Essays in Behavioural Economics Using Revealed Preference Theory and Decision Theory

Essays in Behavioural Economics Using Revealed Preference Theory and Decision Theory

Author: Gavin Kader

Publisher:

Published: 2019

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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This thesis comprises three chapters that provide insights into consumer rationality and consideration sets using revealed preference theory, and a decision theoretic approach to status quo bias. Chapter 1 studies the presence of consideration sets through the lens of economic rationality from the perspective of revealed preference theory. In addition, I propose a new index of rationality (GAV Index) to accompany two commonly used measures (CCEI & MPI), which are applied to a scanner panel dataset and a simulated dataset. Under minimal restrictions, I detect the effects of exogenous consideration set formation on a household's ability to make rational bundle choices. There are also several key demographic factors that correlate well with rationality. This remains true when controlling for the (average) size of the consideration sets households use; these results suggest that a simpler decision-making process with fewer goods can lead to choices that are more rational. Overall, the use of consideration sets as a behavioural heuristic can seemingly benefit consumers by enhancing their decision-making process. Chapter 2 semi-parametrically estimates costs associated with consideration sets using revealed preference theory. The theorem provided ensures there are testable implications of a parsimonious model of consideration sets. Cost of consideration can be estimated in proportion to expenditure and is heterogeneous across consumers. Using the Stanford Basket Dataset, the model cannot reject the use of consideration sets in the presence of suitable restrictions. On average, the average consideration set cost is approximately 2% of monthly expenditure. Additionally, there appears to be a strong link between the consumer's cost of consideration and rationality level. Chapter 3 proposes a choice theory that explains status quo bias (SQB) with the concept of just-noticeable differences (JNDs). SQB comes from an inclination to choose a default option/current choice when decision-making, whereas a JND is the minimal stimulus required to perceive change. JND utility can be considered a general representation of SQB; it is shown that the SQB representation of Masatlioglu & Ok (2005) is a special case. As such, an agent will only move away from a current choice position if there exist other alternatives that are noticeably better, otherwise, the agent does not shift away, hence leading to a bias towards the status quo.


Social and Economic Factors in Decision Making under Uncertainty

Social and Economic Factors in Decision Making under Uncertainty

Author: Kinga Posadzy

Publisher: Linköping University Electronic Press

Published: 2017-11-16

Total Pages: 16

ISBN-13: 9176854213

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The objective of this thesis is to improve the understanding of human behavior that goes beyond monetary rewards. In particular, it investigates social influences in individual’s decision making in situations that involve coordination, competition, and deciding for others. Further, it compares how monetary and social outcomes are perceived. The common theme of all studies is uncertainty. The first four essays study individual decisions that have uncertain consequences, be it due to the actions of others or chance. The last essay, in turn, uses the advances in research on decision making under uncertainty to predict behavior in riskless choices. The first essay, Fairness Versus Efficiency: How Procedural Fairness Concerns Affect Coordination, investigates whether preferences for fair rules undermine the efficiency of coordination mechanisms that put some individuals at a disadvantage. The results from a laboratory experiment show that the existence of coordination mechanisms, such as action recommendations, increases efficiency, even if one party is strongly disadvantaged by the mechanism. Further, it is demonstrated that while individuals’ behavior does not depend on the fairness of the coordination mechanism, their beliefs about people’s behavior do. The second essay, Dishonesty and Competition. Evidence from a stiff competition environment, explores whether and how the possibility to behave dishonestly affects the willingness to compete and who the winner is in a competition between similarly skilled individuals. We do not find differences in competition entry between competitions in which dishonesty is possible and in which it is not. However, we find that due to the heterogeneity in propensity to behave dishonestly, around 20% of winners are not the best-performing individuals. This implies that the efficient allocation of resources cannot be ensured in a stiff competition in which behavior is unmonitored. The third essay, Tracing Risky Decision Making for Oneself and Others: The Role of Intuition and Deliberation, explores how individuals make choices under risk for themselves and on behalf of other people. The findings demonstrate that while there are no differences in preferences for taking risks when deciding for oneself and for others, individuals have greater decision error when choosing for other individuals. The differences in the decision error can be partly attributed to the differences in information processing; individuals employ more deliberative cognitive processing when deciding for themselves than when deciding for others. Conducting more information processing when deciding for others is related to the reduction in decision error. The fourth essay, The Effect of Decision Fatigue on Surgeons’ Clinical Decision Making, investigates how mental depletion, caused by a long session of decision making, affects surgeon’s decision to operate. Exploiting a natural experiment, we find that surgeons are less likely to schedule an operation for patients who have appointment late during the work shift than for patients who have appointment at the beginning of the work shift. Understanding how the quality of medical decisions depends on when the patient is seen is important for achieving both efficiency and fairness in health care, where long shifts are popular. The fifth essay, Preferences for Outcome Editing in Monetary and Social Contexts, compares whether individuals use the same rules for mental representation of monetary outcomes (e.g., purchases, expenses) as for social outcomes (e.g., having nice time with friends). Outcome editing is an operation in mental accounting that determines whether individuals prefer to first combine multiple outcomes before their evaluation (integration) or evaluate each outcome separately (segregation). I find that the majority of individuals express different preferences for outcome editing in the monetary context than in the social context. Further, while the results on the editing of monetary outcomes are consistent with theoretical predictions, no existing model can explain the editing of social outcomes.


Revealed Preference Theory

Revealed Preference Theory

Author: Christopher P. Chambers

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2016-01-05

Total Pages: 241

ISBN-13: 1107087805

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The theory of revealed preference has a long, distinguished tradition in economics but lacked a systematic presentation of the theory until now. This book deals with basic questions in economic theory and studies situations in which empirical observations are consistent or inconsistent with some of the best known economic theories.


Individual and Collective Choice and Social Welfare

Individual and Collective Choice and Social Welfare

Author: Constanze Binder

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2015-04-22

Total Pages: 374

ISBN-13: 366246439X

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The papers in this volume explore various issues relating to theories of individual and collective choice, and theories of social welfare. The topics include individual and collective rationality, motivation and intention in economics, coercion, public goods, climate change, and voting theory. The book offers an excellent overview over latest research in these fields.


Modern Developments in Behavioral Economics

Modern Developments in Behavioral Economics

Author: John Malcolm Dowling

Publisher: World Scientific

Published: 2007

Total Pages: 459

ISBN-13: 9812701435

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This book examines the field of behavioral economics and provides insights into the following questions: ? Does utility bring happiness?? How do emotions and personal perspectives color our economic decisions?? How do altruism, trust, fairness and justice come into play in game theory?? Why are some organizations so successful in implementing their objectives?? Can advances in neuroeconomics unlock the secrets of how decisions are made?The book looks at decision making and behavior from the point of view of (i) individual behavior and choice; (ii) group and interactive choice; and (iii) collective choices and decision making. In particular, it covers the following aspects: instances when bounded rationality leads to decisions inconsistent with standard economic assumptions; risk and the processes by which investors and consumers make decisions; altruistic and cooperative behavior as alternatives to competition; game theory as a way to explore motives of cooperation versus competition; the determinants of happiness and the relationship between utility and well-being; the concept of social capital, including motivations for charity and being a responsible citizen; how trust and fairness relate to economic actions and the motivation to cooperate rather than compete; behavior such as crime, corruption and bribery from ethical, social and economic viewpoints; and, finally, the decision making process of collective choice and how societies develop rules for governing themselves.This is the first book to bridge economics, psychology, sociology and political sciences and explain the nuanced subtleties of decision making.


Essays in Behavioral Economics

Essays in Behavioral Economics

Author: Irina Weissbrot

Publisher:

Published: 2012

Total Pages:

ISBN-13:

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The first chapter of the dissertation, entitled "Revisiting Regret Theory", suggests a more generalized version of the regret theories proposed by economists so far. Outcome regret is experienced when one compares a realized outcome to the outcome one could have received, if one had chosen a different action. In this paper I argue that the existing theories are flawed in that they make very restrictive assumptions about how people think with respect to foregone opportunities in the face of uncertainty. In light of some evidence as to how people actually think about past choice and realized outcomes, I propose to extend and generalize the existent theories of regret. I then apply my theory to existing experimental data, hitherto unexplained by the current theories. I find that my theory is capable of accounting for these data. The second chapter, entitled "Do Responses to Hypothetical and Subjective Questions Reveal Preferences?" and co-authored with Doug Bernheim, Daniel Bjorkegren, Jeffrey Naecker and Antonio Rangel, investigates the feasibility of inferring the choices people would make (if given the opportunity) based on their responses to hypothetical and subjective questions when they are not engaged in actual decision making. The ability to make such inferences is of potential value when choice data are unavailable or limited in ways that potentially impair standard methods of estimating choice mappings. We formulate prediction models relating choice distributions to these "non-choice" reactions, estimate them with data for a given set of items, and use them to predict out-of-sample choice distributions for new items at various prices. Our analysis shows that this method performs well relative to the conventional approaches that require more extensive choice data. The third chapter, entitled "Social and Economic Networks with Unknown Utilities", deals with social and economic networks in an historical perspective. The theoretical part of the paper is concerned with situations in which a utility from forming a certain link might be unknown to the agent prior to forming the link. This is in contrast with the standard networks literature that assumes that agents are fully aware of the utilities they will have from forming any possible link to any other agent. When this is not the case, agents might benefit from a "social planner", who will either force them to form certain links they wouldn't otherwise form, or change the benefits structure of the network in a way that will result in a voluntary formation of a more efficient network. Later, the paper looks at some situations in history where networks might have been formed with agents either underestimating or overestimating the benefits resulting from those networks.


Preference Change

Preference Change

Author: Till Grüne-Yanoff

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2009-06-11

Total Pages: 273

ISBN-13: 9048125936

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Changing preferencesis a phenomenonoften invoked but rarely properlyaccounted for. Throughout the history of the social sciences, researchers have come against the possibility that their subjects’ preferenceswere affected by the phenomenato be explainedor by otherfactorsnot taken into accountin the explanation.Sporadically, attempts have been made to systematically investigate these in uences, but none of these seems to have had a lasting impact. Today we are still not much further with respect to preference change than we were at the middle of the last century. This anthology hopes to provide a new impulse for research into this important subject. In particular, we have chosen two routes to amplify this impulse. First, we stress the use of modellingtechniquesfamiliar from economicsand decision theory. Instead of constructing complex, all-encompassing theories of preference change, the authors of this volume start with very simple, formal accounts of some possible and hopefully plausible mechanism of preference change. Eventually, these models may nd their way into larger, empirically adequate theories, but at this stage, we think that the most importantwork lies in building structure.Secondly,we stress the importance of interdisciplinary exchange. Only by drawing together experts from different elds can the complex empirical and theoretical issues in the modelling of preference change be adequately investigated.


Behavioral Economics

Behavioral Economics

Author: Masao Ogaki

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2018-02-05

Total Pages: 211

ISBN-13: 9811064393

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This book is intended as a textbook for a course in behavioral economics for advanced undergraduate and graduate students who have already learned basic economics. The book will also be useful for introducing behavioral economics to researchers. Unlike some general audience books that discuss behavioral economics, this book does not take a position of completely negating traditional economics. Its position is that both behavioral and traditional economics are tools that have their own uses and limitations. Moreover, this work makes clear that knowledge of traditional economics is a necessary basis to fully understand behavioral economics. Some of the special features compared with other textbooks on behavioral economics are that this volume has full chapters on neuroeconomics, cultural and identity economics, and economics of happiness. These are distinctive subfields of economics that are different from, but closely related to, behavioral economics with many important overlaps with behavioral economics. Neuroeconomics, which is developing fast partly because of technological progress, seeks to understand how the workings of our minds affect our economic decision making. In addition to a full chapter on neuroeconomics, the book provides explanations of findings in neuroeconomics in chapters on prospect theory (a major decision theory of behavioral economics under uncertainty), intertemporal economic behavior, and social preferences (preferences that exhibit concerns for others). Cultural and identity economics seek to explain how cultures and people’s identities affect economic behaviors, and economics of happiness utilizes measures of subjective well-being. There is also a full chapter on behavioral normative economics, which evaluates economic policies based on findings and theories of behavioral economics.