Commodity Terms of Trade

Commodity Terms of Trade

Author: Bertrand Gruss

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2019-01-24

Total Pages: 38

ISBN-13: 1484393856

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This paper presents a comprehensive database of country-specific commodity price indices for 182 economies covering the period 1962-2018. For each country, the change in the international price of up to 45 individual commodities is weighted using commodity-level trade data. The database includes a commodity terms-of-trade index—which proxies the windfall gains and losses of income associated with changes in world prices—as well as additional country-specific series, including commodity export and import price indices. We provide indices that are constructed using, alternatively, fixed weights (based on average trade flows over several decades) and time-varying weights (which can account for time variation in the mix of commodities traded and the overall importance of commodities in economic activity). The paper also discusses the dynamics of commodity terms of trade across country groups and their influence on key macroeconomic aggregates.


Commodity Prices and Markets

Commodity Prices and Markets

Author: Takatoshi Ito

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2011-03

Total Pages: 346

ISBN-13: 0226386899

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Fluctuations of commodity prices, most notably of oil, capture considerable attention and have been tied to important economic effects. This book advances our understanding of the consequences of these fluctuations, providing both general analysis and a particular focus on the countries of the Pacific Rim.


Trading on Their Terms? Commodity Exporters in the Aftermath of the Commodity Boom

Trading on Their Terms? Commodity Exporters in the Aftermath of the Commodity Boom

Author: Aqib Aslam

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2016-02-15

Total Pages: 49

ISBN-13: 1498338216

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Commodity prices have declined sharply over the past three years, and output growth has slowed considerably among countries that are net exporters of commodities. A critical question for policy makers in these economies is whether commodity windfalls influence potential output. Our analysis suggests that both actual and potential output move together with commodity terms of trade, but that actual output comoves twice as strongly as potential output. The weak commodity price outlook is estimated to subtract 1 to 21⁄4 percentage points from actual output growth annually on average during 2015-17. The forecast drag on potential output is about one-third of that for actual output.


Energy Transition Metals

Energy Transition Metals

Author: Lukas Boer

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2021-10-12

Total Pages: 41

ISBN-13: 1513599372

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The energy transition requires substantial amounts of metals such as copper, nickel, cobalt and lithium. Are these metals a key bottleneck? We identify metal-specific demand shocks, estimate supply elasticities and pin down the price impact of the energy transition in a structural scenario analysis. Metal prices would reach historical peaks for an unprecedented, sustained period in a net-zero emissions scenario. The total value of metals production would rise more than four-fold for the period 2021 to 2040, rivaling the total value of crude oil production. Metals are a potentially important input into integrated assessments models of climate change.


Principles of Commodity Economics and Finance

Principles of Commodity Economics and Finance

Author: Daniel P. Ahn

Publisher: MIT Press

Published: 2019-04-09

Total Pages: 229

ISBN-13: 0262347881

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A rigorous but practical introduction to the economic, financial, and political principles underlying commodity markets. Commodities have become one of the fastest growing asset classes of the last decade and the object of increasing attention from investors, scholars, and policy makers. Yet existing treatments of the topic are either too theoretical, ignoring practical realities, or largely narrative and nonrigorous. This book bridges the gap, striking a balance between theory and practice. It offers a solid foundation in the economic, financial, and political principles underlying commodities markets. The book, which grows out of courses taught by the author at Columbia and Johns Hopkins, can be used by graduate students in economics, finance, and public policy, or as a conceptual reference for practitioners. After an introduction to basic concepts and a review of the various types of commodities—energy, metals, agricultural products—the book delves into the economic and financial dynamics of commodity markets, with a particular focus on energy. The text covers fundamental demand and supply for resources, the mechanics behind commodity financial markets, and how they motivate investment decisions around both physical and financial portfolio exposure to commodities, and the evolving political and regulatory landscape for commodity markets. Additional special topics include geopolitics, financial regulation, and electricity markets. The book is divided into thematic modules that progress in complexity. Text boxes offer additional, related material, and numerous charts and graphs provide further insight into important concepts.


Export and Import Price Index Manual: Theory and Practice

Export and Import Price Index Manual: Theory and Practice

Author: OECD

Publisher: OECD Publishing

Published: 2010-04-06

Total Pages: 705

ISBN-13: 9264085416

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A joint production by six international organizations, this manual explores the conceptual and theoretical issues that national statistical offices should consider in the daily compilation of export and import price indices. Intended for use by both ...


Commodity Markets and the Global Economy

Commodity Markets and the Global Economy

Author: Blake C. Clayton

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2016

Total Pages: 215

ISBN-13: 1107042518

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This book provides a clear-eyed analysis of questions at the intersection of commodity markets, natural resource economics, and public policy.


A Basic Guide to Exporting

A Basic Guide to Exporting

Author: Jason Katzman

Publisher: Skyhorse Publishing Inc.

Published: 2011-03-23

Total Pages: 397

ISBN-13: 1616081112

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Here is practical advice for anyone who wants to build their business by selling overseas. The International Trade Administration covers key topics such as marketing, legal issues, customs, and more. With real-life examples and a full index, A Basic Guide to Exporting provides expert advice and practical solutions to meet all of your exporting needs.


Commodity Modeling and Pricing

Commodity Modeling and Pricing

Author: Peter V. Schaeffer

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2008-10-06

Total Pages: 345

ISBN-13: 047031723X

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Commodity Modeling and Pricing provides extensions and applications of state-of-the-art methods for analyzing resource commodity behavior. Drawing from the seminal work of Professor Walter Labys on the development of econometric methods for forecasting commodity prices, this collection of essays features expert contributors ranging from practitioners in private industry, public sector, and nongovernmental organizations to scholars in higher education–all of whom were Labys's former students or collaborators. Filled with in-depth insights and expert advice, Commodity Modeling and Pricing contains the information you need to excel in this demanding environment.