects of long-term business strategies, especially for cooperation and reinvestment in production, financing and management compensation, in markets with fluctuating demand. The method of supergame theory is applied to integrate long-run decisions and different types of demand into the analysis. Aside from its contributions to the theoretical literature, the book provides valuable insights into the design of competition policy. The observed development of prices is an indicator of the extent of collusion in the market and can thereby be used to assess antitrust regulation in certain business areas, and to focus the resources of competition authorities on markets where conditions are conducive to collusion.

Market Behaviour and Macroeconomic Modelling
Market Behaviour and Macroeconomic Modelling

Author: Simon Kuipers

Publisher: Springer

Published: 1998-11-12

Total Pages: 416

ISBN-13: 1349267325

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Market Behaviour and Macroeconomic Modelling discusses several state-of-the-art developments in the modelling approach to market behaviour in macroeconomic modelling. Leading experts in this field, deal with the implications of market imperfections in commodity markets, capital markets and labour markets for macroeconomic modelling and stabilization policy. They demonstrate that incorporating market imperfections leads to very different policy recommendations than those derived from the standard perfect competition model.

Productivity and the Business Cycle
Productivity and the Business Cycle

Author: Domenico Marchetti

Publisher: Taylor & Francis

Published: 1997

Total Pages: 108

ISBN-13: 9780815327226

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Three essays on the ways in which business cycles affect productivity review and criticize previous research, propose an dynamic model using gross output data, and provide a decomposition of industrial productivity growth in Polish manufacturing 1992-93 indicating the importance of structural effects. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1989
NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1989

Author: Oliver J. Blanchard

Publisher: MIT Press

Published: 1989

Total Pages: 420

ISBN-13: 9780262521451

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This is the fourth in a series of annuals from the National Bureau of Economic Research that are designed to stimulate research on problems in applied economics, to bring frontier theoretical developments to a wider audience, and to accelerate the interaction between analytical and empirical research in macroeconomics. Contents: The Monetary History After Twenty-Five Years: New Evidence on the Money-Output Relationship, Christina Romer and David Romer Restrictions on Financial Intermediaries and Implecations for Aggregate Fluctuations: Canada and the U.S., 1870-1908, Stephen Williamson The Thatcher "Miracle", Charles Bean with Jim Symons The Revised NBER Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators, James Stock and Mark Watson Consumption, Income, and Interest Rates: The Euler Equation Approach Ten Years Later, John Campbell and N. Gregory Mankiw U.S. Earnings and Income Inequality: Recent Trends, Frank Levy Business Cycle Models with Increasing Returns, Kevin Murphy, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert Vishny

The U.S. Dollar and the Trade Deficit
The U.S. Dollar and the Trade Deficit

Author: Mr.Benjamin Hunt

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2003-10-01

Total Pages: 43

ISBN-13: 1451859880

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Based on a version of the IMF’s new Global Economic Model (GEM), calibrated to analyze macroeconomic interdependence between the United States and the rest of the world, this paper asks to what extent an asymmetric productivity shock in the tradable sector of the economy may account for real exchange rate and trade balance developments in the United States in the second half of the 1990s. The paper concludes that the Balassa-Samuelson effect of such a productivity shock is only part of the story. A second shock, a broadly defined “risk premium” shock, and some uncertainty about the persistence of both shocks are needed to match the data more satisfactorily.