Leaning Against Windy Bank Lending
Leaning Against Windy Bank Lending

Author: Mr.Giovanni Melina

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2017-08-07

Total Pages: 68

ISBN-13: 148431445X

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Using an estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with banking, this paper first provides evidence that monetary policy reacted to bank loan growth in the US during the Great Moderation. It then shows that the optimized simple interest-rate rule features no response to the growth of bank credit. However, the welfare loss associated to the empirical responsiveness is small. The sources of business cycle fluctuations are crucial in determining whether a “leaning-against-the-wind” policy is optimal or not. In fact, the predominant role of supply shocks in the model gives rise to a trade-off between inflation and financial stabilization.

IMF Research Bulletin, Fall 2017
IMF Research Bulletin, Fall 2017

Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2017-11-09

Total Pages: 15

ISBN-13: 1484327292

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The Fall 2017 IMF Research Bulletin includes a Q&A article covering "Seven Questions on the Globalization of Farmland" by Christian Bogmans. The first research summary, by Manmohan Singh and Haobing Wang is "Central Bank Balance Sheet Policies: Some Policy Implications." The second research summary is "Leaning Against the Windy Bank Lending" by Giovanni Melina and Stefania Villa. A listing of new IMF Working Papers and Staff Discussion Notes is featured, as well as new titles from IMF Publications. Information on IMF Economic Review is also included.

Cost-Benefit Analysis of Leaning Against the Wind
Cost-Benefit Analysis of Leaning Against the Wind

Author: Mr.Lars E. O. Svensson

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2016-01-11

Total Pages: 76

ISBN-13: 1498314783

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“Leaning against the wind” (LAW) with a higher monetary policy interest rate may have benefits in terms of lower real debt growth and associated lower probability of a financial crisis but has costs in terms of higher unemployment and lower inflation, importantly including a higher cost of a crisis when the economy is weaker. For existing empirical estimates, costs exceed benefits by a substantial margin, even if monetary policy is nonneutral and permanently affects real debt. Somewhat surprisingly, less effective macroprudential policy and generally a credit boom, with resulting higher probability, severity, or duration of a crisis, increases costs of LAW more than benefits, thus further strengthening the strong case against LAW.

Leaning Against Windy Bank Lending
Leaning Against Windy Bank Lending

Author: Mr.Giovanni Melina

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2017-07-31

Total Pages: 68

ISBN-13: 1484312678

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Using an estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with banking, this paper first provides evidence that monetary policy reacted to bank loan growth in the US during the Great Moderation. It then shows that the optimized simple interest-rate rule features no response to the growth of bank credit. However, the welfare loss associated to the empirical responsiveness is small. The sources of business cycle fluctuations are crucial in determining whether a “leaning-against-the-wind” policy is optimal or not. In fact, the predominant role of supply shocks in the model gives rise to a trade-off between inflation and financial stabilization.

Leaning Against the Wind
Leaning Against the Wind

Author: Ms.Longmei Zhang

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2014-02-06

Total Pages: 37

ISBN-13: 1475552432

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In recent years, macroprudential policy has become an increasingly active policy area. Many countries have adopted it as a tool to safeguard financial stability, in particular to deal with the credit and asset price cycles driven by global capital flows. This paper reviews the use of key macroprudential instruments and capital flow measures in 13 Asian economies and 33 economies in other regions since 2000, and constructs various macroprudential policy indices, aggregating sub-indices on key instruments. Asian economies appear to have made greater use of macroprudential tools, especially housing-related measures, than their counterparts in other regions. The effects of macroprudential policy are then assessed through an event study, cross-country macro panel regressions and bank-level micro panel regressions. The analysis suggests that macroprudential policy and capital flow measures have helped curb housing price growth, equity flows, credit growth, and bank leverage. The instruments that have been particularly effective in this regard include loan-to-value ratio caps, housing tax measures, and foreign currency-related measures.

Sectoral Labor Mobility and Optimal Monetary Policy
Sectoral Labor Mobility and Optimal Monetary Policy

Author: Alessandro Cantelmo

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2017-03-06

Total Pages: 33

ISBN-13: 1475584830

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In an estimated two-sector New-Keynesian model with durable and nondurable goods, an inverse relationship between sectoral labor mobility and the optimal weight the central bank should attach to durables inflation arises. The combination of nominal wage stickiness and limited labor mobility leads to a nonzero optimal weight for durables inflation even if durables prices were fully flexible. These results survive alternative calibrations and interestrate rules and point toward a non-negligible role of sectoral labor mobility for the conduct of monetary policy.

Policy Instruments to Lean Against the Wind in Latin America
Policy Instruments to Lean Against the Wind in Latin America

Author: Mr.G. Terrier

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2011-07-01

Total Pages: 113

ISBN-13: 1455297720

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This paper reviews policy tools that have been used and/or are available for policy makers in the region to lean against the wind and review relevant country experiences using them. The instruments examined include: (i) capital requirements, dynamic provisioning, and leverage ratios; (ii) liquidity requirements; (iii) debt-to-income ratios; (iv) loan-to-value ratios; (v) reserve requirements on bank liabilities (deposits and nondeposits); (vi) instruments to manage and limit systemic foreign exchange risk; and, finally, (vii) reserve requirements or taxes on capital inflows. Although the instruments analyzed are mainly microprudential in nature, appropriately calibrated over the financial cycle they may serve for macroprudential purposes.

Handbook of Financial Stress Testing
Handbook of Financial Stress Testing

Author: J. Doyne Farmer

Publisher:

Published: 2022-04-14

Total Pages: 729

ISBN-13: 1108830730

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Discover current uses and future development of stress tests, the most innovative regulatory tool to prevent and fight financial crises.

Leaning Against the Wind and the Timing of Monetary Policy
Leaning Against the Wind and the Timing of Monetary Policy

Author: Mr.Itai Agur

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2013-04-03

Total Pages: 29

ISBN-13: 1484378385

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If monetary policy is to aim also at financial stability, how would it change? To analyze this question, this paper develops a general-form framework. Financial stability objectives are shown to make monetary policy more aggressive: in reaction to negative shocks, cuts are deeper but shorter-lived than otherwise. By keeping cuts brief, monetary policy tightens as soon as bank risk appetite heats up. Within this shorter time span, cuts must then be deeper than otherwise to also achieve standard objectives. Finally, we analyze how robust this result is to the presence of a bank regulatory tool, and provide a parameterized example.

Global Economic Issues and Policies
Global Economic Issues and Policies

Author: Joseph P. Daniels

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2014-04-24

Total Pages: 527

ISBN-13: 1317751469

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This introduction to all aspects of international economics, public policy, business, and finance is the clearest guide available to the economics of the world we live in. Written in a highly engaging style, packed full of up-to-the minute, real-world case studies and pitched at an introductory level, the book does an expert job of drawing students in and will leave them equipped with a comprehensive toolkit of methods and essential facts. Covering the wide range of economic issues and policies generated by globalization, the text provides an introduction to the topic that emphasizes facts as well as theories, presenting all new economic concepts clearly and in detail. This third edition reflects continuing developments in the world economy and in the analysis of international economics. Chapter introductions, pedagogy and data have all been thoroughly updated throughout, and key topics for expansion and revision include * Free Trade versus Fair Trade * Bilateral and Multilateral Treaties * International Outsourcing * Public Perceptions of International Trade * The Trilemma Issue * Business-Cycle Synchronization * Central Bank Emergency Tools * Sovereign-Debt Problems This text is suitable for any introductory module in international economics, public policy, and business, whether taught as part of an economics, public policy, business, or international studies program. It is also the ideal MBA level introduction to the global economy.