Critical Thinking and Intelligence Analysis
Critical Thinking and Intelligence Analysis

Author: David T. Moore

Publisher: DIANE Publishing

Published: 2010-10

Total Pages: 158

ISBN-13: 1437934927

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Contents: (1) How Do People Reason?; (2) What is Critical Thinking?; (3) What Can Be Learned from the Past?: Thinking Critically about Cuba: Deploying the Missiles; Assessing the Implications; Between Dogmatism and Refutation; Lacking: Disconfirmation; The Roles of Critical Thinking in the Cuban Crisis; Winners and Losers: The Crisis in Context; Ten Years Later, They Meet Again; Judgment; (4) How Can Intelligence Analysts Employ Critical Thinking?; (5) How Can Intelligence Analysts be Taught to Think Critically?; (6) How Does Critical Thinking Transform?; (7) What Other Points of View Exist?; (8) What Does the Future Hold?; (9) NSA¿s Critical Thinking and Structured Analysis Class Syllabus. Charts and tables.

Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence
Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence

Author: Katherine Hibbs Pherson

Publisher: CQ Press

Published: 2020-08-14

Total Pages: 568

ISBN-13: 1544374275

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With Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence, Katherine Hibbs Pherson and Randolph H. Pherson have updated their highly regarded, easy-to-use handbook for developing core critical thinking skills and analytic techniques. This indispensable text is framed around 20 key questions that all analysts must ask themselves as they prepare to conduct research, generate hypotheses, evaluate sources of information, draft papers, and ultimately present analysis, including: How do I get started? Where is the information I need? What is my argument? How do I convey my message effectively? The Third Edition includes suggested best practices for dealing with digital disinformation, politicization, and AI. Drawing upon their years of teaching and analytic experience, Pherson and Pherson provide a useful introduction to skills that are essential within the intelligence community.

Reasoning for Intelligence Analysts
Reasoning for Intelligence Analysts

Author: Noel Hendrickson

Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield

Published: 2018-03-29

Total Pages: 357

ISBN-13: 1442272325

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The goal of Reasoning for Intelligence Analysts is to address the three distinct dimensions of an analyst’s thinking: the person of the analyst (their traits), the processes they use (their techniques), and the problems they face (their targets). Based on a decade of academic research and university teaching in a program for aspiring intelligence analysts, this multidimensional approach will help the reader move beyond the traditional boundaries of accumulating knowledge or critical thinking with techniques to assess the unique targets of reasoning in the information age. This approach is not just a set of techniques, but covers all elements of reasoning by discussing the personal, procedural, and problem-specific aspects. It also addresses key challenges, such as uncertain data, irrelevant or misleading information, indeterminate outcomes, and significance for clients through an extensive examination of hypothesis development, causal analysis, futures exploration, and strategy assessment. Both critical and creative thinking, which are essential to reasoning in intelligence, are integrated throughout. Structured around independently readable chapters, this text offers a systematic approach to reasoning a long with an extensive toolkit that will serve the needs of both students and intelligence professionals.

Intelligence and Crime Analysis
Intelligence and Crime Analysis

Author: David Cariens

Publisher: Lulu.com

Published: 2011

Total Pages: 370

ISBN-13: 9781105103568

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"Critical Thinking through Writing" is an essential book for all intelligence officers, analysts, and managers who want their intelligence to be read and understood. Drawing on his extensive CIA and teaching experience, David Cariens offers salient lessons in writing, critical thinking, and ethics. The English language is complex and this book offers practical instruction designed specifically for intelligence personnel. The writing and analysis exercises are invaluable and will improve the skills of any analyst, regardless of their prior experience. With the knowledge from this book, intelligence personnel will ensure their message is clear and concise. --Aaron Clack, Division Criminal Analysis Section Manager, Royal Canadian Mounted Police

Psychology of Intelligence Analysis
Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

Author: Richards J Heuer

Publisher: Pickle Partners Publishing

Published: 2020-03-05

Total Pages: 336

ISBN-13: 1839743050

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In this seminal work, published by the C.I.A. itself, produced by Intelligence veteran Richards Heuer discusses three pivotal points. First, human minds are ill-equipped ("poorly wired") to cope effectively with both inherent and induced uncertainty. Second, increased knowledge of our inherent biases tends to be of little assistance to the analyst. And lastly, tools and techniques that apply higher levels of critical thinking can substantially improve analysis on complex problems.

Cases in Intelligence Analysis
Cases in Intelligence Analysis

Author: Sarah Miller Beebe

Publisher: CQ Press

Published: 2014-04-28

Total Pages: 340

ISBN-13: 1483340147

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In their Second Edition of Cases in Intelligence Analysis: Structured Analytic Techniques in Action, accomplished instructors and intelligence practitioners Sarah Miller Beebe and Randolph H. Pherson offer robust, class-tested cases studies of events in foreign intelligence, counterintelligence, terrorism, homeland security, law enforcement, and decision-making support. Designed to give analysts-in-training an opportunity to apply structured analytic techniques and tackle real-life problems, each turnkey case delivers a captivating narrative, discussion questions, recommended readings, and a series of engaging analytic exercises.

Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis
Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis

Author: Richards J. Heuer Jr.

Publisher: CQ Press

Published: 2014-05-28

Total Pages: 385

ISBN-13: 148331202X

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In this Second Edition of Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis, authors Richards J. Heuer Jr. and Randolph H. Pherson showcase fifty-five structured analytic techniques—five new to this edition—that represent the most current best practices in intelligence, law enforcement, homeland security, and business analysis.

Intelligence Analysis
Intelligence Analysis

Author: Wayne Michael Hall

Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing USA

Published: 2009-12-22

Total Pages: 458

ISBN-13: 0313382662

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This book offers a vast conceptual and theoretical exploration of the ways intelligence analysis must change in order to succeed against today's most dangerous combatants and most complex irregular theatres of conflict. Intelligence Analysis: How to Think in Complex Environments fills a void in the existing literature on contemporary warfare by examining the theoretical and conceptual foundations of effective modern intelligence analysis—the type of analysis needed to support military operations in modern, complex operational environments. This volume is an expert guide for rethinking intelligence analysis and understanding the true nature of the operational environment, adversaries, and most importantly, the populace. Intelligence Analysis proposes substantive improvements in the way the U.S. national security system interprets intelligence, drawing on the groundbreaking work of theorists ranging from Carl von Clauswitz and Sun Tzu to M. Mitchell Waldrop, General David Petraeus, Richards Heuer, Jr., Orson Scott Card, and others. The new ideas presented here will help the nation to amass a formidable, cumulative intelligence power, with distinct advantages over any and all adversaries of the future regardless of the level of war or type of operational environment.

Challenges in Intelligence Analysis
Challenges in Intelligence Analysis

Author: Timothy Walton

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2010-08-30

Total Pages: 309

ISBN-13: 0521132657

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In Challenges in Intelligence Analysis, first published in 2010, Timothy Walton offers concrete, reality-based ways to improve intelligence analysis.

Cognitive Bias in Intelligence Analysis
Cognitive Bias in Intelligence Analysis

Author: Martha Whitesmith

Publisher: Edinburgh University Press

Published: 2020-09-21

Total Pages: 304

ISBN-13: 1474466362

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This book critiques the reliance of Western intelligence agencies on the use of a method for intelligence analysis developed by the CIA in the 1990s, the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH).