Beyond Mechanical Markets

Beyond Mechanical Markets

Author: Roman Frydman

Publisher: Princeton University Press

Published: 2011-02-07

Total Pages: 304

ISBN-13: 1400838185

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A powerful challenge to contemporary economics and a new agenda for global finance In the wake of the global financial crisis that began in 2007, faith in the rationality of markets has lost ground to a new faith in their irrationality. The problem, Roman Frydman and Michael Goldberg argue, is that both the rational and behavioral theories of the market rest on the same fatal assumption—that markets act mechanically and economic change is fully predictable. In Beyond Mechanical Markets, Frydman and Goldberg show how the failure to abandon this assumption hinders our understanding of how markets work, why price swings help allocate capital to worthy companies, and what role government can and can't play. The financial crisis, Frydman and Goldberg argue, was made more likely, if not inevitable, by contemporary economic theory, yet its core tenets remain unchanged today. In response, the authors show how imperfect knowledge economics, an approach they pioneered, provides a better understanding of markets and the financial crisis. Frydman and Goldberg deliver a withering critique of the widely accepted view that the boom in equity prices that ended in 2007 was a bubble fueled by herd psychology. They argue, instead, that price swings are driven by individuals' ever-imperfect interpretations of the significance of economic fundamentals for future prices and risk. Because swings are at the heart of a dynamic economy, reforms should aim only to curb their excesses. Showing why we are being dangerously led astray by thinking of markets as predictably rational or irrational, Beyond Mechanical Markets presents a powerful challenge to conventional economic wisdom that we can't afford to ignore.


Beyond Technical Analysis

Beyond Technical Analysis

Author: Tushar S. Chande

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2001-05-24

Total Pages: 412

ISBN-13: 9780471415671

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Der Klassiker zur technischen Analyse erscheint jetzt in der 2. überarbeiteten, aktualisierten und erweiterten Auflage. Diese Neuauflage bietet eine interessante Mischung aus topaktuellen Techniken und Analyseverfahren, Strategien, zeitlos gültigen Grundsätzen und praktischen Tipps. Sie liefert umfassende Information für die Entwicklung und Implementierung eines eigenen Handelssystems und stellt so eine Verbindung her zwischen Analyse und Ausführung. Neu aufgenommen wurde eine Einführung in die technische Analyse sowie Material zu Einstiegs- und Ausstiegsstrategien, zur Aktienanalyse und zu Chandes neuer bahnbrechender Arbeit über die 'Comfort Zone' für richtiges Risiko- und Geldmanagement. "Beyond Technical Analysis" ist ein praktischer Leitfaden für versierte Händler und Neulinge gleichermaßen. Mit umfangreichem Beispielmaterial zu allen neu eingeführten Techniken, einschließlich Aktienfonds und offenen Investmentfonds!


Mechanical Trading Systems

Mechanical Trading Systems

Author: Richard L. Weissman

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2005

Total Pages: 241

ISBN-13: 0471654353

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It also provides a detailed examination of the personality traits common to the three basic types of trader - trend-following (long to intermediate term), mean reversion (intermediate-term), and short-term (swing and day traders) - and illustrates how a strict adherence to specific types of trading systems can foster a psychological flexibility that will allow you to succeed in all kinds of trading environments: countertrending, choppy, or trending."--Jacket.


Imperfect Knowledge Economics

Imperfect Knowledge Economics

Author: Roman Frydman

Publisher: Princeton University Press

Published: 2023-09-26

Total Pages: 368

ISBN-13: 0691261156

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Posing a major challenge to economic orthodoxy, Imperfect Knowledge Economics asserts that exact models of purposeful human behavior are beyond the reach of economic analysis. Roman Frydman and Michael Goldberg argue that the longstanding empirical failures of conventional economic models stem from their futile efforts to make exact predictions about the consequences of rational, self-interested behavior. Such predictions, based on mechanistic models of human behavior, disregard the importance of individual creativity and unforeseeable sociopolitical change. Scientific though these explanations may appear, they usually fail to predict how markets behave. And, the authors contend, recent behavioral models of the market are no less mechanistic than their conventional counterparts: they aim to generate exact predictions of "irrational" human behavior. Frydman and Goldberg offer a long-overdue response to the shortcomings of conventional economic models. Drawing attention to the inherent limits of economists' knowledge, they introduce a new approach to economic analysis: Imperfect Knowledge Economics (IKE). IKE rejects exact quantitative predictions of individual decisions and market outcomes in favor of mathematical models that generate only qualitative predictions of economic change. Using the foreign exchange market as a testing ground for IKE, this book sheds new light on exchange-rate and risk-premium movements, which have confounded conventional models for decades. Offering a fresh way to think about markets and representing a potential turning point in economics, Imperfect Knowledge Economics will be essential reading for economists, policymakers, and professional investors.


The Making of a Market

The Making of a Market

Author: Juliette Levy

Publisher: Penn State Press

Published: 2012-01-01

Total Pages: 176

ISBN-13: 0271052147

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During the nineteenth century, Yucat&án moved effectively from its colonial past into modernity, transforming from a cattle-ranching and subsistence-farming economy to a booming export-oriented agricultural economy. Yucat&án and its economy grew in response to increasing demand from the United States for henequen, the local cordage fiber. This henequen boom has often been seen as another regional and historical example of overdependence on foreign markets and extortionary local elites. In The Making of a Market, Juliette Levy argues instead that local social and economic dynamics are the root of the region&’s development. She shows how credit markets contributed to the boom before banks (and bank crises) existed and how people borrowed before the creation of institutions designed specifically to lend. As the intermediaries in this lending process, notaries became unwitting catalysts of Yucat&án&’s capitalist transformation. By focusing attention on the notaries&’ role in structuring the mortgage market rather than on formal institutions such as banks, this study challenges the easy compartmentalization of local and global relationships and of economic and social relationships.


Money Management Strategies for Futures Traders

Money Management Strategies for Futures Traders

Author: Nauzer J. Balsara

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 1992-04-16

Total Pages: 286

ISBN-13: 9780471522157

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Distills complex theories for the benefit of the average trader with little or no background in finance or mathematics by offering a wide range of valuable, practical strategies for limiting risk, avoiding catastrophic losses and managing the futures portfolio to maximize profits. Numerous topics are explored including: why most traders lose at the futures game most of the time; why most mechanical trading systems are apt to fail; the probabilistic approach to trading; how to make stop-loss orders work for, rather than against you; the pros and cons of options versus futures trading; and how to limit risk through diversification.


The Market Is Always Right

The Market Is Always Right

Author: Thomas A. McCafferty

Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional

Published: 2002-11-22

Total Pages: 253

ISBN-13: 0071416102

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Rules for successful trading, direct from the traders who practice them every day Even with today's high-speed computers, online accounts, and information access, traders still live or die based on their abilities to control fear, greed, and emotion. The Market Is Always Right gives traders battle-proven advice for avoiding common trading setbacks by understanding human natureboth their own and others'and directing it toward profitable outcomes. Distilling the wisdom of hundreds of traders, this proactive book starts with 10 overriding rulesfor example, "Evaluate your performance"and then lists the subrules within each, such as "Qualify and quantify your trading pattern." Other examples include: Never chase trades Watch the opendon't trade it When in doubt, get out


Way of the Turtle: The Secret Methods that Turned Ordinary People into Legendary Traders

Way of the Turtle: The Secret Methods that Turned Ordinary People into Legendary Traders

Author: Curtis Faith

Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional

Published: 2007-03-30

Total Pages: 314

ISBN-13: 0071509461

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“We're going to raise traders just like they raise turtles in Singapore.” So trading guru Richard Dennis reportedly said to his long-time friend William Eckhardt nearly 25 years ago. What started as a bet about whether great traders were born or made became a legendary trading experiment that, until now, has never been told in its entirety. Way of the Turtle reveals, for the first time, the reasons for the success of the secretive trading system used by the group known as the “Turtles.” Top-earningTurtle Curtis Faith lays bare the entire experiment, explaining how it was possible for Dennis and Eckhardt to recruit 23 ordinary people from all walks of life and train them to be extraordinary traders in just two weeks. Only nineteen years old at the time-the youngest Turtle by far-Faith traded the largest account, making more than $30 million in just over four years. He takes you behind the scenes of the Turtle selection process and behind closed doors where the Turtles learned the lucrative trading strategies that enabled them to earn an average return of over 80 percent per year and profits of more than $100 million. You'll discover How the Turtles made money-the principles that guided their trading and the step-by-step methods they followed Why, even though they used the same approach, some Turtles were more successful than others How to look beyond the rules as the Turtles implemented them to find core strategies that work for any tradable market How to apply the Turtle Way to your own trades-and in your own life Ways to diversify your trading and limit your exposure to risk Offering his unique perspective on the experience, Faith explains why the Turtle Way works in modern markets, and shares hard-earned wisdom on taking risks, choosing your own path, and learning from your mistakes.


Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes

Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes

Author: Harold L. Vogel

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2021-12-17

Total Pages: 619

ISBN-13: 3030791823

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Economists broadly define financial asset price bubbles as episodes in which prices rise with notable rapidity and depart from historically established asset valuation multiples and relationships. Financial economists have for decades attempted to study and interpret bubbles through the prisms of rational expectations, efficient markets, equilibrium, arbitrage, and capital asset pricing models, but they have not made much if any progress toward a consistent and reliable theory that explains how and why bubbles (and crashes) evolve and are defined, measured, and compared. This book develops a new and different approach that is based on the central notion that bubbles and crashes reflect urgent short-side rationing, which means that, as such extreme conditions unfold, considerations of quantities owned or not owned begin to displace considerations of price.


Big Trends In Trading

Big Trends In Trading

Author: Price Headley

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2002-03-26

Total Pages: 282

ISBN-13: 9780471412694

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Arms traders and sophisticated individual investors with the tools they need to play the markets successfully Many traders believe that they must perform at least one trade every day, no matter what. However, as expert Price Headley clearly demonstrates in this groundbreaking book, not only is that assumption false, it can also be dangerous. He shows why focusing too narrowly on the daily ebb and flow of the markets minimizes a trader's chances for the big returns. He explains why maximum results are achieved by identifying the big market trends and riding them for all their worth. Headley explores the major market indicators-including the popular CBOE Volatility Index, Nasdaq 100, Rydex Mutual Fund Flows, and Equity Put/Call Ratio-and shows readers how to use them to identify the stocks that are about to take off. Emphasizing the aggressive use of options, he also empowers investors with stock selection techniques and options strategies that work in virtually every type of market.