Loss Models
Loss Models

Author: Stuart A. Klugman

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2019-04-04

Total Pages: 811

ISBN-13: 1119523753

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A guide that provides in-depth coverage of modeling techniques used throughout many branches of actuarial science, revised and updated Now in its fifth edition, Loss Models: From Data to Decisions puts the focus on material tested in the Society of Actuaries (SOA) newly revised Exams STAM (Short-Term Actuarial Mathematics) and LTAM (Long-Term Actuarial Mathematics). Updated to reflect these exam changes, this vital resource offers actuaries, and those aspiring to the profession, a practical approach to the concepts and techniques needed to succeed in the profession. The techniques are also valuable for anyone who uses loss data to build models for assessing risks of any kind. Loss Models contains a wealth of examples that highlight the real-world applications of the concepts presented, and puts the emphasis on calculations and spreadsheet implementation. With a focus on the loss process, the book reviews the essential quantitative techniques such as random variables, basic distributional quantities, and the recursive method, and discusses techniques for classifying and creating distributions. Parametric, non-parametric, and Bayesian estimation methods are thoroughly covered. In addition, the authors offer practical advice for choosing an appropriate model. This important text: • Presents a revised and updated edition of the classic guide for actuaries that aligns with newly introduced Exams STAM and LTAM • Contains a wealth of exercises taken from previous exams • Includes fresh and additional content related to the material required by the Society of Actuaries (SOA) and the Canadian Institute of Actuaries (CIA) • Offers a solutions manual available for further insight, and all the data sets and supplemental material are posted on a companion site Written for students and aspiring actuaries who are preparing to take the SOA examinations, Loss Models offers an essential guide to the concepts and techniques of actuarial science.

Beyond Beta
Beyond Beta

Author: Samuel Kotz

Publisher: World Scientific

Published: 2004

Total Pages: 308

ISBN-13: 9812561153

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Statistical distributions are fundamental to Statistical Science and are a prime indispensable tool for its applications. This monograph is the first to examine an important but somewhat neglected field — univariate continuous distribution on a bounded domain, excluding the beta distribution. It provides an elementary but thorough discussion of “novel” contributions developed in recent years, such as the two-sided power, generalized trapezoidal and generalized Topp and Leone distributions, among others. It discusses a general framework for constructing two-sided distributions and some of its properties. It contains a comprehensive chapter on the triangular distribution as well as a chapter on earlier extensions not emphasized in existing literature. Special attention is given to estimation, in particular, non-standard maximum likelihood procedures. The applications are drawn mainly from the econometric and engineering domains.

Social Security
Social Security

Author: Peter A. Diamond

Publisher: Brookings Institution Press

Published: 2001-06-07

Total Pages: 244

ISBN-13: 9780815723080

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Recent reports predict that, barring any changes, the Social Security program will become insolvent--no longer able to pay promised benefits in full--around the year 2030, well within the retirement years of the baby boom generation. They also predict that the trust fund will stop being a net contributor and become instead a net claimant on the federal budget in the year 2013--much earlier than previously thought. With the world population aging, the increasing number of dependent senior citizens in all countries will become a major public policy issue that will have to be addressed continually over the next fifty years. Social Security: What Role for the Future? takes a fresh look at the questions essential to understanding the future of old-age protection under Social Security. Experts in economics, actuarial science, and public policy examine such front-burner issues as the effects that variables such as mortality, births, inflation, wage levels, and pension benefits will have on the income of future retirees; the implications and effects of alternative levels of funding and financing on Social Security; and the prospects for publicly and privately financed income programs. The authors conclude with an examination of social security programs around the world and pose critical questions about the future direction of Social Security in the United States--questions that Congress and the American public will have to address in the coming years. The contributors include Robert H. Binstock, Barry P. Bosworth, Robert Brown, Gary Burtless, David M. Cutler, Jagadeesh Gokhale, Edward Gramlich, Stephen Goss, Robert Hagemann, Dalmer Hoskins, Estelle James, Diane Macunovich, David Mullins, Alicia H. Munnell, Robert J. Myers, Martha Phillips, Sylvester Schieber, Margaret Simms, C. Eugene Steuerle, and Carolyn Weaver. Copublished with the National Academy of Social Insurance

Retirement Income Recipes in R
Retirement Income Recipes in R

Author: Moshe Arye Milevsky

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2020-09-26

Total Pages: 302

ISBN-13: 303051434X

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This book provides computational tools that readers can use to flourish in the retirement income industry. Each chapter describes recipe-like algorithms and explains how to implement them via simple scripts in the freely available R coding language. Students can use those skills to generate quantitative answers to the most common questions in retirement income planning, as well as to develop a deeper understanding of the finance and economics underlying the field itself. The book will be an excellent asset for experienced students who are interested in advanced wealth management, and specifically within courses that focus on holistic modeling of the retirement income process. The material will also be useful to current and future wealth management professionals within the financial services industry. Readers should have a solid understanding of financial principles, as well as a rudimentary background in economics and accounting.

Fundamentals of Retiree Group Benefits
Fundamentals of Retiree Group Benefits

Author: Dale Yamamoto

Publisher: ACTEX Publications

Published: 2015-06-30

Total Pages: 842

ISBN-13: 1625424833

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Retiree group benefits have earned a reputation for being difficult to understand. Half retirement benefit and half group insurance – few professionals have mastered both fields. Complex finances blend the world of pension mathematics and health plan pricing. The purpose of this textbook is to provide the fundamental basics of all aspects of retiree group benefits—from goals and objectives of providing the benefit to the actuarial considerations of accounting and funding the programs. This one book contains everything pertaining to the subject of retiree group benefits. Its chapters cover the prevalence of the benefit, Medicare, plan design, funding and legal issues, accounting rules and actuarial methods and assumptions.

Stochastic Claims Reserving Methods in Insurance
Stochastic Claims Reserving Methods in Insurance

Author: Mario V. Wüthrich

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2008-04-30

Total Pages: 438

ISBN-13: 0470772727

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Claims reserving is central to the insurance industry. Insurance liabilities depend on a number of different risk factors which need to be predicted accurately. This prediction of risk factors and outstanding loss liabilities is the core for pricing insurance products, determining the profitability of an insurance company and for considering the financial strength (solvency) of the company. Following several high-profile company insolvencies, regulatory requirements have moved towards a risk-adjusted basis which has lead to the Solvency II developments. The key focus in the new regime is that financial companies need to analyze adverse developments in their portfolios. Reserving actuaries now have to not only estimate reserves for the outstanding loss liabilities but also to quantify possible shortfalls in these reserves that may lead to potential losses. Such an analysis requires stochastic modeling of loss liability cash flows and it can only be done within a stochastic framework. Therefore stochastic loss liability modeling and quantifying prediction uncertainties has become standard under the new legal framework for the financial industry. This book covers all the mathematical theory and practical guidance needed in order to adhere to these stochastic techniques. Starting with the basic mathematical methods, working right through to the latest developments relevant for practical applications; readers will find out how to estimate total claims reserves while at the same time predicting errors and uncertainty are quantified. Accompanying datasets demonstrate all the techniques, which are easily implemented in a spreadsheet. A practical and essential guide, this book is a must-read in the light of the new solvency requirements for the whole insurance industry.

The 7 Most Important Equations for Your Retirement
The 7 Most Important Equations for Your Retirement

Author: Moshe A. Milevsky

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2012-05-08

Total Pages: 229

ISBN-13: 1118291530

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The 800 years of scientific breakthroughs that will help salvage your retirement plans Physics, Chemistry, Astronomy, Biology; every field has its intellectual giants who made breakthrough discoveries that changed the course of history. What about the topic of retirement planning? Is it a science? Or is retirement income planning just a collection of rules-of-thumb, financial products and sales pitches? In The 7 Most Important Equations for Your Retirement...And the Stories Behind Them Moshe Milevsky argues that twenty first century retirement income planning is indeed a science and has its foundations in the work of great sages who made conceptual and controversial breakthroughs over the last eight centuries. In the book Milevsky highlights the work of seven scholars—summarized by seven equations—who shaped all modern retirement calculations. He tells the stories of Leonardo Fibonnaci the Italian businessman; Benjamin Gompertz the gentleman actuary; Edmund Halley the astronomer; Irving Fisher the stock jock; Paul Samuelson the economic guru; Solomon Heubner the insurance and marketing visionary, and Andrey Kolmogorov the Russian mathematical genius—all giants in their respective fields who collectively laid the foundations for modern retirement income planning. With baby boomers starting to hit retirement age, planning for retirement income has become a hot topic across the country Author Moshe Milevsky is an internationally-respected financial expert with the knowledge you need to assess whether you are ready to retire or not Presents an entertaining, informative narrative approach to financial planning Understanding the ideas behind these seven foundation equations—which Moshe Milevsky explains in a manner that everyone can appreciate—will help baby boomers better prepare for retirement. This is a book unlike anything you have ever read on retirement planning. Think Suze Orman meets Stephen Hawking. If you ever wondered what the point of all that high school mathematics was, Moshe Milevsky's answer is: So that you can figure out how to retire...while you can still enjoy your money.