OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2020 Issue 1

OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2020 Issue 1

Author: OECD

Publisher: OECD Publishing

Published: 2020-06-10

Total Pages: 336

ISBN-13: 9264700617

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The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD's twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. This issue includes a general assessment of the macroeconomic situation, a series of notes on the macroeconomic and structural policy issues related to the COVID-19 outbreak and a chapter summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country.


OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2019 Issue 2

OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2019 Issue 2

Author: OECD

Publisher: OECD Publishing

Published: 2019-12-10

Total Pages: 229

ISBN-13: 926457512X

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The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD's twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, prices, fiscal and current account balances. Coverage is provided for all OECD member countries as well as for selected non-member countries.


OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2021 Issue 2

OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2021 Issue 2

Author: OECD

Publisher: OECD Publishing

Published: 2021-12-01

Total Pages: 225

ISBN-13: 9264655719

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The global recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic is uneven and becoming imbalanced. The OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2021 Issue 2, highlights the continued benefits of vaccinations and strong policy support for the global economy, but also points to the risks and policy challenges arising from supply constraints and rising inflation pressures.


How Accurate Are the Imf's Short-Term Forecasts? Another Examination of the World Economic Outlook

How Accurate Are the Imf's Short-Term Forecasts? Another Examination of the World Economic Outlook

Author: Mr.Michael J. Artis

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1996-08-01

Total Pages: 94

ISBN-13: 1451851251

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This paper analyzes the short-term forecasts for industrial and developing countries produced by the International Monetary Fund, and published twice a year in the World Economic Outlook (WEO). For the industrial country group, the WEO forecasts for output growth and inflation are satisfactory and pass most conventional tests in forecasting economic developments, although forecast accuracy has not improved over time, and predicting the turning points of the business cycle remains a weakness. For the developing countries, the task of forecasting movements in economic activity is even more difficult and the conventional measures of forecast accuracy are less satisfactory than for the industrial countries.


World Economic Outlook, October 2020

World Economic Outlook, October 2020

Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Published: 2020-10-13

Total Pages: 203

ISBN-13: 9781513556055

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The global economy is climbing out from the depths to which it had plummeted during the Great Lockdown in April. But with the COVID-19 pandemic continuing to spread, many countries have slowed reopening and some are reinstating partial lockdowns to protect susceptible populations. While recovery in China has been faster than expected, the global economy’s long ascent back to pre-pandemic levels of activity remains prone to setbacks.


An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts

An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts

Author: Allan Timmermann

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2006-03

Total Pages: 120

ISBN-13:

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The World Economic Outlook (WEO) is a key source of forecasts of global economic conditions. It is therefore important to review the performance of these forecasts against both actual outcomes and alternative forecasts. This paper conducts a series of statistical tests to evaluate the quality of the WEO forecasts for a very large cross section of countries, with particular emphasis on the recent recession and recovery. It assesses whether forecasts were unbiased and informationally efficient, and characterizes the process whereby WEO forecasts get revised as the time to the point of the forecast draws closer. Finally, the paper assess whether forecasts can be improved by combining WEO forecasts with the Consensus forecasts. The results suggest that the performance of the WEO forecasts is similar to that of the Consensus forecasts. While WEO forecasts for many variables in many countries meet basic quality standards in some, if not all, dimensions, the paper raises a number of concerns with current forecasting performance.


OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2017 Issue 1

OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2017 Issue 1

Author: OECD

Publisher: OECD Publishing

Published: 2017-06-30

Total Pages: 340

ISBN-13: 9264277641

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The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD's twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years.


OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2021 Issue 1

OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2021 Issue 1

Author: OECD

Publisher: OECD Publishing

Published: 2021-05-31

Total Pages: 221

ISBN-13: 9264816917

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The OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2021 Issue 1, highlights the improved prospects for the global economy due to vaccinations and stronger policy support, but also points to uneven progress across countries and key risks and challenges in maintaining and strengthening the recovery.