Carry Trade vs. Deposit-Driven Euroization
Author: Ms.Nan Geng
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Published: 2018-03-15
Total Pages: 29
ISBN-13: 1484348001
DOWNLOAD EBOOKFinancial “euroization”—or “dollarization” outside of Central and Eastern Europe—is typically analyzed as a singular phenomenon that can be traced to a common set of factors. This paper argues that two types of euroization need to be distinguished, which have different causes, economic consequences, and policy implications: carry trade euroization that emerges when households and corporations seek to exploit interest rate differentials between foreign currency loans and local currency deposits, and deposit-driven euroization that is rooted in distrust in the local currency as a savings vehicle. We present a theoretical framework that sketches key features of both euroization types, and test it with data from 28 Emerging European and Central Asian economies.