A Growth-Friendly Path for Building Fiscal Buffers in the Caucuses and Central Asia
A Growth-Friendly Path for Building Fiscal Buffers in the Caucuses and Central Asia

Author: Mr.Edward R Gemayel

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2018-04-10

Total Pages: 55

ISBN-13: 1484350871

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Since 2014, large and persistent external shocks have hit the CCA region, particularly a slump in global commodity prices and slower growth in its key economic partners. Fiscal accommodation, along with currency adjustment, has helped the CCA mitigate the impact of the external shocks. However, amid weakening revenues, increased public spending has widened budget deficits, weakened external balances, and increased public debts. Fiscal policy and strengthening fiscal frameworks must play a central role in helping build buffers and ensuring debt sustainability while supporting growth. This requires (1) tightening fiscal policies to reduce deficits to help restore external balance and fiscal sustainability, (2) strengthening tax systems and tax collection and tilting expenditure toward a more productive and growth-enhancing composition, and (3) implementing public financial management reforms and strengthening fiscal institutions, including through fiscal rules.

A Growth-Friendly Path for Building Fiscal Buffers in the Caucuses and Central Asia
A Growth-Friendly Path for Building Fiscal Buffers in the Caucuses and Central Asia

Author: Mr.Edward R Gemayel

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2018-04-10

Total Pages: 55

ISBN-13: 1484337166

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Since 2014, large and persistent external shocks have hit the CCA region, particularly a slump in global commodity prices and slower growth in its key economic partners. Fiscal accommodation, along with currency adjustment, has helped the CCA mitigate the impact of the external shocks. However, amid weakening revenues, increased public spending has widened budget deficits, weakened external balances, and increased public debts. Fiscal policy and strengthening fiscal frameworks must play a central role in helping build buffers and ensuring debt sustainability while supporting growth. This requires (1) tightening fiscal policies to reduce deficits to help restore external balance and fiscal sustainability, (2) strengthening tax systems and tax collection and tilting expenditure toward a more productive and growth-enhancing composition, and (3) implementing public financial management reforms and strengthening fiscal institutions, including through fiscal rules.

Promoting Inclusive Growth in the Caucasus and Central Asia
Promoting Inclusive Growth in the Caucasus and Central Asia

Author: Ms.Mercedes Vera-Martín

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2019-05-15

Total Pages: 57

ISBN-13: 1498315070

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CCA countries achieved gains in inclusiveness over the past 20 years as incomes increased and poverty, inequality, and unemployment declined. Most of the progress occurred before the 2008–09 global financial crisis. Since then, poverty rates have barely moved and, for oil importers, remain elevated.

Building Resilient Banking Sectors in the Caucasus and Central Asia
Building Resilient Banking Sectors in the Caucasus and Central Asia

Author: International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2018-07-06

Total Pages: 49

ISBN-13: 1484366336

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External shocks since 2014—lower oil prices and slower growth in key trading partners—have put financial sectors, mainly banks, in the eight Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) countries under increased stress. Even before the shocks, CCA banking sectors were not at full strength. Asset quality was generally weak, due in part to shortcomings in regulation, supervision, and governance. The economies were highly dollarized. Business practices were affected by lack of competition and, in most countries, connected lending, which undermined banking sector health. Shortcomings in financial regulation and supervision allowed the unsound banking practices to remain unaddressed. The external shocks exacerbated in these underlying vulnerabilities. Strains in CCA banking sectors intensified as liquidity tightened, asset quality deteriorated, and banks became undercapitalized. These challenges have required public intervention in some cases.

Opening Up in the Caucasus and Central Asia
Opening Up in the Caucasus and Central Asia

Author: Mr.Peter J Kunzel

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2018-06-13

Total Pages: 59

ISBN-13: 1484362276

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The Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) countries are at an important juncture in their economic transition. Following significant economic progress during the 2000s, recent external shocks have revealed the underlying vulnerabilities of the current growth model. Lower commodity prices, weaker remittances, and slower growth in key trading partners reduced CCA growth, weakened external and fiscal balances, and raised public debt. the financial sector was also hit hard by large foreign exchange losses. while commodity prices have recovered somewhat since late 2014, to boost its economic potential, the region needs to find new growth drivers, diversify away from natural resources, remittances, and public spending, and generate much stronger private sector-led activity.

Regional Economic Outlook, November 2018, Middle East and Central Asia
Regional Economic Outlook, November 2018, Middle East and Central Asia

Author: International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2018-10-24

Total Pages: 80

ISBN-13: 1484380185

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As in other regions in the world, countries in MENAP and CCA regions are exposed to tightening in global financing conditions and ongoing global trade tensions. The former has already begun to impact several emerging market economies in MENAP and could have more severe implications should financial market sentiment suddenly deteriorate. Escalating global trade tensions will have a limited direct and immediate impact on these regions but could impart significant strains over time through negative effects on trading partners and through market confidence effects.

Kazakhstan Development Finance Assessment
Kazakhstan Development Finance Assessment

Author: Asian Development Bank

Publisher: Asian Development Bank

Published: 2021-02-01

Total Pages: 158

ISBN-13: 9292626558

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Meeting the 2030 Agenda requires unprecedented investment from different sources of finance, ambitious strategies, and structural reform. In recent years, total available development finance in Kazakhstan stagnated and decreased significantly as a share of gross domestic product. This publication presents a comprehensive analysis of trends in public and private finance, along with existing policies and partnerships in place. It discusses the feasibility for Kazakhstan to establish a financing mechanism to maximize development finance and resource allocation to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals.

Building Resilient Banking Sectors in the Caucasus and Central Asia
Building Resilient Banking Sectors in the Caucasus and Central Asia

Author: MissMercedes Vera Martin

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2018-07-06

Total Pages: 49

ISBN-13: 148436077X

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External shocks since 2014—lower oil prices and slower growth in key trading partners—have put financial sectors, mainly banks, in the eight Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) countries under increased stress. Even before the shocks, CCA banking sectors were not at full strength. Asset quality was generally weak, due in part to shortcomings in regulation, supervision, and governance. The economies were highly dollarized. Business practices were affected by lack of competition and, in most countries, connected lending, which undermined banking sector health. Shortcomings in financial regulation and supervision allowed the unsound banking practices to remain unaddressed. The external shocks exacerbated in these underlying vulnerabilities. Strains in CCA banking sectors intensified as liquidity tightened, asset quality deteriorated, and banks became undercapitalized. These challenges have required public intervention in some cases.

Global Economic Prospects, June 2021
Global Economic Prospects, June 2021

Author: World Bank

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2021-08-03

Total Pages: 339

ISBN-13: 1464816662

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The world economy is experiencing a very strong but uneven recovery, with many emerging market and developing economies facing obstacles to vaccination. The global outlook remains uncertain, with major risks around the path of the pandemic and the possibility of financial stress amid large debt loads. Policy makers face a difficult balancing act as they seek to nurture the recovery while safeguarding price stability and fiscal sustainability. A comprehensive set of policies will be required to promote a strong recovery that mitigates inequality and enhances environmental sustainability, ultimately putting economies on a path of green, resilient, and inclusive development. Prominent among the necessary policies are efforts to lower trade costs so that trade can once again become a robust engine of growth. This year marks the 30th anniversary of the Global Economic Prospects. The Global Economic Prospects is a World Bank Group Flagship Report that examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on emerging market and developing economies, on a semiannual basis (in January and June). Each edition includes analytical pieces on topical policy challenges faced by these economies.