Credit Growth and Economic Recovery in Europe After the Global Financial Crisis
Credit Growth and Economic Recovery in Europe After the Global Financial Crisis

Author: Sergei Antoshin

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2017-11-17

Total Pages: 54

ISBN-13: 1484330218

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This paper reviews the empirical relationships between credit growth, economic recovery, and bank profitability in Europe after the global financial crisis (GFC). We find that the post-GFC recoveries in Europe have been weaker than previous recoveries, with the “double-dip” recessions in 2011–12 in many countries and the worldwide reach of the GFC explaining the underperformance. Bank lending has been subdued as well, but this appears to have only held back the recovery relatively moderately. A 10 percent increase in bank credit to the private sector is associated with a rise of 0.6–1 percent in real GDP and 2–21⁄2 percent in real private investment. These relationships have not changed significantly during and after the GFC. Loan quality, customer deposits, bank equity price index, and bank capital appear to be closely linked to bank lending. As expected, bank profitability is positively and significantly influenced by credit growth, but this relationship has weakened after the GFC.

Recovery Risk
Recovery Risk

Author: Edward I. Altman

Publisher: Bloomberg Press

Published: 2005-01-01

Total Pages: 364

ISBN-13: 9781904339502

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In this ground-breaking new title, Risk Books brings together three prominent editors to provide a timely reference text on loss given default (LGD) measurement and management and the requirements of the Basel II Capital Accord.

Recent Credit Stagnation in the Mena Region
Recent Credit Stagnation in the Mena Region

Author: Mr.Heiko Hesse

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2010-09-01

Total Pages: 21

ISBN-13: 1455208841

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This paper examines the recent credit slowdown among Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) countries from three analytical angles. First, it finds that, similar to other regions and to its past history, a credit boom preceded the current slowdown, and that a protracted period of sluggish growth is likely going forward. Second, it uncovers a key role played by bank funding (deposit growth and external borrowing slowed considerably) but whose effect was frequently dampened by expansionary monetary policy. Third, bank-level fundamentals - capitalization and loan quality - helped to explain differences in credit growth across banks and countries.

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications
Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

Author: Mr.Stijn Claessens

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2013-01-30

Total Pages: 66

ISBN-13: 1475561008

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This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.

What Happens During Recessions, Crunches and Busts?
What Happens During Recessions, Crunches and Busts?

Author: Mr.Ayhan Kose

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2008-12-01

Total Pages: 77

ISBN-13: 1451871325

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We provide a comprehensive empirical characterization of the linkages between key macroeconomic and financial variables around business and financial cycles for 21 OECD countries over the period 1960–2007. In particular, we analyze the implications of 122 recessions, 112 (28) credit contraction (crunch) episodes, 114 (28) episodes of house price declines (busts), 234 (58) episodes of equity price declines (busts) and their various overlaps in these countries over the sample period. Our results indicate that interactions between macroeconomic and financial variables can play major roles in determining the severity and duration of recessions. Specifically, we find evidence that recessions associated with credit crunches and house price busts tend to be deeper and longer than other recessions. JEL Classification Numbers: E32; E44; E51; F42

Advances in Credit Risk Modelling and Corporate Bankruptcy Prediction
Advances in Credit Risk Modelling and Corporate Bankruptcy Prediction

Author: Stewart Jones

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2008-09-25

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 0521869285

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A thorough compendium of credit risk modelling approaches, including several new techniques that extend the horizons of future research and practice. Models and techniques are illustrated with empirical examples and are accompanied by a careful explanation of model derivation issues. An ideal resource for academics, practitioners and regulators.

Fixed Income Analysis
Fixed Income Analysis

Author: Barbara S. Petitt

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2015-02-06

Total Pages: 752

ISBN-13: 1119029767

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The essential guide to fixed income portfolio management, from the experts at CFA Fixed Income Analysis is a new edition of Frank Fabozzi's Fixed Income Analysis, Second Edition that provides authoritative and up-to-date coverage of how investment professionals analyze and manage fixed income portfolios. With detailed information from CFA Institute, this guide contains comprehensive, example-driven presentations of all essential topics in the field to provide value for self-study, general reference, and classroom use. Readers are first introduced to the fundamental concepts of fixed income before continuing on to analysis of risk, asset-backed securities, term structure analysis, and a general framework for valuation that assumes no prior relevant background. The final section of the book consists of three readings that build the knowledge and skills needed to effectively manage fixed income portfolios, giving readers a real-world understanding of how the concepts discussed are practically applied in client-based scenarios. Part of the CFA Institute Investment series, this book provides a thorough exploration of fixed income analysis, clearly presented by experts in the field. Readers gain critical knowledge of underlying concepts, and gain the skills they need to translate theory into practice. Understand fixed income securities, markets, and valuation Master risk analysis and general valuation of fixed income securities Learn how fixed income securities are backed by pools of assets Explore the relationships between bond yields of different maturities Investment analysts, portfolio managers, individual and institutional investors and their advisors, and anyone with an interest in fixed income markets will appreciate this access to the best in professional quality information. For a deeper understanding of fixed income portfolio management practices, Fixed Income Analysis is a complete, essential resource.

The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report
The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report

Author: Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission

Publisher: Cosimo, Inc.

Published: 2011-05-01

Total Pages: 692

ISBN-13: 1616405414

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The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report, published by the U.S. Government and the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in early 2011, is the official government report on the United States financial collapse and the review of major financial institutions that bankrupted and failed, or would have without help from the government. The commission and the report were implemented after Congress passed an act in 2009 to review and prevent fraudulent activity. The report details, among other things, the periods before, during, and after the crisis, what led up to it, and analyses of subprime mortgage lending, credit expansion and banking policies, the collapse of companies like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the federal bailouts of Lehman and AIG. It also discusses the aftermath of the fallout and our current state. This report should be of interest to anyone concerned about the financial situation in the U.S. and around the world.THE FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION is an independent, bi-partisan, government-appointed panel of 10 people that was created to "examine the causes, domestic and global, of the current financial and economic crisis in the United States." It was established as part of the Fraud Enforcement and Recovery Act of 2009. The commission consisted of private citizens with expertise in economics and finance, banking, housing, market regulation, and consumer protection. They examined and reported on "the collapse of major financial institutions that failed or would have failed if not for exceptional assistance from the government."News Dissector DANNY SCHECHTER is a journalist, blogger and filmmaker. He has been reporting on economic crises since the 1980's when he was with ABC News. His film In Debt We Trust warned of the economic meltdown in 2006. He has since written three books on the subject including Plunder: Investigating Our Economic Calamity (Cosimo Books, 2008), and The Crime Of Our Time: Why Wall Street Is Not Too Big to Jail (Disinfo Books, 2011), a companion to his latest film Plunder The Crime Of Our Time. He can be reached online at www.newsdissector.com.

Financial Sector Crisis and Restructuring
Financial Sector Crisis and Restructuring

Author: Carl-Johan Lindgren

Publisher:

Published: 1999

Total Pages: 103

ISBN-13: 9781557758712

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An IMF paper reviewing the policy responses of Indonesia, Korea and Thailand to the 1997 Asian crisis, comparing the actions of these three countries with those of Malaysia and the Philippines. Although all judgements are still tentative, important lessons can be learned from the experiences of the last two years.

World Economic Outlook, April 2009
World Economic Outlook, April 2009

Author: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2009-04-22

Total Pages: 252

ISBN-13: 1589068068

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This edition of the World Economic Outlook explores how a dramatic escalation of the financial crisis in September 2008 provoked an unprecedented contraction of activity and trade, despite active policy responses. It presents economic projections for 2009 and 2010, and also looks beyond the current crisis, considering factors that will shape the landscape of the global economy over the medium term, as businesses and households seek to repair the damage. The analysis also outlines the difficult policy challenges presented by the overwhelming imperative to take all steps necessary to restore financial stability and revive the global economy, and the longer-run need for national actions to be mutually supporting. The first of two analytical chapters, "What Kind of Economic Recovery?" explores the shape of the eventual recovery. The second, "The Transmission of Financial Stress from Advanced to Emerging and Developing Economies," focuses on the role of external financial linkages and financial stress in transmitting economic shocks.