Regularized Semiparametric Estimation of High Dimensional Dynamic Conditional Covariance Matrices

Regularized Semiparametric Estimation of High Dimensional Dynamic Conditional Covariance Matrices

Author: Claudio Morana

Publisher:

Published: 2019

Total Pages: 58

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This paper proposes a three-step estimation strategy for dynamic conditional correlation models. In the first step, conditional variances for individual and aggregate series are estimated by means of QML equation by equation. In the second step, conditional covariances are estimated by means of the polarization identity, and conditional correlations are estimated by their usual normalization. In the third step, the two-step conditional covariance and correlation matrices are regularized by means of a new non-linear shrinkage procedure and used as starting value for the maximization of the joint likelihood of the model. This yields the final, third step smoothed estimate of the conditional covariance and correlation matrices. Due to its scant computational burden, the proposed strategy allows to estimate high dimensional conditional covariance and correlation matrices. An application to global minimum variance portfolio is also provided, confirming that SP-DCC is a simple and viable alternative to existing DCC models.


Analysis of Panel Data

Analysis of Panel Data

Author: Cheng Hsiao

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2022-07-07

Total Pages: 539

ISBN-13: 131651210X

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

A comprehensive introduction of fundamental panel data methodologies.


Essays in Honor of Cheng Hsiao

Essays in Honor of Cheng Hsiao

Author: Dek Terrell

Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing

Published: 2020-04-15

Total Pages: 418

ISBN-13: 1789739594

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Including contributions spanning a variety of theoretical and applied topics in econometrics, this volume of Advances in Econometrics is published in honour of Cheng Hsiao.


Large Dimensional Covariance Matrix Estimation with Decomposition-based Regularization

Large Dimensional Covariance Matrix Estimation with Decomposition-based Regularization

Author:

Publisher:

Published: 2014

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Estimation of population covariance matrices from samples of multivariate data is of great importance. When the dimension of a covariance matrix is large but the sample size is limited, it is well known that the sample covariance matrix is dissatisfactory. However, the improvement of covariance matrix estimation is not straightforward, mainly because of the constraint of positive definiteness. This thesis work considers decomposition-based methods to circumvent this primary difficulty. Two ways of covariance matrix estimation with regularization on factor matrices from decompositions are included. One approach replies on the modified Cholesky decomposition from Pourahmadi, and the other technique, matrix exponential or matrix logarithm, is closely related to the spectral decomposition. We explore the usage of covariance matrix estimation by imposing L1 regularization on the entries of Cholesky factor matrices, and find the estimates from this approach are not sensitive to the orders of variables. A given order of variables is the prerequisite in the application of the modified Cholesky decomposition, while in practice, information on the order of variables is often unknown. We take advantage of this property to remove the requirement of order information, and propose an order-invariant covariance matrix estimate by refining estimates corresponding to different orders of variables. The refinement not only guarantees the positive definiteness of the estimated covariance matrix, but also is applicable in general situations without the order of variables being pre-specified. The refined estimate can be approximated by only combining a moderate number of representative estimates. Numerical simulations are conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed method in comparison with several other estimates. By applying the matrix exponential technique, the problem of estimating positive definite covariance matrices is transformed into a problem of estimating symmetric matrices. There are close connections between covariance matrices and their logarithm matrices, and thus, pursing a matrix logarithm with certain properties helps restoring the original covariance matrix. The covariance matrix estimate from applying L1 regularization to the entries of the matrix logarithm is compared to some other estimates in simulation studies and real data analysis.


High-Dimensional Covariance Estimation

High-Dimensional Covariance Estimation

Author: Mohsen Pourahmadi

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2013-06-24

Total Pages: 204

ISBN-13: 1118034295

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Methods for estimating sparse and large covariance matrices Covariance and correlation matrices play fundamental roles in every aspect of the analysis of multivariate data collected from a variety of fields including business and economics, health care, engineering, and environmental and physical sciences. High-Dimensional Covariance Estimation provides accessible and comprehensive coverage of the classical and modern approaches for estimating covariance matrices as well as their applications to the rapidly developing areas lying at the intersection of statistics and machine learning. Recently, the classical sample covariance methodologies have been modified and improved upon to meet the needs of statisticians and researchers dealing with large correlated datasets. High-Dimensional Covariance Estimation focuses on the methodologies based on shrinkage, thresholding, and penalized likelihood with applications to Gaussian graphical models, prediction, and mean-variance portfolio management. The book relies heavily on regression-based ideas and interpretations to connect and unify many existing methods and algorithms for the task. High-Dimensional Covariance Estimation features chapters on: Data, Sparsity, and Regularization Regularizing the Eigenstructure Banding, Tapering, and Thresholding Covariance Matrices Sparse Gaussian Graphical Models Multivariate Regression The book is an ideal resource for researchers in statistics, mathematics, business and economics, computer sciences, and engineering, as well as a useful text or supplement for graduate-level courses in multivariate analysis, covariance estimation, statistical learning, and high-dimensional data analysis.


Large Covariance and Autocovariance Matrices

Large Covariance and Autocovariance Matrices

Author: Arup Bose

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2018-07-03

Total Pages: 272

ISBN-13: 1351398164

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Large Covariance and Autocovariance Matrices brings together a collection of recent results on sample covariance and autocovariance matrices in high-dimensional models and novel ideas on how to use them for statistical inference in one or more high-dimensional time series models. The prerequisites include knowledge of elementary multivariate analysis, basic time series analysis and basic results in stochastic convergence. Part I is on different methods of estimation of large covariance matrices and auto-covariance matrices and properties of these estimators. Part II covers the relevant material on random matrix theory and non-commutative probability. Part III provides results on limit spectra and asymptotic normality of traces of symmetric matrix polynomial functions of sample auto-covariance matrices in high-dimensional linear time series models. These are used to develop graphical and significance tests for different hypotheses involving one or more independent high-dimensional linear time series. The book should be of interest to people in econometrics and statistics (large covariance matrices and high-dimensional time series), mathematics (random matrices and free probability) and computer science (wireless communication). Parts of it can be used in post-graduate courses on high-dimensional statistical inference, high-dimensional random matrices and high-dimensional time series models. It should be particularly attractive to researchers developing statistical methods in high-dimensional time series models. Arup Bose is a professor at the Indian Statistical Institute, Kolkata, India. He is a distinguished researcher in mathematical statistics and has been working in high-dimensional random matrices for the last fifteen years. He has been editor of Sankhyā for several years and has been on the editorial board of several other journals. He is a Fellow of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, USA and all three national science academies of India, as well as the recipient of the S.S. Bhatnagar Award and the C.R. Rao Award. His first book Patterned Random Matrices was also published by Chapman & Hall. He has a forthcoming graduate text U-statistics, M-estimates and Resampling (with Snigdhansu Chatterjee) to be published by Hindustan Book Agency. Monika Bhattacharjee is a post-doctoral fellow at the Informatics Institute, University of Florida. After graduating from St. Xavier's College, Kolkata, she obtained her master’s in 2012 and PhD in 2016 from the Indian Statistical Institute. Her thesis in high-dimensional covariance and auto-covariance matrices, written under the supervision of Dr. Bose, has received high acclaim.


Semiparametric Estimation of Multivariate GARCH Models

Semiparametric Estimation of Multivariate GARCH Models

Author: Claudio Morana

Publisher:

Published: 2015

Total Pages: 9

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

The paper introduces a new simple semiparametric estimator of the conditional variance covariance and correlation matrix (SP-DCC). While sharing a similar sequential approach to existing dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) methods, SP-DCC has the advantage of not requiring the direct parameterization of the conditional covariance or correlation processes, therefore also avoiding any assumption on their long-run target. In the proposed framework, conditional variances are estimated by univariate GARCH models, for actual and suitably transformed series, in the first step; the latter are then nonlinearly combined in the second step, according to basic properties of the covariance and correlation operator, to yield nonparametric estimates of the various conditional covariances and correlations. Moreover, in contrast to available DCC methods, SP-DCC allows for straightforward estimation also for the non-symultaneous case, i.e., for the estimation of conditional cross-covariances and correlations, displaced at any time horizon of interest. A simple ex-post procedure, to ensure well behaved conditional covariance and correlation matrices, grounded on nonlinear shrinkage, is finally proposed. Due to its sequential implementation and scant computational burden, SP-DCC is very simple to apply and suitable for the modeling of vast sets of conditionally heteroskedastic time series.


Shrinkage Estimation for Mean and Covariance Matrices

Shrinkage Estimation for Mean and Covariance Matrices

Author: Hisayuki Tsukuma

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2020-04-16

Total Pages: 119

ISBN-13: 9811515964

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This book provides a self-contained introduction to shrinkage estimation for matrix-variate normal distribution models. More specifically, it presents recent techniques and results in estimation of mean and covariance matrices with a high-dimensional setting that implies singularity of the sample covariance matrix. Such high-dimensional models can be analyzed by using the same arguments as for low-dimensional models, thus yielding a unified approach to both high- and low-dimensional shrinkage estimations. The unified shrinkage approach not only integrates modern and classical shrinkage estimation, but is also required for further development of the field. Beginning with the notion of decision-theoretic estimation, this book explains matrix theory, group invariance, and other mathematical tools for finding better estimators. It also includes examples of shrinkage estimators for improving standard estimators, such as least squares, maximum likelihood, and minimum risk invariant estimators, and discusses the historical background and related topics in decision-theoretic estimation of parameter matrices. This book is useful for researchers and graduate students in various fields requiring data analysis skills as well as in mathematical statistics.