Empirical derivative pricing with LME industrial metal data
Empirical derivative pricing with LME industrial metal data

Author: Christian Stepanek

Publisher: Cuvillier Verlag

Published: 2015-08-27

Total Pages: 214

ISBN-13: 3736980841

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This thesis is focused on empirical examinations of commodity derivatives. Commodity futures and options are very important for companies in hedging their commodity price risks. Financial institutions participate also in commodity derivative markets either to gain exposure to commodity prices, diversify their portfolios, or hedge commodity price risk from financial transactions. But also retail investors have been more and more interested in commodity investments for some years. Because of their limited access to commodity markets, they have to rely on special commodity SFPs issued by banks. However, in contrast to derivatives with standard underlyings, such as stocks or bonds, there are various specific aspects to commodity derivatives. Especially interesting from academic as well as practitioners’ point of view are the pricing relations between spot and derivative prices, which are closely linked to market fundamentals. But also from the financialization of commodity markets arise several subjects which require scientific examination. I identify in this thesis several unresolved research questions on commodity futures, options, and SFPs. This way it is possible to offer insights in derivative markets for industrial companies, financial institutions, and retail investors alike.

To Bet or Not to Bet
To Bet or Not to Bet

Author: Mr.Fabio Comelli

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2016-11-15

Total Pages: 23

ISBN-13: 1475553757

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A strand of research documents Chile’s copper dependence hence significant exposure to terms of trade shocks. Copper prices’ sharp decline and forecast uncertainty since the end of the commodity super-cycle has rekindled the debate on Chile’s adjustment capacity to external shocks. Following Malz (2014), this paper builds a time-varying measure of copper price uncertainty using options contracts. VAR analysis shows that the investment response to an uncertainty shock of average magnitude in the sample is strong and persistent: the cumulative fall in investment from trend at a one-year horizon ranges 2–5.8 percentage points; and it takes between 11⁄2 and 2 years for investment to return to its trend level. Empirical ranges depend on alternative definitions for investment, uncertainty, and options’ maturing time.

Commodities
Commodities

Author: H. Kent Baker

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2018-03-06

Total Pages: 681

ISBN-13: 0190656026

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Commodities: Markets, Performance, and Strategies provides a comprehensive view of commodity markets by describing and analyzing historical commodity performance, vehicles for investing in commodities, portfolio strategies, and current topics. It begins with the basics of commodity markets and various investment vehicles. The book then highlights the unique risk and return profiles of commodity investments, along with the dangers from mismanaged risk practices. The book also provides important insights into recent developments, including high frequency trading, financialization, and the emergence of virtual currencies as commodities. Readers of Commodities: Markets, Performance, and Strategies can gain an in-depth understanding about the multiple dimensions of commodity investing from experts from around the world. Commodity markets can be accessed with products that create unique risk and return dynamics for investors worldwide. The authors provide insights in a range of areas, from the economics of supply and demand for individual physical commodities through the financial products used to gain exposure to commodities. The book balances useful practical advice on commodity exposure while exposing the reader to various pitfalls inherent in these markets. Readers interested in a basic understanding will benefit as will those looking for more in-depth presentations of specific areas within commodity markets. Overall, Commodities: Markets, Performance, and Strategies provides a fresh look at the myriad dimensions of investing in these globally important markets.

COMMODITY DERIVATIVES AND RISK MANAGEMENT
COMMODITY DERIVATIVES AND RISK MANAGEMENT

Author: PRABINA RAJIB

Publisher: PHI Learning Pvt. Ltd.

Published: 2014-01-17

Total Pages: 458

ISBN-13: 8120348990

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Over the last decade, commodity derivatives trading in India has undergone a significant growth, and has surpassed equity derivatives trading. The book covers almost the entire spectrum of commodities traded in the Indian commodity market, including agricultural commodities, crude oil, base metal, precious metal, electricity, carbon, weather, freight, real estate, and water. A distinguishing feature of the book is that it lucidly explains the peculiarities of various commodities, delving into their technical and historical details. As commodity market in a country cannot function in isolation, commodity contracts traded in other international exchanges, like LME, CME, The Baltic Exchange, Nordpool, etc. have also been discussed in detail. Commodity derivatives contracts, such as futures, FRAs, options, Tapos, swaps, spreads (crush, crack, dark and spark), collars, ETFs, Contract for Differences (CfDs) and cool bonds, etc. have been discussed extensively in the book. Fundamental factors associated with different types of commodities have been dealt with to develop a deeper understanding of the peculiarities associated with various commodities. This book documents the case studies involving important commodity price manipulations and frauds in commodity derivatives trading. These have been analyzed to bring out the necessity and the role of the commodity market regulators in maintaining market integrity. Major commodity derivatives trading losses that have shaken up even some prominent companies all over the world have been discussed to highlight the risks associated with commodity derivatives trading. The book is intended for the postgraduate students of Management. It is equally beneficial for the students and professionals opting for Diploma courses in Banking and Finance.• Around 40 Business Snapshots have been presented at appropriate sections in the book, so that a reader can apply the concepts to real-life situations/happenings. • Around 100 Numerical Examples have also been worked in various chapters to help the reader develop a deeper understanding of the underlying theories. • Worked out examples and business snapshots have been provided in large numbers. • End of the chapter questions have been provided for the students to test their understanding. • Power Point slides available online at www.phindia.com/prabinarajib to provide integrated learning to the students.

Commodity Price Dynamics
Commodity Price Dynamics

Author: Craig Pirrong

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2011-10-31

Total Pages: 239

ISBN-13: 1139501976

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Commodities have become an important component of many investors' portfolios and the focus of much political controversy over the past decade. This book utilizes structural models to provide a better understanding of how commodities' prices behave and what drives them. It exploits differences across commodities and examines a variety of predictions of the models to identify where they work and where they fail. The findings of the analysis are useful to scholars, traders and policy makers who want to better understand often puzzling - and extreme - movements in the prices of commodities from aluminium to oil to soybeans to zinc.

Commodities
Commodities

Author: M. A. H. Dempster

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2022-12-09

Total Pages: 864

ISBN-13: 1000784045

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Since a major source of income for many countries comes from exporting commodities, price discovery and information transmission between commodity futures markets are key issues for continued economic development. Commodities: Fundamental Theory of Futures, Forwards, and Derivatives Pricing, Second Edition covers the fundamental theory of and derivatives pricing for major commodity markets, as well as the interaction between commodity prices, the real economy, and other financial markets. After a thoroughly updated and extensive theoretical and practical introduction, this new edition of the book is divided into five parts – the fifth of which is entirely new material covering cutting-edge developments. Oil Products considers the structural changes in the demand and supply for hedging services that are increasingly determining the price of oil Other Commodities examines markets related to agricultural commodities, including natural gas, wine, soybeans, corn, gold, silver, copper, and other metals Commodity Prices and Financial Markets investigates the contemporary aspects of the financialization of commodities, including stocks, bonds, futures, currency markets, index products, and exchange traded funds Electricity Markets supplies an overview of the current and future modelling of electricity markets Contemporary Topics discuss rough volatility, order book trading, cryptocurrencies, text mining for price dynamics and flash crashes

Commodity Option Pricing
Commodity Option Pricing

Author: Iain J. Clark

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2014-03-05

Total Pages: 356

ISBN-13: 1444362410

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Commodity Option Pricing: A Practitioner’s Guide covers commodity option pricing for quantitative analysts, traders or structurers in banks, hedge funds and commodity trading companies. Based on the author’s industry experience with commodity derivatives, this book provides a thorough and mathematical introduction to the various market conventions and models used in commodity option pricing. It introduces the various derivative products typically traded for commodities and describes how these models can be calibrated and used for pricing and risk management. This book has been developed with input from traders and features examples using real-world data, together with relevant up-to-date academic research. This book includes practical descriptions of market conventions and quote codes used in commodity markets alongside typical products seen in broker quotes and used in calibration. Also discussed are commodity models and their mathematical derivation and volatility surface modelling for traded commodity derivatives. Gold, silver and other precious metals are addressed, including gold forward and gold lease rates, as well as copper, aluminium and other base metals, crude oil and natural gas, refined energy and electricity. There are also sections on the products encountered in commodities such as crack spread and spark spread options and alternative commodities such as carbon emissions, weather derivatives, bandwidth and telecommunications trading, plastics and freight. Commodity Option Pricing is ideal for anyone working in commodities or aiming to make the transition into the area, as well as academics needing to familiarize themselves with the industry conventions of the commodity markets.

Handbook of Multi-Commodity Markets and Products
Handbook of Multi-Commodity Markets and Products

Author: Andrea Roncoroni

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2015-02-17

Total Pages: 1067

ISBN-13: 0470662506

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Handbook of Multi-Commodity Markets and ProductsOver recent decades, the marketplace has seen an increasing integration, not only among different types of commodity markets such as energy, agricultural, and metals, but also with financial markets. This trend raises important questions about how to identify and analyse opportunities in and manage risks of commodity products. The Handbook of Multi-Commodity Markets and Products offers traders, commodity brokers, and other professionals a practical and comprehensive manual that covers market structure and functioning, as well as the practice of trading across a wide range of commodity markets and products. Written in non-technical language, this important resource includes the information needed to begin to master the complexities of and to operate successfully in today’s challenging and fluctuating commodity marketplace. Designed as a practical practitioner-orientated resource, the book includes a detailed overview of key markets – oil, coal, electricity, emissions, weather, industrial metals, freight, agricultural and foreign exchange – and contains a set of tools for analysing, pricing and managing risk for the individual markets. Market features and the main functioning rules of the markets in question are presented, along with the structure of basic financial products and standardised deals. A range of vital topics such as stochastic and econometric modelling, market structure analysis, contract engineering, as well as risk assessment and management are presented and discussed in detail with illustrative examples to commodity markets. The authors showcase how to structure and manage both simple and more complex multi-commodity deals. Addressing the issues of profit-making and risk management, the book reveals how to exploit pay-off profiles and trading strategies on a diversified set of commodity prices. In addition, the book explores how to price energy products and other commodities belonging to markets segmented across specific structural features. The Handbook of Multi-Commodity Markets and Products includes a wealth of proven methods and useful models that can be selected and developed in order to make appropriate estimations of the future evolution of prices and appropriate valuations of products. The authors additionally explore market risk issues and what measures of risk should be adopted for the purpose of accurately assessing exposure from multi-commodity portfolios. This vital resource offers the models, tools, strategies and general information commodity brokers and other professionals need to succeed in today’s highly competitive marketplace.