Statistical Foundations of Actuarial Learning and its Applications
Statistical Foundations of Actuarial Learning and its Applications

Author: Mario V. Wüthrich

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2022-11-22

Total Pages: 611

ISBN-13: 303112409X

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This open access book discusses the statistical modeling of insurance problems, a process which comprises data collection, data analysis and statistical model building to forecast insured events that may happen in the future. It presents the mathematical foundations behind these fundamental statistical concepts and how they can be applied in daily actuarial practice. Statistical modeling has a wide range of applications, and, depending on the application, the theoretical aspects may be weighted differently: here the main focus is on prediction rather than explanation. Starting with a presentation of state-of-the-art actuarial models, such as generalized linear models, the book then dives into modern machine learning tools such as neural networks and text recognition to improve predictive modeling with complex features. Providing practitioners with detailed guidance on how to apply machine learning methods to real-world data sets, and how to interpret the results without losing sight of the mathematical assumptions on which these methods are based, the book can serve as a modern basis for an actuarial education syllabus.

Impacts of Generative AI on the Future of Research and Education
Impacts of Generative AI on the Future of Research and Education

Author: Mutawa, Abdullah

Publisher: IGI Global

Published: 2024-10-09

Total Pages: 622

ISBN-13:

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Artificial Intelligence (AI), particularly Generative Pretrained Transformer (GPT) models, has become one of the most influential and transformative technologies of the 21st century. They have shown immense potential to revolutionize research and education by enabling more efficient data analysis, generating high-quality content, and facilitating personalized learning experiences. As AI continues to evolve, its integration into these fields promises to enhance productivity, foster innovation, and democratize access to knowledge on a global scale. Impacts of Generative AI on the Future of Research and Education provides an in-depth understanding of the implication of AI and GPT in the context of research and education. It comprehensively analyzes the potential, challenges, and ethical considerations of AI integration in these sectors. Covering topics such as academic integrity, ethics, and special education, this book is an excellent resource for educators, researchers, academicians, policymakers, administrators, and more.

Loss Models
Loss Models

Author: Stuart A. Klugman

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2012-01-25

Total Pages: 758

ISBN-13: 0470391332

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An update of one of the most trusted books on constructing and analyzing actuarial models Written by three renowned authorities in the actuarial field, Loss Models, Third Edition upholds the reputation for excellence that has made this book required reading for the Society of Actuaries (SOA) and Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) qualification examinations. This update serves as a complete presentation of statistical methods for measuring risk and building models to measure loss in real-world events. This book maintains an approach to modeling and forecasting that utilizes tools related to risk theory, loss distributions, and survival models. Random variables, basic distributional quantities, the recursive method, and techniques for classifying and creating distributions are also discussed. Both parametric and non-parametric estimation methods are thoroughly covered along with advice for choosing an appropriate model. Features of the Third Edition include: Extended discussion of risk management and risk measures, including Tail-Value-at-Risk (TVaR) New sections on extreme value distributions and their estimation Inclusion of homogeneous, nonhomogeneous, and mixed Poisson processes Expanded coverage of copula models and their estimation Additional treatment of methods for constructing confidence regions when there is more than one parameter The book continues to distinguish itself by providing over 400 exercises that have appeared on previous SOA and CAS examinations. Intriguing examples from the fields of insurance and business are discussed throughout, and all data sets are available on the book's FTP site, along with programs that assist with conducting loss model analysis. Loss Models, Third Edition is an essential resource for students and aspiring actuaries who are preparing to take the SOA and CAS preliminary examinations. It is also a must-have reference for professional actuaries, graduate students in the actuarial field, and anyone who works with loss and risk models in their everyday work. To explore our additional offerings in actuarial exam preparation visit www.wiley.com/go/actuarialexamprep.

Non-Life Insurance Pricing with Generalized Linear Models
Non-Life Insurance Pricing with Generalized Linear Models

Author: Esbjörn Ohlsson

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2010-03-18

Total Pages: 181

ISBN-13: 3642107915

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Non-life insurance pricing is the art of setting the price of an insurance policy, taking into consideration varoius properties of the insured object and the policy holder. Introduced by British actuaries generalized linear models (GLMs) have become today a the standard aproach for tariff analysis. The book focuses on methods based on GLMs that have been found useful in actuarial practice and provides a set of tools for a tariff analysis. Basic theory of GLMs in a tariff analysis setting is presented with useful extensions of standarde GLM theory that are not in common use. The book meets the European Core Syllabus for actuarial education and is written for actuarial students as well as practicing actuaries. To support reader real data of some complexity are provided at www.math.su.se/GLMbook.

Index to IEEE Publications
Index to IEEE Publications

Author: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers

Publisher:

Published: 1996

Total Pages: 1316

ISBN-13:

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Issues for 1973- cover the entire IEEE technical literature.

Interpretable Machine Learning
Interpretable Machine Learning

Author: Christoph Molnar

Publisher: Lulu.com

Published: 2020

Total Pages: 320

ISBN-13: 0244768528

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This book is about making machine learning models and their decisions interpretable. After exploring the concepts of interpretability, you will learn about simple, interpretable models such as decision trees, decision rules and linear regression. Later chapters focus on general model-agnostic methods for interpreting black box models like feature importance and accumulated local effects and explaining individual predictions with Shapley values and LIME. All interpretation methods are explained in depth and discussed critically. How do they work under the hood? What are their strengths and weaknesses? How can their outputs be interpreted? This book will enable you to select and correctly apply the interpretation method that is most suitable for your machine learning project.

Applied Predictive Modeling
Applied Predictive Modeling

Author: Max Kuhn

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2013-05-17

Total Pages: 595

ISBN-13: 1461468493

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Applied Predictive Modeling covers the overall predictive modeling process, beginning with the crucial steps of data preprocessing, data splitting and foundations of model tuning. The text then provides intuitive explanations of numerous common and modern regression and classification techniques, always with an emphasis on illustrating and solving real data problems. The text illustrates all parts of the modeling process through many hands-on, real-life examples, and every chapter contains extensive R code for each step of the process. This multi-purpose text can be used as an introduction to predictive models and the overall modeling process, a practitioner’s reference handbook, or as a text for advanced undergraduate or graduate level predictive modeling courses. To that end, each chapter contains problem sets to help solidify the covered concepts and uses data available in the book’s R package. This text is intended for a broad audience as both an introduction to predictive models as well as a guide to applying them. Non-mathematical readers will appreciate the intuitive explanations of the techniques while an emphasis on problem-solving with real data across a wide variety of applications will aid practitioners who wish to extend their expertise. Readers should have knowledge of basic statistical ideas, such as correlation and linear regression analysis. While the text is biased against complex equations, a mathematical background is needed for advanced topics.

Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition
Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition

Author: Andrew Gelman

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2013-11-01

Total Pages: 677

ISBN-13: 1439840954

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Now in its third edition, this classic book is widely considered the leading text on Bayesian methods, lauded for its accessible, practical approach to analyzing data and solving research problems. Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition continues to take an applied approach to analysis using up-to-date Bayesian methods. The authors—all leaders in the statistics community—introduce basic concepts from a data-analytic perspective before presenting advanced methods. Throughout the text, numerous worked examples drawn from real applications and research emphasize the use of Bayesian inference in practice. New to the Third Edition Four new chapters on nonparametric modeling Coverage of weakly informative priors and boundary-avoiding priors Updated discussion of cross-validation and predictive information criteria Improved convergence monitoring and effective sample size calculations for iterative simulation Presentations of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, variational Bayes, and expectation propagation New and revised software code The book can be used in three different ways. For undergraduate students, it introduces Bayesian inference starting from first principles. For graduate students, the text presents effective current approaches to Bayesian modeling and computation in statistics and related fields. For researchers, it provides an assortment of Bayesian methods in applied statistics. Additional materials, including data sets used in the examples, solutions to selected exercises, and software instructions, are available on the book’s web page.

Handbook of Statistical Methods for Precision Medicine
Handbook of Statistical Methods for Precision Medicine

Author: Eric Laber

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2024-10-23

Total Pages: 482

ISBN-13: 1040126170

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The statistical study and development of analytic methodology for individualization of treatments is no longer in its infancy. Many methods of study design, estimation, and inference exist, and the tools available to the analyst are ever growing. This handbook introduces the foundations of modern statistical approaches to precision medicine, bridging key ideas to active lines of current research in precision medicine. The contributions in this handbook vary in their level of assumed statistical knowledge; all contributions are accessible to a wide readership of statisticians and computer scientists including graduate students and new researchers in the area. Many contributions, particularly those that are more comprehensive reviews, are suitable for epidemiologists and clinical researchers with some statistical training. The handbook is split into three sections: Study Design for Precision Medicine, Estimation of Optimal Treatment Strategies, and Precision Medicine in High Dimensions. The first focuses on designed experiments, in many instances, building and extending on the notion of sequential multiple assignment randomized trials. Dose finding and simulation-based designs using agent-based modelling are also featured. The second section contains both introductory contributions and more advanced methods, suitable for estimating optimal adaptive treatment strategies from a variety of data sources including non-experimental (observational) studies. The final section turns to estimation in the many-covariate setting, providing approaches suitable to the challenges posed by electronic health records, wearable devices, or any other settings where the number of possible variables (whether confounders, tailoring variables, or other) is high. Together, these three sections bring together some of the foremost leaders in the field of precision medicine, offering new insights and ideas as this field moves towards its third decade.

Health Insurance Handbook
Health Insurance Handbook

Author: Hong Wang

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2012-01-18

Total Pages: 141

ISBN-13: 082138953X

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Many countries that subscribe to the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) have committed to ensuring access to basic health services for their citizens. Health insurance has been considered and promoted as the major financing mechanism to improve access to health services, as well to provide financial risk protection.