Modelling and Forecasting in Dry Bulk Shipping

Modelling and Forecasting in Dry Bulk Shipping

Author: Shun Chen

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2014-04-24

Total Pages: 439

ISBN-13: 1317701623

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This book models price behaviour and forecasts prices in the dry bulk shipping market, a major component of the world shipping industry. Recent uncertainties in the world economy, shipbuilding developments and fleet changes mean the dry bulk shipping market has become extremely volatile, highly speculative and more sensitive to external shocks. In response to these challenging circumstances, this book models price behaviour and forecasts prices in various markets including the freight market, the new build ship market and the second-hand ship market. The authors have carried out an extensive investigation of dry bulk shipping over a 60-year period in diverse sub-markets, trading routes, market conditions and dry bulk vessels. The authors also propose a framework for analysing and modelling the economic processes of numerous variables in the dry bulk shipping market, making use of modern econometric techniques and other economic approaches. This will be especially useful for the control and assessment of risk for ship owners and charterers in ship operation, ship chartering and ship trading activities. This book will be extremely useful for shipbuilders, owners and charterers, as well as shipping analysts and policymakers. It will also be of great interest to academics and researchers concerned with the economics of the shipping industry.


Shipping Economics

Shipping Economics

Author: Kevin Cullinane

Publisher: Elsevier

Published: 2005-06-15

Total Pages: 324

ISBN-13: 0080456804

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Shipping is by far the most significant mode of transportation for the carriage of freight. In terms of volume alone, no other mode comes close. Its dominance is even more overwhelming when distances are accounted for. This book is concerned with the economics of this pivotal mode of transportation. It reveals that the influences on the development and current state of shipping economics research are extremely eclectic. The various chapters in the book represent areas that are of central concern to ongoing research in the field. As such, the book is useful to students, researchers, industrialists, policy makers and consultants. The authors of the contributed chapters are some of the leading names in the world of shipping economics, addressing a number of diverse areas: The econometric modeling of shipping markets; Shipping finance (a critical issue in such a capital intensive industry); Fiscal policy (and its impact on an international industry with great asset mobility) and Safety and security (aspects that have risen to prominence with increasing concerns over the environment and international terrorism). Ultimately, while shipping as a business depends upon trade, it is absolutely certain that the business of trade depends upon shipping. The final two chapters, therefore, incorporate aspects of network economics, welfare economics and international trade theory to analyze where and how shipping sits within the wider perspective of industrial supply chains.Professor Kevin Cullinane, BA BSc MSc PhD FCILT CNIProfessor Kevin Cullinane is Chair in Marine Transport and Management at the University of Newcastle in the U.K. He was previously Professor and Head of the Department of Shipping and Transport Logistics at the Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Head of the Centre for International Shipping and Transport at Plymouth University, Senior Partner in his own transport consultancy company and Research Fellow at the University of Oxford Transport Studies Unit. He is a Fellow of the Chartered Institute of Logistics and Transport and has been a transport adviser to the governments of Hong Kong, Egypt, Chile and the U.K. He holds visiting Professorships at a number of institutions and an Honorary Professorship at the University of Hong Kong.


Econometric Modelling of World Shipping

Econometric Modelling of World Shipping

Author: M. Beenstock

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 1993-09-30

Total Pages: 274

ISBN-13: 9780412367205

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Econometric Modelling of World Shipping describes an economic model that may be used to forecast world shipping markets. A unique feature of the model is that it relates to both sectors of world shipping, the dry cargo sector and the tanker sector. This is the first time that a model of this type has been published. This book also breaks new ground in explaining the behaviour of vessel prices, both new and secondhand.


The International Handbook of Shipping Finance

The International Handbook of Shipping Finance

Author: Manolis G. Kavussanos

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2016-11-10

Total Pages: 459

ISBN-13: 1137465468

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The International Handbook of Shipping Finance is a one-stop resource, offering comprehensive reference to theory and practice in the area of shipping finance. In the multibillion dollar international shipping industry, it is important to understand the various issues involved in the finance of the sector. This involves the identification and evaluation of the alternative sources of capital available for financing the ships, including the appraisal and budgeting of shipping investment projects; legal and insurance aspects of ship finance; the financial analysis and modelling of investment projects; mergers and acquisitions; and the commercial and market risk management issues involved. Edited by two leading academics in this area, and with contributions from 25 prominent market practitioners and academics over 16 chapters, this Handbook covers shipping finance and banking, maritime financial management and investments. As such, it includes: shipping markets; asset backed finance; shipbuilding finance; debt finance; public and private equity and debt markets; structured finance; legal aspects and key clauses of ship mortgages; marine insurance; mechanisms for handling defaulted loans; investment appraisal and capital budgeting; financial analysis and investment modelling; business risk management and freight derivatives; and mergers and acquisitions. Thus, the Handbook offers a rigorous understanding of the different aspects of modern shipping finance and maritime financial management and investments, the various characteristics of the available products, the capital needs and requirements, and a clear view on the different financial management strategies through a series of practical examples and applications. Technical where appropriate, but grounded in market reality, this is a “must-have” reference for anyone involved in shipping finance, from bank practitioners and commodity trading houses, to shipbrokers, lawyers and insurance houses as well as to university students studying shipping finance. Table of Contents Preface by Editors Manolis Kavussanos, Professor, Director, MSc in International Shipping, Finance and Management, Athens University of Economics and Business, Greece Ilias Visvikis, Professor, Director Executive Education and Professional Development, World Maritime University, Sweden Chapter 1: Shipping Markets and their Economic Drivers Jan-Henrik Huebner, Head of Shipping Advisory, DNV GL, Germany Chapter 2: Asset Risk Assessment, Analysis and Forecasting in Asset Backed Finance Henriette Brent Petersen, Head of Shipping & Offshore Research, DVB Bank SE, The Netherlands Chapter 3: Overview of Ship Finance Fotis Giannakoulis, Research Vice President, Morgan Stanley, USA Chapter 4: Shipbuilding Finance Charles Cushing, C.R. Cushing & Co. Inc., USA Chapter 5: Debt Financing in Shipping George Paleokrassas, Partner, Watson, Farley & Williams, Greece Chapter 6: Public Debt Markets for Shipping Basil Karatzas, Founder & CEO, Karatzas Marine Advisors & Co., USA Chapter 7: Public and Private Equity Markets Jeffrey Pribor, Global Head, Maritime Investment Banking, Jefferies LLC, USA Cecilie Lind, Associate Investment Banking, Jefferies LLC, USA Chapter 8: Structured Finance in Shipping Contributor: Ioannis Alexopoulos, Director, Shipping Financier, Eurofin Group, Greece Nikos Stratis, Managing Director of Augustea Group, UK Chapter 9: Key Clauses of a Shipping Loan Agreement Kyriakos Spoullos, Solicitor, Norton Rose Fulbright, Greece Chapter 10: Legal Aspects of Ship Mortgages Simon Norton, Lecturer, Cardiff Business School, UK Claudio Chistè, Investec Bank Plc., UK Chapter 11: Reasons and Mechanics of Handling Defaulted Shipping Loans and Methods of Recovery Dimitris Anagnostopoulos, Board Member & Director, Aegean Baltic Bank, Greece Philippos Tsamanis, VP - Head of Shipping, Aegean Baltic Bank, Greece Chapter 12: Marine Insurance Marc Huybrechts, Professor, University of Antwerp, Belgium Theodora Nikaki, Associate Professor, Swansea University, UK Chapter 13: Maritime Investment Appraisal and Budgeting Wolfgang Drobetz, Professor, University of Hamburg, Germany Stefan Albertijn, CEO, HAMANT Beratungs-und Investitions GmbH, Germany Max Johns, Managing Director, German Shipowners’ Association, Germany Chapter 14: Financial Analysis and Modelling of Ship Investments Lars Patterson, Shipping Investment Analyst, Pacomarine Limited, UK Chapter 15: Maritime Business Risk Management Manolis Kavussanos, Professor, Director, MSc in International Shipping, Finance and Management, Athens University of Economics and Business, Greece Ilias Visvikis, Professor, Director Executive Education and Professional Development, World Maritime University, Sweden Chapter 16: Mergers and Acquisitions in Shipping George Alexandridis, Associate Professor, ICMA Centre, University of Reading, UK Manish Singh, Manish Singh, Group Director - Strategy and M&A, V. Group Limited, UK


Maritime Economics

Maritime Economics

Author: E. Karakitsos

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2014-06-24

Total Pages: 384

ISBN-13: 1137383410

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This book analyses shipping markets and their interdependence. This ground-breaking text develops a new macroeconomic approach to maritime economics and provides the reader with a more comprehensive understanding of the way modern shipping markets function.


Maritime Economics

Maritime Economics

Author: Alan Branch

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2013-04-15

Total Pages: 597

ISBN-13: 1134742673

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Now in its second edition Maritime Economics provides a valuable introduction to the organisation and workings of the global shipping industry. The author outlines the economic theory as well as many of the operational practicalities involved. Extensively revised for the new edition, the book has many clear illustrations and tables. Topics covered include: * an overview of international trade * Maritime Law * economic organisation and principles * financing ships and shipping companies * market research and forecasting.


International Handbook of Maritime Economics

International Handbook of Maritime Economics

Author: Kevin Cullinane

Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing

Published: 2011-01-01

Total Pages: 521

ISBN-13: 0857930869

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This timely and comprehensive new Handbook brings together an unrivalled group of distinguished scholars and practitioners to provide in-depth analysis and a contemporary perspective on a wide-ranging array of topics in maritime economics. Inherently global in nature, the economics of the maritime sector has proved pivotal in facilitating globalization and international trade. This Handbook offers a unique and indispensable source of reference and information for researchers, students and practitioners interested in the relationship between these developments and maritime markets.


Freight Derivatives and Risk Management in Shipping

Freight Derivatives and Risk Management in Shipping

Author: Manolis G. Kavussanos

Publisher: Taylor & Francis

Published: 2021-04-29

Total Pages: 555

ISBN-13: 1000368963

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This advanced practical textbook deals with the issue of risk analysis, measurement and management in the shipping industry. It identifies and analyses the sources of risk in the shipping business and explores in detail the “traditional” and “modern” strategies for risk management at both the investment and operational levels of the business. The special features and characteristics of all available freight derivative products are compared and contrasted between them. Practical applications of derivatives are showcased through realistic practical examples, while a number of concepts across the contents of this book appear for the first time in the literature. The book also serves as “the reference” point for researchers in the area, helping them to enhance their knowledge of risk management and derivatives in the shipping industry, but also to students at both undergraduate and postgraduate levels. Finally, it provides a comprehensive manual for practitioners wishing to engage in the financial risk management of maritime business. This second edition has been fully updated in order to incorporate the numerous developments in the industry since its first edition in 2006. New chapters have been introduced on topics such as Market Risk Measurement, Credit Risk and Credit Derivatives, and Statistical Methods to Quantify Risk. Furthermore, the second edition of this book builds upon the successful first edition which has been extensively (i) taught in a number of Universities around the world and (ii) used by professionals in the industry. Shipowners, professionals in the shipping industry, risk management officers, credit officers, traders, investors, students and researchers will find the book indispensable in order to understand how risk management and hedging tools can make the difference for companies to remain competitive and stay ahead of the rest.


Shipping and Logistics Management

Shipping and Logistics Management

Author: Yuen Ha (Venus) Lun

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2010-04-07

Total Pages: 243

ISBN-13: 1848829973

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Shipping and Logistics Management serves to consolidate the knowledge its authors have acquired from being educators and observers of the shipping industry. Against the background of a global business environment, it explains how the shipping market functions, examining the strategic and operational issues that affect entrepreneurs in this industry. The authors discuss global trends and strategies in the shipping business, looking at the role of logistics service providers and at how the use of information technology can help shipping operations. Shipping and Logistics Management also aims to answer several important questions in the shipping industry, including: what are the shipping cost structures?, what are the patterns of sea transport? and how do companies in the shipping industry operate? An invaluable source of information for researchers and advanced, or graduate, students, Shipping and Logistics Management is also a useful reference for shipping practitioners and consultants.


Shipping Derivatives and Risk Management

Shipping Derivatives and Risk Management

Author: A. Alizadeh

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2009-04-28

Total Pages: 528

ISBN-13: 0230235808

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A comprehensive book on shipping derivatives and risk management which covers the theoretical and practical aspects of financial risk in shipping. The book provides a thorough overview of the practice of risk management in shipping with the use of theoretical examples and real-life applications.