Agricultural Price Analysis and Forecasting

Agricultural Price Analysis and Forecasting

Author: John W. Goodwin

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 1994-03-02

Total Pages: 374

ISBN-13:

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Uses a problem solving framework to provide students with the means for acquiring the necessary skills in the application of economic theory. Enables them to understand that economic theory does describe authentic relationships by actual people in the existing world.


Agricultural Marketing and Price Analysis

Agricultural Marketing and Price Analysis

Author: F. Bailey Norwood

Publisher: Waveland Press

Published: 2021-12-20

Total Pages: 445

ISBN-13: 1478648678

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Friendly and readable, Agricultural Marketing and Price Analysis presents a comprehensive approach to agricultural price analysis, agricultural market structures, and agricultural marketing strategies. The authors engage students with very little exposure to economics and with only a basic grasp of algebra. The text utilizes a fresh approach and supplies thorough coverage of core topics, as well as complex topics such as general equilibrium models, game theory, and econometrics. It also provides an introduction to data analysis and incorporates many examples. Supplemental materials are available for additional practice and further exploration. Unique to the Second Edition is the inclusion of a chapter on consumer behavior and food preferences, as well as relevant areas of research. The authors introduce readers to the agricultural supply chain, including forecasting and inventory management. Succinct and approachable, this text sets the stage for an enjoyable and effective learning experience.


Risky Agricultural Markets

Risky Agricultural Markets

Author: Pasquale L Scandizzo

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2019-07-11

Total Pages: 156

ISBN-13: 1000310221

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This book shows how decisions made by individual farmers influence the efficiency of agricultural markets. Unless farmers properly take account of the correlation between prices and yields in forming their price forecasts, competitive markets will often be socially inefficient, leading to misallocation of resources. The authors demonstrate that a simple and practical price forecasting rule, based on expected per unit revenue, is generally adequate to ensure efficient market behavior.Time-series data from various countries are used to test the hypothesis that market supply is influenced by the correlation of price and yield as well as by lagged market prices . The importance of market inefficiencies in risky situations is shown to, depend on the variability of yields, the nature of farmers'price forecasting behavior, the degree of private risk aversion,and the elasticity of demand. The authors suggest and evaluate three basic policy approaches governments may take when confronted with very inefficient markets--establishing production quotas, improving market information services, and implementing price stabilization schemes. They conclude by discussing implications of the study for the specification of agricultural supply models and for the economic appraisal of risky investment projects.


Agricultural Price Analysis and Forecasting, Student Handbook

Agricultural Price Analysis and Forecasting, Student Handbook

Author: John W. Goodwin

Publisher: Wiley

Published: 1994-03-28

Total Pages: 152

ISBN-13: 9780471304463

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Uses a problem solving framework to provide students with the means for acquiring the necessary skills in the application of economic theory. Enables them to understand that economic theory does describe authentic relationships by actual people in the existing world.


Methods to Analyse Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility

Methods to Analyse Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility

Author: Isabelle Piot-Lepetit

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2011-06-10

Total Pages: 238

ISBN-13: 1441976345

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This book examines the issue of price volatility in agricultural commodities markets and how this phenomenon has evolved in recent years. The factors underlying the price spike of 2007-08 appear to be global and macroeconomic in nature, including the rapid growth in demand by developing countries, the international financial crisis, and exchange rate movements. Some of these factors are new, appearing as influences on price volatility only in the last decade. Although volatility has always been a feature of agricultural commodity markets, the evidence suggests that volatility has increased in certain commodity markets. A growing problem is that agricultural price shocks and volatility disrupt agricultural markets, economic incentives and incomes. With increased globalization and integration of financial and energy markets with agricultural commodity markets, the relationships between markets are expanding and becoming more complex. When a crisis such as a regional drought, food safety scare or a financial crisis hits a particular market, policy-makers often do not know the extent to which it will impact on other markets and affect producer, consumer and trader decisions. Including contributions from experts at the World Bank, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, the USDA, and the European Commission, the research developed throughout the chapters of this book is based on current methodologies that can be used to analyze price volatility and provide directions for understanding this volatility and the development of new agricultural policies. The book highlights the challenges facing policy makers in dealing with the changing nature of agricultural commodities markets, and offers recommendations for anticipating price movements and managing their consequences. It will be a practical guide for both present and future policy-makers in deciding on potential price-stabilizing interventions, and will also serve as a useful resource for researchers and students in agricultural economics.


Agricultural Prices and Commodity Market Analysis

Agricultural Prices and Commodity Market Analysis

Author: John N. Ferris

Publisher: MSU Press

Published: 2005

Total Pages: 361

ISBN-13: 9780870137518

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Agricultural Prices and Commodity MarketAnalysis discusses the application of economictheory to agriculture and the foodindustry, using quantitative tools. The blendof theory and application is unique in detailinghow demand and supply can be measuredand how econometric simulationmodels can be constructed and evaluated.This revised edition focuses on forecastingand generating long-term projections as wellas discussing the relatively unexplored areaof stochastic modeling, which is critical inhandling crop yield variability. Other topicscovered include agricultural policy analysisand futures/options markets. The role oftime series models in improving structuralequations and forecasting techniques providesa capstone.


Agricultural Prices and Commodity Market Analysis

Agricultural Prices and Commodity Market Analysis

Author: John N. Ferris

Publisher: McGraw-Hill Science, Engineering & Mathematics

Published: 1998

Total Pages: 390

ISBN-13:

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This book emphasizes market and price analysis using agricultural examples. The focus of the book is on the application of econometrics and will help those going into fields involving market analysis and forecasting. The blend of theory and application is unique.