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Author: Paul K. Davis
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Published: 2008
Total Pages: 87
ISBN-13: 083304219X
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis report describes a methodology and prototype tool, the Building Blocks to Composite Options Tool (BCOT), for identifying good candidate options to use in investment analysis.
Author: Paul K. Davis
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Published: 2008-04-09
Total Pages: 87
ISBN-13: 0833044885
DOWNLOAD EBOOKDescription of a methodology and a prototype tool, Building Blocks To Composite Options Tool (BCOT), for identifying investment options for defense capability areas. It ensures that a broad range of options is considered initially, then uses a screening technique to narrow the range to those meriting more-extensive assessment in a fuller portfolio-analysis framework. BCOT extends classic economics and operations-research techniques and suggests pragmatic approximations, particularly in capabilities-based planning.
Author: Paul K. Davis
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Published: 2008
Total Pages: 203
ISBN-13: 0833042149
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe research reported in this monograph is part of RAND's continuing work on practical theory and methods for capabilities-based planning in the Department of Defense (DoD) and other organizations. Its particular contribution is to describe and illustrate in some detail an analytic framework and methodology for defensewide capability-area reviews including DoD's experimental Concept Decision Reviews and related evaluations of alternatives (Krieg, 2007). The monograph also describes newly developed enabling tools -- one for generating and screening preliminary options and one for evaluating in a portfolio-analysis structure those options that pass screening. Variants of the methods can be applied for analysis across capability areas or for strategic-level defense planning, i.e., force planning to establish the overall mix and balance of capabilities. Finally, the monograph illustrates concepts with applications to the capability areas of Global Strike and Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD).
Author: Paul K. Davis
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Published: 2019-04-09
Total Pages: 992
ISBN-13: 1119484960
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis volume describes frontiers in social-behavioral modeling for contexts as diverse as national security, health, and on-line social gaming. Recent scientific and technological advances have created exciting opportunities for such improvements. However, the book also identifies crucial scientific, ethical, and cultural challenges to be met if social-behavioral modeling is to achieve its potential. Doing so will require new methods, data sources, and technology. The volume discusses these, including those needed to achieve and maintain high standards of ethics and privacy. The result should be a new generation of modeling that will advance science and, separately, aid decision-making on major social and security-related subjects despite the myriad uncertainties and complexities of social phenomena. Intended to be relatively comprehensive in scope, the volume balances theory-driven, data-driven, and hybrid approaches. The latter may be rapidly iterative, as when artificial-intelligence methods are coupled with theory-driven insights to build models that are sound, comprehensible and usable in new situations. With the intent of being a milestone document that sketches a research agenda for the next decade, the volume draws on the wisdom, ideas and suggestions of many noted researchers who draw in turn from anthropology, communications, complexity science, computer science, defense planning, economics, engineering, health systems, medicine, neuroscience, physics, political science, psychology, public policy and sociology. In brief, the volume discusses: Cutting-edge challenges and opportunities in modeling for social and behavioral science Special requirements for achieving high standards of privacy and ethics New approaches for developing theory while exploiting both empirical and computational data Issues of reproducibility, communication, explanation, and validation Special requirements for models intended to inform decision making about complex social systems
Author: Constantine Samaras
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Published: 2013
Total Pages: 61
ISBN-13: 0833079131
DOWNLOAD EBOOKDepartment of Defense (DoD) installations rely on the commercial electricity grid for 99 percent of their electricity needs, but extensive energy delivery outages in 2012 have reinforced that the U.S. electricity grid is vulnerable to disruptions from natural hazards and actor-induced outages, such as physical or cyber attacks. In the event of a catastrophic disaster--such as a severe hurricane, massive earthquake, or large-scale terrorist attack--DoD installations would also serve as a base for emergency services. To enhance energy security, DoD has identified diversifying energy sources and increasing efficiency in DoD operations as critical goals. But how to enhance energy security across the portfolio of installations is not clear and several questions remain unanswered: Energy security for how long? Under what conditions? At what cost? The underlying analytical questions are, what critical capabilities do U.S. installations provide, and how can DoD maintain these capabilities during an energy services disruption in the most cost-effective manner? Answering these questions requires a systems approach that incorporates technological, economic, and operational uncertainties. Using portfolio analysis methods for assessing capability options, this paper presents a framework to evaluate choices among energy security strategies for DoD installations. This framework evaluates whether existing or proposed installation energy security strategies enhance DoD capabilities and evaluates strategy cost-effectiveness.
Author: George Jabbour
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Published: 2010-01-06
Total Pages: 402
ISBN-13: 0470579978
DOWNLOAD EBOOKStrategies, tools, and solutions for minimizing risk and volatility in option trading An intermediate level trading book, The Option Trader Handbook, Second Edition provides serious traders with strategies for managing and adjusting their market positions. This Second Edition features new material on implied volatility; Delta and Theta, and how these measures can be used to make better trading decisions. The book presents the art of making trade adjustments in a logical sequence, starting with long and short stock positions; moving on to basic put and call positions; and finally discussing option spreads and combinations. Covers different types of underlying positions and discusses all the possible adjustments that can be made to that position Offers important insights into more complex option spreads and combinations A timely book for today's volatile markets Intended for both stock and option traders, this book will help you improve your overall trading skills and performance.
Author: Paul K. Davis
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Published: 2008-02-19
Total Pages: 203
ISBN-13: 083304589X
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAn analytical framework and methodology for capability-area reviews is described, along with new tools to support capabilities analysis and strategic-level defense planning in the Defense Department and the Services. BCOT generates and screens preliminary options, and the Portfolio-Analysis Tool (PAT) is used to evaluate options that pass screening. The concepts are illustrated with applications to Global Strike and Ballistic Missile Defense. Recommendations are made for further defense-planning research.
Author: Michael Travis
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing USA
Published: 2015-01-16
Total Pages: 156
ISBN-13: 1440831459
DOWNLOAD EBOOKA priceless resource for seasoned as well as first-time executives, this is the playbook that explains how to recruit better people and build stronger, more effective teams. Executives are highly motivated to get better at hiring because they know the ability to consistently identify and recruit the right people is critical to the success of their businesses—and their personal advancement. But hiring people isn't taught in business schools or executive development programs. This book provides the sorely needed and essential practical instruction that executives are not receiving elsewhere, supplying a step-by-step guide for those who want to excel at attracting and identifying talent. Covering everything from the basics of defining a job to the intricacies of managing internal politics, this no-nonsense book provides a clear roadmap through the often-daunting and pitfall-laden recruiting process. In addition to explaining how to get it right, the book provides the information and guidance readers need to identify and fix the most common problems that doom hiring efforts to failure. Debunking the idea that "some people are just great recruiters and some aren't," the author clearly identifies the steps that anyone can take in order to master the art—and science—of recruiting.
Author: Lowell Miller
Publisher: Adams Media
Published: 1999-04-01
Total Pages: 292
ISBN-13: 9781580621342
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe perfect book for investors shaken by recent market turbulence. Investment professional Miller shows how to invest and profit from long-term stocks without anxiety.
Author: Frank A. Camm
Publisher: RAND Corporation
Published: 2009
Total Pages: 260
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKPresents a risk-management process would help senior Air Force leaders to (1) focus planning on the most salient threats, (2) gain greater clarity on the risks associated with alternative courses of action across multiple futures, (3) maintain a sense of the persistent uncertainties associated with any policy choice, and (4) effectively communicate their judgments about risk to key audiences.
